IA-PPP: Clinton dominating, if Clinton/Biden don't run Warren would be leading
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  IA-PPP: Clinton dominating, if Clinton/Biden don't run Warren would be leading
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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Clinton dominating, if Clinton/Biden don't run Warren would be leading  (Read 585 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: February 27, 2014, 11:25:12 AM »

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be completely dominant. 67% want her to be the nominee, compared to 12% for Joe Biden, 5% for Elizabeth Warren, 3% for Mark Warner, 2% for Andrew Cuomo, and 1% for Cory Booker. Clinton's dominance is near total- she has an 82/9 favorability rating and polls over 60% with liberals, moderates, men, women, young voters, and older voters alike.

In the instance that Clinton didn't run, Biden would lead the field with 40% to 13% for Warren, 8% for Cuomo, 5% for Martin O'Malley, 2% each for Booker, Warner, and Kirsten Gillibrand, and 1% for Brian Schweitzer.

If Clinton and Biden both didn't run it's pretty much completely up in the air- 47% would be undecided with Warren at 21%, Cuomo at 11%, Booker at 8%, O'Malley at 6%, Gillibrand at 3, and Schweitzer and Warner at 2%.

Clinton leads hypothetical general election match ups in the state by similar margins to Barack Obama's victory there in 2012. She's up 4 on Jeb Bush and Mike Huckabee at 45/41 and 46/42 respectively, 5 on Rand Paul at 47/42, and 6 on Chris Christie at 45/39. Her average lead of 5 points against the trio of Bush, Paul, and Christie is down from an average lead of 11 points against them on our July poll. That's a similar decline to what we saw for Bruce Braley in the Senate race as the political climate has worsened for Democrats in the last half of a year.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/02/clinton-huckabee-hold-early-leads-in-iowa.html
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2014, 11:35:17 AM »

Only 67%? Clearly Hillary has an "Iowa problem". This is the beginning of the end for her. Schweitzer at 0%? What a formidable foe, she's dooooomed!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2014, 11:41:56 AM »

Clinton mostly lost the primaries because Obama was a Black, you see.

With the "I want something new ! Black factor" now out, only the following people could stop Clinton from winning the Dem. nomination this time:

* a Latino
* a woman (Hillary's already one, so no)
* a homosexual
* an Asian
* an atheist
* a muslim

Because currently there are none of the last 4 in the race, only white men, the most likely candidate to beat her would be a Obama-style Latino with a great campaign team and fundraising skills. But there is none ...
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JRP1994
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« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2014, 12:28:18 PM »

Only 67%? Clearly Hillary has an "Iowa problem". This is the beginning of the end for her. Schweitzer at 0%? What a formidable foe, she's dooooomed!

Her Iowa problem is in general matchups.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2014, 12:49:39 PM »

Only 67%? Clearly Hillary has an "Iowa problem". This is the beginning of the end for her. Schweitzer at 0%? What a formidable foe, she's dooooomed!

Her Iowa problem is in general matchups.

She's doing better than Obama did in the polls there.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_romney_vs_obama-1922.html

Besides, I was referring to the wet dream pundit stories about how some Liberal Hero will upend Hillary due to how much Democrats in Iowa supposedly despise her.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2014, 12:51:27 PM »

Only 67%? Clearly Hillary has an "Iowa problem". This is the beginning of the end for her. Schweitzer at 0%? What a formidable foe, she's dooooomed!

lol Tongue

Clearly Brian's strategy of attacking both Hillary and Obama with machine guns is working 100% effectively. Cheesy
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2014, 10:28:25 PM »

Clinton 67%
Biden 12%
Warren 5%
Warner 3%
Cuomo 2%
Booker 1%
Gillibrand, O'Malley, Schweitzer 0% each

If Clinton doesn't run....

Biden 40%
Warren 13%
Cuomo 8%
O'Malley 5%
Booker 2%
Gillibrand 2%
Warner 2%
Schweitzer 1%

If neither Biden nor Clinton run....

Warren 21%
Cuomo 11%
Booker 8%
O'Malley 6%
Gillibrand 3%
Schweitzer 2%
Warner 2%

fav/unfav % among Democratic voters:

Clinton 82/9% for +73%
Biden 66/13% for +53%
Warren 43/8% for +35%
Booker 30/11% for +19%
Cuomo 28/14% for +14%
Gillibrand 20/10% for +10%
Dean 30/21% for +9%
Warner 19/11% for +8%
O'Malley 13/10% for +3%
Schweitzer 12/12% for +/-0
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