Texas Senate Republican Primary Prediction

[ElectionsGuy]

Hopefully option 3 is irrelevant. But do you guys think that Cornyn can avoid a runoff? I say yes.

[RogueBeaver]

I'd like to say north of 80, but I'll hedge and say mid-70s.

[Vega]

Stockman or any challenger would have to pull off a major upset.

Even if, by some miracle, it does go into a run-off; I still see Cornyn winning.

So obviously I voted, Cornyn gets >50% and avoids a runoff.

[Brewer]

Cornyn will garner 70-80%.

[windjammer]

The worst I can imagine Cornyn doing is 60%

[NewYorkExpress]

John Cornyn 32%
Steve Stockman 29%
Dwayne Stovall 16%
Linda Vega 9%
Ken Cope 5%
Reid Reasor 3%
Chris Mapp 3%
Curt Cleaver 2.8%

Runoff

John Cornyn 53%
Steve Stockman 47%

(If the Tea Party had managed to talk Governor Perry into running here, he might have actually won)

[NewYorkExpress]

John Cornyn 32%
Steve Stockman 29%
Dwayne Stovall 16%
Linda Vega 9%
Ken Cope 5%
Reid Reasor 3%
Chris Mapp 3%
Curt Cleaver 2.8%

Runoff

John Cornyn 53%
Steve Stockman 47%

(If the Tea Party had managed to talk Governor Perry into running here, he might have actually won)

I thought they disowned him for the in state tuition issue?

Even if they did, he's much closer to their beliefs than Cornyn is...

[LeBron]

Unfortunately the polls that show Cornyn under 50% have a lot of undecided voters, so I think unless a lot of establishment voters break from Cornyn to vote for someone like Vega, we'll see Cornyn prevent a runoff since we've got a split Tea Party crazy vote already between Stockman/Stovall. You would have thought the soon to be ex-Congressman Stockman would have learned from what happened to Akin.

[Vega]

I feel compelled to vote for Linda Vega, for some reason.