Mississippi 2015 Megathread

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

PPP: Bryant would defeat Hood 44-33, Presley 49-26
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/07/mississippi-miscellany.html

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The Democrats have their sacrificial lamb:

http://www.clarionledger.com/story/politicalledger/2015/02/19/slater-governor-democratic/23667223/

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

McDaniel running for state senate reelection. May try to primary Palazzo  (MS-04) next year.

http://www.clarionledger.com/story/politicalledger/2015/02/26/mcdaniel-running-election/24051219/

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Do you guys think Chris McDaniel will run for Senate again at some point?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

My understanding is that Mayor Mary is legitimately insane. Who knows though.

She couldn't have her outstanding mayoral record if she were totally insane.

And even if she were, it wouldn't change the fact that this looks really bad for Pickering. Remember, the auditor of all people has to be even cleaner than any other office -- if a different state officer had done this, it would be Pickering's job to nail him. We'll see what the investigation produces, but from what we've seen so far, Pickering should no longer be able to serve as Auditor. He shouldn't just drop out of the race, he should resign and hire a good expensive lawyer.

Another interesting thought I've had is what if Pickering still pulls it out on August 4 and then heads to jail this fall? I know parties can replace the nominee if he/she dies, but surely they can't if the person is disqualified due to crimes? If so, think about all the positive national news stories if Mississippi elects a lesbian (and not just a lesbian -- the plaintiff in the Mississippi gay marriage suit) to statewide office!

If there is a libertarian or consititution party candidate on the ballot, MS would probably vote for them over an open lesbian.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

My understanding is that Mayor Mary is legitimately insane. Who knows though.

She couldn't have her outstanding mayoral record if she were totally insane.

And even if she were, it wouldn't change the fact that this looks really bad for Pickering. Remember, the auditor of all people has to be even cleaner than any other office -- if a different state officer had done this, it would be Pickering's job to nail him. We'll see what the investigation produces, but from what we've seen so far, Pickering should no longer be able to serve as Auditor. He shouldn't just drop out of the race, he should resign and hire a good expensive lawyer.

Another interesting thought I've had is what if Pickering still pulls it out on August 4 and then heads to jail this fall? I know parties can replace the nominee if he/she dies, but surely they can't if the person is disqualified due to crimes? If so, think about all the positive national news stories if Mississippi elects a lesbian (and not just a lesbian -- the plaintiff in the Mississippi gay marriage suit) to statewide office!

If there is a libertarian or consititution party candidate on the ballot, MS would probably vote for them over an open lesbian.

Think the Reform has someone in.

Ah, the Pat Buchanan enthusiasts. It would be hilarious to see one of them elected.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Shot in the Dark Predictions for the Contested Statewide Primaries on Tuesday:

GOP Auditor

Pickering: 56%
Butler: 44%

DEM Governor

Slater: 68%
Gray: 20%
Short: 12%

GOP Governor

Bryant: 85%
Young: 15%

GOP Insurance Commissioner

Chaney: 64%
Mosley: 36%

DEM Lt. Governor

Johnson: 57%
Barr: 43%

GOP Lt. Governor

Reeves: 78%
McElhenney: 22%

GOP Treasurer

Fitch: 82%
McRae: 18%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Modifying my Treasurer Prediction.

Shot in the Dark Predictions for the Contested Statewide Primaries on Tuesday:

GOP Auditor

Pickering: 56%
Butler: 44%

DEM Governor

Slater: 68%
Gray: 20%
Short: 12%

GOP Governor

Bryant: 85%
Young: 15%

GOP Insurance Commissioner

Chaney: 64%
Mosley: 36%

DEM Lt. Governor

Johnson: 57%
Barr: 43%

GOP Lt. Governor

Reeves: 78%
McElhenney: 22%

GOP Treasurer

Fitch: 53%
McRae: 47%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

This is the link for just the  results, the link above is broken down by county:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2015/by_state/MS_Page_0804.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray leading Short 49-27 in early votes. Slater at 23.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Fitch/McRae starts out at a tie; 18 votes each.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pickering leading 69-31 with 7 precincts in
Gray leading Slater 51-26 with 10 precincts in. Short at 23.
McRae leading 53-47 with 7 precincts in.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Reeves has been renominated for Republican Lt. Gov.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pickering leading 69-31 with 2% in.
Gray leading Slater 43-32 with 3% in. Short at 25.
Fitch leading 52-48 with 2% in.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pickering, Chaney, and Johnson getting at least 67%. None of their victories have been called, but they look very safe.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray leading Slater 49-31 with 9% in. Short at 21.
Fitch leading 56-44 with 7% in.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Johnson has been nominated for Democratic Lt. Gov.

Gray is at 50% now.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Chaney has been renominated for GOP Insurance Commissioner.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Fitch at 57% with 17% in. So much for that race being a Toss-Up.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pickering leading 67-33 with 25% in.
Gray leading Slater 49-31 with 27% in. Short at 20.
Fitch leading 57-43 with 24% in.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pickering has been renominated for GOP Auditor

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray leading almost every county: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2015&off=5&elect=1&fips=28&f=0

He has no website, no campaign, and raised $0. WTF.

If he wins, the Mississippi Democratic primary is officially the biggest joke in America.

Democratic Party in this state needs a massive shakeup. Complete joke.

Yeah. At this point, Slater will need lots of good luck to even force a runoff, and she was supposed to easily top 50%. This reminds me of TN nominating Charlie Brown last year.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray leading 49-31, Fitch leading 57-43. 46% in.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Fitch has been renominated for GOP Treasurer.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray back at 50%.