The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 145819 times)
Miles
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« Reply #525 on: June 03, 2014, 09:32:22 PM »
72% and Cochram inches down to 50.2%.

Ernst at 53% with 11%. Lookin to be bigger blowout than I thought.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #526 on: June 03, 2014, 09:33:19 PM »
« Edited: June 03, 2014, 09:35:12 PM by Del Tachi »
Quote from: GaussLaw on June 03, 2014, 09:29:51 PM
Quote from: Del Tachi on June 03, 2014, 09:21:39 PM
Quote from: GaussLaw on June 03, 2014, 09:16:58 PM
Guys, looking at the county map it appears that the area right North of Mississippi's coastal counties is uber-pro-McDaniel.  According to region maps this is still considered the "coastal" region of Mississippi, so why is Cochran (and other establishment GOPers) so weak here?

I've always considered these places more like the Pine Belt than the Coast.  It makes sense to me that McDaniel would post large margins here. 

Most populous county in the north with still no results is Pontotoc, which should post a pretty solid margin for Cochran - he was born there. 

That's the odd thing though; it appears that Cochran's doing fine in the pine belt based on the region maps I see since the map looks like Pine Belt begins around Jasper County and goes North, and Cochran dominates the central to northern region of the Pine Belt.  Gingrich, the "anti-establishment" 2014 candidate, also did really well in Southern Pine Belt/Northern coastal region, but not in central to northern pine belt.  Is there a reason for this "redneck rectangle"(in jest) of green counties on the NYT map? I get McDaniel lives there, but the pattern seems to have lasted longer than that.

Its the most white trash part of the state.  Also, I've never defined the Pine Belt to be anything much west of Jeff Davis County.  Southwest Mississippi is its own thing. 

Once again, I'd like to point out that I predicted this general outcome back in December. 

A lot of the vote is still out in Starkville and Oxford, should be good for Cochran. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #527 on: June 03, 2014, 09:34:13 PM »
Republicans have just given away the Senate seat, Ernst has probably won the nomination.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #528 on: June 03, 2014, 09:34:14 PM »
AOSHQDD projects Ernst wins outright.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #529 on: June 03, 2014, 09:34:53 PM »
Brad Zaun with 33% of the vote, 43% of precincts in. Crossing my fingers.
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Torie
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« Reply #530 on: June 03, 2014, 09:36:16 PM »
Quote from: Miles on June 03, 2014, 09:32:22 PM
72% and Cochram inches down to 50.2%.

Ernst at 53% with 11%. Lookin to be bigger blowout than I thought.

But DeSoto is done. I don't think Vicksburg is in either. Absent a Rankin surprise, Cochran should survive.
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Miles
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« Reply #531 on: June 03, 2014, 09:36:33 PM »
83% in for AL-06 and Palmer leading for the runoff spot with 19%.
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Donerail
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« Reply #532 on: June 03, 2014, 09:37:08 PM »
Quote from: Miles on June 03, 2014, 09:28:50 PM
Yep, its up to Rankin county at this point...

There's pretty significant chunks of Jones and Lamar still out, as well as Rankin. Probably not enough to counterbalance Rankin though.
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Harry
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« Reply #533 on: June 03, 2014, 09:37:18 PM »
F***ing Jones County...
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #534 on: June 03, 2014, 09:37:27 PM »
Here's what I don't get about Ernst.

How did she manage to get both massive tea party support and massive establishment (US Chamber of Commerce + Marco Rubio) support?  Are castration ads really that effective to GOP donors?
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #535 on: June 03, 2014, 09:37:44 PM »
God F**king Damn, McDaniel is ahead 49.6 to 48.8 and he is winning Rankin.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #536 on: June 03, 2014, 09:38:16 PM »
And by the way...

WTF happened in the Wilkinson County Democratic primary?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #537 on: June 03, 2014, 09:38:20 PM »
Looks like Jeff Bell will be facing Cory Booker in NJ (91% in, 29-27-25-20), but this has been tight all night and its pretty irrelevant as Booker will crush him in November.

Daines and Walsh easily claiming their victories (it looks like), Bohlinger getting slightly over 20%. Competitive primary on the republican side for the MT-AL house seat.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #538 on: June 03, 2014, 09:38:34 PM »
How is Matt Schultz, the Iowa secretary of state, in third place? That's a pretty pathetic. Career ending performance I say.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #539 on: June 03, 2014, 09:40:31 PM »
Quote from: IDS Legislator Maxwell on June 03, 2014, 09:38:34 PM
How is Matt Schultz, the Iowa secretary of state, in third place? That's a pretty pathetic. Career ending performance I say.
I believe he's running for the House.

Anyway, "Mamacita" just took the lead in MS, with about 80% in.
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ag
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« Reply #540 on: June 03, 2014, 09:40:49 PM »
what the hell is happening in Jones County?

McDaniels a whisker away from outright majority?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #541 on: June 03, 2014, 09:41:06 PM »
Not so fast...

80% in, McDaniel has picked up the lead. This is very suspenseful. Anybody at this point can win. Hell McDaniel might even win without a runoff.
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Miles
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« Reply #542 on: June 03, 2014, 09:41:23 PM »

Yep. It went 64-29 for Palazzo, too Sad
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #543 on: June 03, 2014, 09:41:47 PM »
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Sad 

Pray for Rankin
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #544 on: June 03, 2014, 09:41:54 PM »
Quote from: ag on June 03, 2014, 09:40:49 PM
what the hell is happening in Jones County?

McDaniels a whisker away from outright majority?

He won it 85-14.
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Donerail
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« Reply #545 on: June 03, 2014, 09:42:04 PM »
Quote from: ag on June 03, 2014, 09:40:49 PM
what the hell is happening in Jones County?

McDaniel's hometown.
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Never
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« Reply #546 on: June 03, 2014, 09:42:17 PM »
AOSHQDD has McDaniel at 50.4, Cochran at 47.97... this is getting scary.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #547 on: June 03, 2014, 09:42:37 PM »
Quote from: GaussLaw on June 03, 2014, 09:41:47 PM
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Sad  

Pray for Rankin
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Torie
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« Reply #548 on: June 03, 2014, 09:42:46 PM »
Well Cochran falls behind by a tiny amount in Rankin, and slips below 50% in tandem. Rankin must enjoy being essentially the whole ball game. Tongue
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #549 on: June 03, 2014, 09:42:57 PM »
No more votes out in DeSoto County and McDaniel's at 49.9%.

Rankin will be decisive, but don't underestimate the importance of the remaining vote in Warren, Pontotoc, Lafayette, and Oktibbeha County.  
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