CO-SEN: Gardner entering Senate race

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Finally somebody who actually will fight back against Udall compared to the other GOP candidates. 

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I guess I'm gonna have to be that guy.

Udall's has a 50% chance to win. Maybe Hickenlooper.

Fixed

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Tossup.


Udall might win, but now he'll actually have to put up an effort.

Fixed

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Honestly, if Gardner wins and Hickenlooper pulls if off, then both sides would be happy, somewhat.

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Tossup.


Udall will still win, but now he'll actually have to put up an effort.

Fixed

You misspelled the words "will still".

I guess I'm gonna have to be that guy.

Udall's has a 78% chance to win. Hickenlooper 79%.

Fixed

You also typed the wrong numbers. I got you though dawg.

Udall does not have a 78% chance to win, neither does Hickenlooper. Wait and see what happens before making assumptions.

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April: Udall 49% Gardner 39%
And he will still face Ken Buck.

Well, that's Lean D at this time.

LOL nope
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/colorado-shake-gardner-senate-buck-congress_783459.html

Buck is dropping to Congress, and Stephens is dropping her bid. Looks like they're clearing the field.

Amy Stephans wouldn't have made it through the primaries.

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Very impressed -- Gardner could turn out to be an even stronger candidate than Land.

I'd like to see a PPP poll. Udall only led Buck 46/42 in their December poll.

CO's a fairly polarized state, and I can't imagine too many Republican supporters don't like Buck -- it was that Buck motivated Democrats in a way that Gardner wouldn't. I'd think Gardner and Udall are tied in the low 40s.

I'd like to see a PPP poll too, and see how much it exaggerates Udall's numbers.

Yeah it's not like PPP is one of the most accurate pollsters of Colorado or anything.

Ken Buck running for Safe R CO-4.

Gardner now running for Senate against Mark Udall.

Things just got a lot better for the GOP. This is probably another Michigan where republicans could have a good chance of an extra pickup on a really good night. If Udall was only up by 4 against Buck, then he might actually be in some trouble. Lean D for now until I get some more perspective.

Also, Sabato has moved this from Likely D to Lean D.

CO-4 isn't safe R.  Gardner won it by beating Betsey Markey in 2010.

Saying CO-04 isn't Safe R is like saying ID-01 isn't Safe R in an open seat. Like CO-04 and VA-05, Democrats only controlled it in the first place because the R incumbent was a total jackass in 2008, and probably would've lost it even in a neutral year against any halfway-decent R challenger.

If you take a look, CD-4 in 2010 was lean R before the boundaries were changed, it used to have Fort Collins, and Loveland,  now it's safe R.

Pre 2012


Post 2012