KS-PPP: All Republicans lead

[Miles]

Report.

Bush- 50%
Clinton- 41%

Huckabee- 49%
Clinton- 42%

Paul- 48%
Clinton- 41%

Christie- 46%
Clinton- 39%

[eric82oslo]

Strong numbers for Jeb Bush once again, this time in Kansas. Secondly, we can now completely lay the question to rest whether Hillary has any chance of winning Kansas, as she now does at least 16% worse in Texas than her current national average. The only chance Hillary would have to capture the state would be if GOP fielded some flawed and ultra-polarizing candidate like Sarah Palin or Ted Cruz and even then she probably wouldn't have a chance greater than 50% of winning the state (possibly With Palin, probably not with Cruz).

[pbrower2a]

Not until the Kansas GOP splinters do the Democrats have a chance of winning the electoral votes of Kansas.

[JRP1994]

Strong numbers for Jeb Bush once again, this time in Kansas. Secondly, we can now completely lay the question to rest whether Hillary has any chance of winning Kansas, as she now does at least 16% worse in Texas than her current national average. The only chance Hillary would have to capture the state would be if GOP fielded some flawed and ultra-polarizing candidate like Sarah Palin or Ted Cruz and even then she probably wouldn't have a chance greater than 50% of winning the state (possibly With Palin, probably not with Cruz).

I love how, against Hillary, "strong numbers" for Jeb is winning Kansas by single digits.

[IceSpear]

Strong numbers for Jeb Bush once again, this time in Kansas. Secondly, we can now completely lay the question to rest whether Hillary has any chance of winning Kansas, as she now does at least 16% worse in Texas than her current national average. The only chance Hillary would have to capture the state would be if GOP fielded some flawed and ultra-polarizing candidate like Sarah Palin or Ted Cruz and even then she probably wouldn't have a chance greater than 50% of winning the state (possibly With Palin, probably not with Cruz).

Who ever thought Hillary could win Kansas? Even the Hillary vs. Palin/Limbaugh/Stockman etc. maps still have Kansas going Republican.

It being within single digits, even against the strongest candidate, is very impressive though.

[Mr. Illini]

Kansas is long gone for the Dems on a Presidential level.

[henster]

The best Hillary can do here is break 40% which it looks like she's doing against almost every Republican.

[Nichlemn]

Kansas is long gone for the Dems on a Presidential level.

In fact, it's the <i>longest</i> gone. It last had a Democratic PVI in 1916, the longest of any state for either party. (More well-known is that it hasn't elected a Democratic Senator since 1932, the longest such streak also).

[pbrower2a]

I thought that that would have been Indiana.

On the other side, DC has had an extreme D+ PVI since it started voting. Hawaii has been D+ as a state. Massachusetts and Rhode Island were both R+ in the 1956 Presidential election, and Minnesota was R+ (barely) in 1952. But that was Eisenhower against a Democratic nominee who did catastrophically badly outside the South.