Mississippi 2015 Megathread

[gespb19]

Can't crunch the numbers now, but GOP may end up with a supermajority. Hopefully my candidate for sheriff wins, because everything else has gone to crap tonight.

[7,052,770]

Bob Dearing takes the lead on Sojourner with 5 precincts to go !!?!

[/]

Bob Dearing takes the lead on Sojourner with 5 precincts to go !!?!

*yay*

[gespb19]

Buck Clarke going to win in his 51% black VAP district.

[/]

Two precincts left; Dearing ahead by 163 votes.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Amendment - Education Funding - General
Education Funding
1226 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 68%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Against   216,933   53%
Approval   189,181   47%

Amendment - EducationFundingAlternative - General
EducationFundAlt
1226 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 68%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
42   Oth   184,133   58%
42A   Oth   135,991   42%

Attorney General - General
1216 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 67%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hood, Jim (i)   Dem   226,124   54%
Hurst, Mike   GOP   189,141   46%

[gespb19]

Both of those Dearing/Sojourner precincts are in Pike County, expect to GOP to win that.

[Nyvin]

Jim Hood will hold on for another term,  congrats to the last Democrat in Dixie.

[7,052,770]

Both of those Dearing/Sojourner precincts are in Pike County, expect to GOP to win that.

Yeah, but how large are the precincts?

[/]

Both of those Dearing/Sojourner precincts are in Pike County, expect to GOP to win that.

3817 votes so far in 11 precincts, meaning approx. 587 more if trends continue. 65% of 587 is 382, so not looking good for Dearing.

[gespb19]

Both of those Dearing/Sojourner precincts are in Pike County, expect to GOP to win that.

Yeah, but how large are the precincts?

True, right now I am just very pessimistic though.

[7,052,770]

Madison votes no on 42 by 20 points (super wtf).

Assuming Rankin is similar, it's not looking good for 42 at all. Hinds will make it close, but it's going to take more.

[/]

What does 42 do? I forgot.

[7,052,770]

What does 42 do? I forgot.

Currently, the legislature is required by law to fund public education in Mississippi adequately. There is a formula (MAEP) that defines "adequate." Even though it's the law, the legislature has only met the required funding level twice in 20 years. That's allowed since the Mississippi Constitution gives the legislature the final say in what education funding will be. No one can take the legislature to Court, even though our schools (among the worst in America) are continually underfunded.

Initiative 42 allows the chancery court system the jurisdiction to review education funding decisions to make sure they follow the law. If the legislature continues to underfund education, there will be lawsuits.

Initiative 42A is a trick initiative which has similar wording, but still leaves the final decision in the hands of the legislature -- no judicial review. There's no real reason to pass it because it doesn't really change anything. It's just another hurdle to prevent 42 from passing.

To pass, "Yes" must beat "No", "42" must beat "42A", and "42" must be selected on at least 40% of the total ballots statewide. This could be an issue if a lot of people don't understand and leave the second question blank.

[/]

So 42 only needs 40% to pass? How about 42A?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So 42 only needs 40% to pass? How about 42A?

Same. But it's not 40% of the votes - it's 40% of all ballots, including blank ones - so if, for instance, 36% vote for 42, 20% vote for 42A, and 44% leave the question blank, it wouldn't pass.

[gespb19]

Either Madison County parents aren't buying 42 or there are more parents who send their kids to MRA, St. Andrew's, JA, etc than previously estimated.

[7,052,770]

So 42 only needs 40% to pass? How about 42A?

We don't even look at the 42-42A vote unless "Yes" gets 50%. If that happens, we look at whoever got the most between 42 and 42A, but if neither gets 40%, then they both still fail.

[/]

Oh alright, so you can only choose one (if at all).

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Right.

And will someone please get counting the last 30% of the vote?

[DINGO Joe]

Right.

And will someone please get counting the last 30% of the vote?

Mississippi is so bad at this.  I haven't even visited the SoS site but I assume it's still the worst.

[/]

Those last two Dearing/Sojourner precincts are taking forever.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Finally, some movement here:

Amendment - Education Funding - General
Education Funding
1334 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 74%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Against   236,668   53%
Approval   207,600   47%

Amendment - EducationFundingAlternative - General
EducationFundAlt
1334 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 74%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
42   Oth   202,222   58%
42A   Oth   148,984   42%

Attorney General - General
1384 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 76%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hood, Jim (i)   Dem   272,534   56%
Hurst, Mike   GOP   214,885   44%

[7,052,770]

In the House, Baria survives by 45 votes.

[kansasdemocrat]

AP calls the race for Hood!!!!