In a Walker VS Hillary election, which state is more likely to vote R?
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  In a Walker VS Hillary election, which state is more likely to vote R?		 « previous next »
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Question: You know the drill
#1
Wisconsin		  
#2
Virginia		  
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Author Topic: In a Walker VS Hillary election, which state is more likely to vote R?  (Read 1915 times)
I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
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« on: February 22, 2014, 12:21:33 PM »
« edited: February 22, 2014, 12:35:05 PM by Thomas Jefferson »
I say Wisconsin  since even with Romney winning over 60% of white voters in VA, Obama won the state. There is a much better chance to improve totals in Wisconsin for Republicans.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2014, 12:24:16 PM »
Wisconsin, but don't bet on either.
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Vega
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« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2014, 12:30:41 PM »
I would write any "neither", but, Wisconsin.
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2014, 11:08:55 PM »
Wisconsin.

Favorite Son effect + NoVA and other Dem-friendly areas of VA are both getting less Repub and more influential in presidential elections.
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Cory
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« Reply #4 on: February 23, 2014, 12:45:37 AM »
Wisconsin.
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Cryptic
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« Reply #5 on: February 23, 2014, 01:52:24 AM »
Wisconsin would be more likely, but I'd predict neither. 
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #6 on: February 23, 2014, 05:04:57 AM »
Quote from: Cryptic on February 23, 2014, 01:52:24 AM
Wisconsin would be more likely, but I'd predict neither. 
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: February 23, 2014, 05:06:50 AM »
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Cranberry
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« Reply #8 on: February 23, 2014, 06:17:15 AM »
Wisconsin more likely, but both going D.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: February 23, 2014, 08:31:05 AM »
If Walker runs for President, then he has shown that he can be re-elected at the end of one full term of office.

Wisconsin is about D+3, so in a 50-50 election a Favorite Son Reactionary would barely win the state.

Virginia seems to be drifting D. It is effectively the mirror image of West Virginia, Virginia and West Virginia usually voting in opposite ways non-landslide elections other than the two elections involving George Worthless Bush. Clinton never won Virginia but won West Virginia twice. Virginia was the only former Confederate state to reject Carter in 1976. Carter won West Virginia, six of the 49 electoral votes that he won in the most lopsided defeat of an incumbent President since Hoover in 1932. Dukakis won West Virginia while losing every one of its neighbors -- even Maryland, now one of the surest states to vote for any Democratic nominee.

Walker has no ties to Virginia, and much of the liberal vote in Virginia comes from federal employees who are going to hate Scott Walker.
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Vega
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« Reply #10 on: February 23, 2014, 10:13:36 AM »
It's not like that favorite son effect had much in Paul Ryan's favor (I know, he was the VP...).

Or Michigan in Mitt Romney's favor.

Or Massachusetts.

At one time I think that maybe the favorite son factor was in play a few decades ago. But not today.
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