The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 15, 2024, 11:58:53 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 ... 98
Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 145324 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #575 on: June 03, 2014, 09:57:37 PM »

Anybody know if there's a large recount margin in Mississippi?
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,808
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #576 on: June 03, 2014, 09:57:53 PM »
« Edited: June 03, 2014, 10:00:39 PM by Del Tachi »

Warren County flips to Thad with 32% in, no new numbers in Rankin, Lafayette or Pontotoc.  Monroe County could also be a sleeper for Cochran.

And 25% is still out in Hinds
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #577 on: June 03, 2014, 09:58:00 PM »

McDaniel is leading by 18 votes in Rankin County. Not sure what to say about that.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #578 on: June 03, 2014, 09:58:27 PM »

95% in for AL-06 and Palmer leads with 20% for 2nd place.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #579 on: June 03, 2014, 09:59:27 PM »

Warren County flips to Thad with 32% in
It flipped back to Mamacita with 36% in.

Anyway, I'm having flashbacks to Florida 2000 here. Smiley  Rankin, Rankin, Rankin.
Logged
GaussLaw
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,279
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #580 on: June 03, 2014, 09:59:52 PM »

This is insane.

There will probably be more total votes in JONES COUNTY than Hinds in Mississippi, home to the biggest city in the state.

Un-freaking-believable.
Logged
Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,392
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #581 on: June 03, 2014, 10:00:56 PM »

This is insane.

There will probably be more total votes in JONES COUNTY than Hinds in Mississippi, home to the biggest city in the state.

Un-freaking-believable.

One can't deny that McDaniel can make some people insanely devoted to him.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,069
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #582 on: June 03, 2014, 10:01:43 PM »

Odds are very high the Miss Senate race is headed to a runoff. Cochran should pick up a bit of ground, but there are not enough votes left to get over 50%.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #583 on: June 03, 2014, 10:02:35 PM »

I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #584 on: June 03, 2014, 10:03:09 PM »

Yeah, Bohligner lost, but it's not surprising, considering the Democratic Party did EVERYTHING in their power to defeat him.

Doesn't matter because Walsh is headed for defeat anyway.
Logged
LeBron
LeBron FitzGerald
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,906
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #585 on: June 03, 2014, 10:03:11 PM »

AP calls the Senate GOP Primary for Daines. No real surprise, but oddly enough, Cundiff is outperforming Edmunds which I wasn't expecting. Senator Walsh leads Bohlinger 64-23, but still no call here.

Zaun still favored to win IA-3's GOP Primary which is awesome for a huge pickup opportunity, but his lead is dropping against Cramer. Unfortunately, it seems unlikely Kajtazovic will win the Dem primary for Braley's open IA-1 seat. AP just called the Senate primary for Ernst, so that's good for us!

McDaniel is exactly at 49.9% against Cochran's 48.4% with 87% in. My God this is close! It's looking like Palazzo will beat Taylor in MS-4, but he can at best try for a runoff with him.



Logged
Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,392
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #586 on: June 03, 2014, 10:03:19 PM »

Meanwhile, Rankin has literally not moved for an hour.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #587 on: June 03, 2014, 10:03:36 PM »

I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.

And hopefully Travis Childers will be the Joe Donnelly of 2014.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #588 on: June 03, 2014, 10:03:43 PM »

I'm gonna make a projection right now: the MS race is going to a runoff.  You heard it here first, folks.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #589 on: June 03, 2014, 10:03:54 PM »

Anybody know if there's a large recount margin in Mississippi?

In Mississippi, there are literally NO recount laws whatsoever.
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #590 on: June 03, 2014, 10:04:24 PM »

This is insane.

There will probably be more total votes in JONES COUNTY than Hinds in Mississippi, home to the biggest city in the state.

Un-freaking-believable.

Jones County alone constitutes about 8% of McDaniels' total vote count so far.
Logged
free my dawg
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,140
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #591 on: June 03, 2014, 10:05:42 PM »

Zaun still favored to win IA-3's GOP Primary which is awesome for a huge pickup opportunity, but his lead is dropping against Cramer. Unfortunately, it seems unlikely Kajtazovic will win the Dem primary for Braley's open IA-1 seat. AP just called the Senate primary for Ernst, so that's good for us!

Either way if Zaun doesn't cross 35% it's headed to a convention.

And we all know how the IAGOP is...
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #592 on: June 03, 2014, 10:06:15 PM »

I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.

And hopefully Travis Childers will be the Joe Donnelly of 2014.

Are you accounting for Mississippi being one of the most inelastic Republican states in the nation? McDaniel will probably still win if he is the nominee.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #593 on: June 03, 2014, 10:06:37 PM »

Anybody know if there's a large recount margin in Mississippi?

In Mississippi, there are literally NO recount laws whatsoever.
How in the world do they make that work!?  (Other than not having close elections. Smiley)
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #594 on: June 03, 2014, 10:07:22 PM »

Although King (not our King Wink) is still in the lead for NM, Allen Webber is slowly creeping up on him 31-25. 39% in.

Apparently there is a runoff for the D's in MS-3.

In AL-6, DeMarco and Palmer will go to a runoff, ultimately though DeMarco should win.

Polls have closed in California, with its 53 house districts and 8 statewide races.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #595 on: June 03, 2014, 10:07:51 PM »

I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.

And hopefully Travis Childers will be the Joe Donnelly of 2014.

Are you accounting for Mississippi being one of the most inelastic Republican states in the nation? McDaniel will probably still win if he is the nominee.
Sure, if a guy with a history of making bigoted comments and whose supporters have been going after Cochran's ailing wife is electable.
Logged
7,052,770
Harry
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,370
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #596 on: June 03, 2014, 10:08:02 PM »

I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.

And hopefully Travis Childers will be the Joe Donnelly of 2014.

Are you accounting for Mississippi being one of the most inelastic Republican states in the nation? McDaniel will probably still win if he is the nominee.

Not saying Childers will win, but the "Mississippi is inelastic" meme only applies to presidential elections. Remember that as late as 2008 3 of Mississippi's 4 districts sent Democrats to the House.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #597 on: June 03, 2014, 10:08:14 PM »

Anybody know if there's a large recount margin in Mississippi?

In Mississippi, there are literally NO recount laws whatsoever.
How in the world do they make that work!?  (Other than not having close elections. Smiley)

Well, as long as there isn't a tie, I guess they're good Cheesy
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #598 on: June 03, 2014, 10:08:24 PM »

I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.

And hopefully Travis Childers will be the Joe Donnelly of 2014.

Are you accounting for Mississippi being one of the most inelastic Republican states in the nation? McDaniel will probably still win if he is the nominee.

Probably. But Mourdock was favored as well. Considering McDaniel is a racist neoconfederate, I'd say chances are pretty high he will make an Akin/Mourdock gaffe.
Logged
GaussLaw
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,279
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #599 on: June 03, 2014, 10:08:45 PM »

I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.

And hopefully Travis Childers will be the Joe Donnelly of 2014.

Are you accounting for Mississippi being one of the most inelastic Republican states in the nation? McDaniel will probably still win if he is the nominee.

Not saying Childers will win, but the "Mississippi is inelastic" meme only applies to presidential elections. Remember that as late as 2008 3 of Mississippi's 4 districts sent Democrats to the House.

Musgrove only ran 2 points ahead of Obama in 2008.  I'm not holding my breath for a Childers win.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 ... 98  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 12 queries.