The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[ElectionsGuy]

18 candidates running for CA-33. Goodness!

[Never]

AOS project McDaniel 49.78%, Cochran 48.61%.

The website is still showing up with McDaniel 50.1% on my end, with Cochran at 48.33.... but I'm sure Twitter is faster

[cinyc]

93% now in MS, McDaniel leading 49.7 to 48.7. Most of the counties with only partial results are going for Cochran, but a few are going for McDaniel. Still nothing in from Holmes or Covington though.

Holmes County probably doesn't have many Republican primary votes in it.  Its population is around 19,000, but it's about 85% black.  Covington should have mote Republican votes.  Its population is also around 19,000, but it is 65% white.  It neighbors McDaniel's best county, Jones County.

[free my dawg]

Renteria is stomping Hernandez with 13.7% in. 33-19, Valadao of course picks up 49.

[Never]

If it goes to a runoff, will Dems/indies be able to vote in it?

Not if we didn't vote in it today. I voted in the Democratic primary today for Childers, so I won't be able to vote in the runoff.

Voting in the primary is a prerequisite to voting in the runoff?

What?

I'm cool with that, if it keeps Democrats who didn't get up to vote in the original Republican primary from spoiling the runoff.

[Never]

93% now in MS, McDaniel leading 49.7 to 48.7. Most of the counties with only partial results are going for Cochran, but a few are going for McDaniel. Still nothing in from Holmes or Covington though.

Holmes County probably doesn't have many Republican primary votes in it.  Its population is around 19,000, but it's about 85% black.  Covington should have mote Republican votes.  Its population is also around 19,000, but it is 65% white.  It neighbors McDaniel's best county, Jones County.

Of course, the few black Republicans in Holmes will likely swing towards Cochran.

[7,052,770]

Covington County is scary. McDaniel may net 1000 or more votes there.

[free my dawg]

Looking like Doug Ose will beat Birman in CA-7. Jury's still out on whether Dems advance in CA-25 and CA-31.

Preferably Gomez-Reyes beats Aguilar, but Gooch loses.

[Maxwell]

Joe Baca is in fifth, behind the Gooch in California's 31st. That's former Congressman Joe Baca.

[Keystone Phil]

Is Jeff Bell the same man who knocked out Clifford Case in NJ?  He must be getting up there in years!

Yep

[Never]

AOSHQDD has McDaniel at 50.22%, Cochran at 48.21%

[7,052,770]

McDaniel down to 49.4%. Needs to gain about 3000 to avoid a runoff.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

AOSHQDD has McDaniel at 50.22%, Cochran at 48.21%

I wonder where they've been getting their numbers. AOS hasn't shown McDaniel below 50 for a couple hours now -- Politico has had him there for a while.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

94.5% in now for MS, McDaniel leading only 49.4 to 49 now. Covington still out.

[cinyc]

McDaniel down to 49.4%. Needs to gain about 3000 to avoid a runoff.

That was primarily a dump from Hinds County (Jackson).  The precincts weren't empty.  A runoff looks likely, barring a really strong pro-McDaniel turnout in Covington.

[Miles]

MS-04. Taylor = red, Palazzo = blue.

If Taylor won Jackson County outright, he'd likely be in a runoff.



Apparently, AP may not call this race tonight. Some Twitter posters said otherwise though.

[Lief 🗽]

Looking like Doug Ose will beat Birman in CA-7. Jury's still out on whether Dems advance in CA-25 and CA-31.

Preferably Gomez-Reyes beats Aguilar, but Gooch loses.

Ugh California...

[TJ in Oregon]

Does anyone have much insight into how the rest of the Rankin County vote will go? That looks like by far the biggest piece left out there.

[Never]

AOSHQDD has McDaniel at 50.22%, Cochran at 48.21%

I wonder where they've been getting their numbers. AOS hasn't shown McDaniel below 50 for a couple hours now -- Politico has had him there for a while.

I'm starting to wonder that too, but I wouldn't write off the data from AOS just yet. It is plausible that McDaniel could be barely holding on above 50%.

[Never]

Does anyone have much insight into how the rest of the Rankin County vote will go? That looks like by far the biggest piece left out there.

Okay, it looks like 16 precincts still aren't in from Rankin, but honestly, I don't know what will happen with them one way or another..

It seems like some projecters are contacting Hinds County to see if everything is okay down there with the results, so we should keep an eye on that one too.

[Donerail]

Probably outdated by the time I finished typing, but whatever. Uses AP data from the Clarion-Ledger's site.

Votes out:
15% of Choctaw
100% of Holmes
32% of Rankin
3% of Hinds
36% of Warren
100% of Covington
12% of Jefferson

[Never]

Oh wow, it looks like AOSHQDD is pulling some Cochran votes, they are thinking about projecting McDaniel as the winner. He might not have to go to a runoff. There aren't enough Cochran precincts left. Heard it here first.

[Torie]

Still got Holmes and 8 precincts out in Warren, 4 in Hinds. How many votes does Covington have?

[7,052,770]

The only way to avoid a runoff now is if Covington County nets 2500-3000 for McDaniel and McDaniel wins big in the remaining Rankin precincts. Not impossible, but not likely.

[Never]

Oddly enough, AOSHQDD has McDaniel down to 49.91%, Cochran at 48.52%.... This is the first time in a while that McDaniel has been below 50.