The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 145854 times)
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jfern
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« Reply #25 on: March 04, 2014, 11:04:54 PM »
« edited: March 04, 2014, 11:06:51 PM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Yeah... that scares me with the Senate.

 And we may see a repeat of 2012, where the Democrats got more votes, yet not a majority.

The states that have Senate elections this year are significantly more Republican than the country as a while. Illinois is the only one of the 6 largest Obama states.

And of course the Democrats aren't winning the House, even if they win the popular vote. The gerrymandering is extreme. Maybe they can hope to pick up a few seats where Republicans got too greedy with the gerrymander (Michigan), but they're mostly not competitive.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #26 on: March 04, 2014, 11:21:13 PM »

Alameel has boosted to 55% with 65% in.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #27 on: March 04, 2014, 11:21:21 PM »

Alameel now leading Rogers 55-19 with 65% in.

Not that it matters anymore.
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Meeker
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« Reply #28 on: March 04, 2014, 11:23:49 PM »

I'm pretty confident there's an error in the AP tabulation that's giving Alameel that lead. The Texas Secretary of State still has him at 48%.
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Miles
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« Reply #29 on: March 04, 2014, 11:29:37 PM »

I'm pretty confident there's an error in the AP tabulation that's giving Alameel that lead. The Texas Secretary of State still has him at 48%.

This may all come down the vote tabulation in the critical Waukesha County.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #30 on: March 04, 2014, 11:30:04 PM »

I'm pretty confident there's an error in the AP tabulation that's giving Alameel that lead. The Texas Secretary of State still has him at 48%.

Yeah, somehow the AP dropped an extra 70,000 votes out of nowhere, doesn't jibe w/gov vote anymore
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Meeker
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« Reply #31 on: March 04, 2014, 11:30:59 PM »

The error is in Cameron County - the AP has Alameel at 92% with 66,449 votes, which is obviously absurd.
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Meeker
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« Reply #32 on: March 04, 2014, 11:42:57 PM »

Uhhh so the AP has gone ahead and called the race, even though their numbers are pretty clearly not correct.
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Meeker
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« Reply #33 on: March 04, 2014, 11:47:36 PM »

In Cameron County, AP has 70k+ votes cast in the Democratic Senate primary but only 13k in the Governor primary
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Meeker
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« Reply #34 on: March 04, 2014, 11:49:43 PM »

I have alerted AP's correspondent in Austin via the Twitter.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #35 on: March 04, 2014, 11:51:26 PM »

The error is in Cameron County - the AP has Alameel at 92% with 66,449 votes, which is obviously absurd.

And that's why, when money is no object, you put the ghost of LBJ on the payroll.
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Meeker
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« Reply #36 on: March 04, 2014, 11:56:08 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2014, 12:00:08 AM by Meeker »

To be clear, the AP has nearly as many votes being cast in the Democratic Senate primary in Cameron County as were cast there in the 2012 general election.

So I guess now we just sit around and wait for them to figure out they made a mistake.
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Meeker
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« Reply #37 on: March 04, 2014, 11:57:55 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2014, 11:59:37 PM by Meeker »

Aaaand they've fixed it. Still have it called for Alameel. Maybe they'll get lucky and he ends up crossing 50% anyways.
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Meeker
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« Reply #38 on: March 05, 2014, 12:03:41 AM »

And they've rescinded their call "after change in vote count from Cameron County". As if they couldn't have figured out on their own that those numbers were bogus.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #39 on: March 05, 2014, 12:05:59 AM »

Aaaand they've fixed it. Still have it called for Alameel. Maybe they'll get lucky and he ends up crossing 50% anyways.

No, he won't make 50% even with Travis late to report.
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Meeker
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« Reply #40 on: March 05, 2014, 12:10:55 AM »

Aaaand they've fixed it. Still have it called for Alameel. Maybe they'll get lucky and he ends up crossing 50% anyways.

No, he won't make 50% even with Travis late to report.

Yup. 47-49% in the end.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #41 on: March 05, 2014, 12:12:46 AM »

Very unlikely he gets >50%. He'll go to a runoff with the LaRouche candidate which he almost certainly wins.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #42 on: March 05, 2014, 12:22:48 AM »

Very unlikely he gets >50%. He'll go to a runoff with the LaRouche candidate which he almost certainly wins.
I hope there's a debate. Probably won't happen though.

I would pay to see a debate between those two. I just watched a Kesha Rogers video, and I was absolutely stunned.
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Meeker
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« Reply #43 on: March 05, 2014, 12:26:39 AM »

Something to ponder: if Texas had a top-two primary, the general election would be between Cornyn and Stockman.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #44 on: March 05, 2014, 12:34:04 AM »

Very unlikely he gets >50%. He'll go to a runoff with the LaRouche candidate which he almost certainly wins.
I hope there's a debate. Probably won't happen though.

I would pay to see a debate between those two. I just watched a Kesha Rogers video, and I was absolutely stunned.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x3OKdzWPHmU

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ljFbFB3XSXk

Grin
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Miles
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« Reply #45 on: March 05, 2014, 01:17:30 AM »

CD36



The rural areas cast 60% of the votes, meaning Babin is favored going into the runoff.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #46 on: March 05, 2014, 01:32:04 AM »

Very unlikely he gets >50%. He'll go to a runoff with the LaRouche candidate which he almost certainly wins.
I hope there's a debate. Probably won't happen though.

I would pay to see a debate between those two. I just watched a Kesha Rogers video, and I was absolutely stunned.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x3OKdzWPHmU

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ljFbFB3XSXk

Grin

My god, I never thought I'd actually be tempted to vote Cornyn...
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badgate
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« Reply #47 on: March 05, 2014, 01:32:58 AM »

Very unlikely he gets >50%. He'll go to a runoff with the LaRouche candidate which he almost certainly wins.
I hope there's a debate. Probably won't happen though.

I'm really disappointed the party did not hold a debate for all of the candidates. I believe she would not have done this well if they had. They will probably be afraid to have an Alameel/Rogers debate but imo there is no better way to make sure Rogers loses.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #48 on: March 05, 2014, 01:51:22 AM »

Parsing the Senate results on the GOP side and Stockman actually managed to win one county (Hardin). Cornyn seriously underperformed in the Houston area - he didn't win a majority of the vote in any of the Houston area counties that have finished reporting (only Harris is still outstanding), and got less than 40 percent in Brazoria County (Ron Paul's home).
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Miles
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« Reply #49 on: March 05, 2014, 04:54:05 PM »

CD4



Aside from the LA border, Hall was very consistent.
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