National Journal Senate rankings

[RogueBeaver]

No real surprises IMO.

[Vega]

Odd why they would put Franken on there; he's safe D, IMHO.

[RogueBeaver]

Odd why they would put Franken on there; he's safe D, IMHO.

Same with Warner, but 15's rounder than 13. I might quibble with MI ahead of CO given that MI is reliably blue federally, but that's about it.

[Vega]

Odd why they would put Franken on there; he's safe D, IMHO.

Same with Warner, but 15's rounder than 13. I might quibble with MI ahead of CO given that MI is reliably blue federally, but that's about it.

Indeed. Both are safe; but I would say that CO's seat is alot more up for grabs (I use that loosely...) than Michigan.

[SWE]

Virginia, NH, and Minnesota are all Safe D.

[Vega]

Virginia, NH, and Minnesota are all Safe D.

New Hampshire depends on if Scott Brown enters in the running (which I doubt he will). Shaheen does not have a big war chest, too.
 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

N.C. and MI are our tipping point states and win a state like KY or AK that isn't dependent on a runoff and we clinch the senate, with 50 seats.

[nclib]

For some reason, these are available to the public, but not the Governor rankings.

[windjammer]

Hagan is underrated, Terry Lynn Land as well.

[SWE]

Virginia, NH, and Minnesota are all Safe D.

New Hampshire depends on if Scott Brown enters in the running (which I doubt he will). Shaheen does not have a big war chest, too.
 

Scott Brown is extremely overrated. He trails Shaheen in every poll, and would be labeled a carpet bagger, which would turn a lot of people away from him. Besides, if he was going to run, he would've gone after the Massachusetts Governor race. I doubt he's running

[Vega]

Virginia, NH, and Minnesota are all Safe D.

New Hampshire depends on if Scott Brown enters in the running (which I doubt he will). Shaheen does not have a big war chest, too.
 

Scott Brown is extremely overrated. He trails Shaheen in every poll, and would be labeled a carpet bagger, which would turn a lot of people away from him. Besides, if he was going to run, he would've gone after the Massachusetts Governor race. I doubt he's running

There is no doubt that him running in New Hampshire would turn people off.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hagan is underrated, Terry Lynn Land as well.

Clarity poll clearly showed Peters in the lead, but Schauer not so much. The weakest incumbant out of Landrieu, Begich and Hagen is Hagen. We will lose 5 seats.

[NewYorkExpress]

Virginia, NH, and Minnesota are all Safe D.

New Hampshire depends on if Scott Brown enters in the running (which I doubt he will). Shaheen does not have a big war chest, too.
 

Scott Brown is extremely overrated. He trails Shaheen in every poll, and would be labeled a carpet bagger, which would turn a lot of people away from him. Besides, if he was going to run, he would've gone after the Massachusetts Governor race. I doubt he's running

There is no doubt that him running in New Hampshire would turn people off.

The question is more how many people? I would think Brown would need to win a hypothetical GOP primary by a huge margin as well, simply because more party warfare would hurt him (or whatever crazy person actually beat him)

[windjammer]

I tend to believe that Michigan is a more likely rep pick up than North Carolina. But that's my point of view.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, it isn't. MI hasn't voted for a GOP senate candidate for a very long time. While the GOP have been winning statewide elections.

[RogueBeaver]

Completely agreed with MVAV. NC is purple federally, MI reliably blue. Remember when for a while Connecticut was close in 2012 and California in 2010? Yes those states are bluer but the same thing will happen. Peters will win as Dems come home in the fall. GOP is much better advised to invest in CO.

[RogueBeaver]

Re ticket splitting: Beebe/Lincoln 2010.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Spencer Abraham won the last Michigan open seat.

Which was in 1994...and then he promptly lost six years later.

[Vega]

Spencer Abraham won the last Michigan open seat.

Which was in 1994...and then he promptly lost six years later.

1994 was not a easy year for Democrats, too.

[Miles]

Spencer Abraham won the last Michigan open seat.

Which was in 1994...and then he promptly lost six years later.

Of course, the good people of Michigan tossed that bumb out in 2000. His successor has thrashed all her opponents since then!

[windjammer]

I agree with krazen, MI flipping is definitely a possibily. And Land is a decent recruit, and that doesn't seem to be the case of Tillis and Brannon.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I agree with krazen, MI flipping is definitely a possibily. And Land is a decent recruit, and that doesn't seem to be the case of Tillis and Brannon.

Krazen also said that Hagen's approvals are very low if you read the other thread. Time will tell if Peters will pull away, but I like our chances in MI as well.

[free my dawg]

+1 to krazen and windjammer. Michigan seems to be the GOP's Arizona - always tantalizingly in reach, but voters will wind up coming home to the Democrats unless it's a wave.

The gubernatorial race is more complicated though.

[Vega]

+1 to krazen and windjammer. Michigan seems to be the GOP's Arizona - always tantalizingly in reach, but voters will wind up coming home to the Democrats unless it's a wave.

The gubernatorial race is more complicated though.

The same thing could be said about Pennsylvania, but even more so.

[publicunofficial]

I agree with krazen

I think that's the first time those words have ever been used in that order.