The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 145744 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #975 on: June 10, 2014, 09:34:50 PM »

Am I the only Democrat who's not happy about this? Reason and moderation lost, the Tea Party is back. Ugh.
No, Republican turmoil is good for Democrats. Crazy Tea Party candidates with Akin potential are good for Democrats.

This guy's voting record isn't going to be substantially different than Cantor's, and it's only 1 vote anyway. But any national bad news he can create for the Republicans is good for us.

Really this is bad for the Tea Party. Cantor might've been too establishment to be part of them, but as noted he always tried to position himself to Boehner's right flank. He was kind of their main guy in the GOP leadership. Knock him out and replacement him with some random nobody who's going to have a far right voting record but be a boring backbencher, and the Tea Party loses influence.
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Miles
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« Reply #976 on: June 10, 2014, 09:35:36 PM »

The only Tuesday I take a break from primary liveblogging and Cantor is ousted. Go figure.
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LeBron
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« Reply #977 on: June 10, 2014, 09:38:00 PM »

Oh yeah, also, let's cross our fingers that Lowden gets the GOP nomination for Lt. Governor. The polling suggests she will and although she benefits from name recognition, it's very awful name recognition at that.  Hutchinson is the establishment, Sandoval-backed candidate and Lowden is the Tea Party, Limbaugh-Hannity darling who's facing heavy debt problems from her 2010 run and is running against the state exchange and is even facing heat from her own base for supporting Reid many years ago. Basically, she's an utter trainwreck and Flores will be favored if Lowden wins. If Hutchinson gets the nomination, Dems would probably be out of luck.

And keep in mind, this election right here matters a lot in Sandoval's decision in whether or not he'll challenge Harry Reid in 2016 because if he does and he wins, Dems would have the Governorship and the NV GOP would hate Sandoval if that happened. So basically, the pressure is on Sandoval if Lowden escapes her primary tonight.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #978 on: June 10, 2014, 09:40:26 PM »

All votes in for AR State House District 16 and State Senate District 17.

Ferguson wins for the house, beating Trafford 60-40%!
Flippo wins for the senate, beating Burris 51-49%!

Still waiting to see who will get the 2nd slot in the SC GOP Lt. Gov. Runoff. Right now, McKinney leading Campbell narrowly with 95% in.

Nevada still refusing to report.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #979 on: June 10, 2014, 09:44:01 PM »

99% in, it never got closer. Cantor loses by 12 points. Wow.

This is awful. What reason did enough Republicans in his district feel he should be ousted?

Because they could choose a different representative who will essentially have the same voting record who ISN'T Eric Cantor.
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LeBron
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« Reply #980 on: June 10, 2014, 10:05:50 PM »

If it's any sign of anything, Trammell is beating Brat at something.....the RateMyProfessor ratings in which Trammell has a 3.7/5 among his students and Brat 3.4/5. Tongue  Trammell, a sociology teacher, has positive ratings from 2 of his 3 students in which the positive one says he's "passionate" and "makes you want to learn" while the negative one says he "rambles" a lot. Brat, the economic teacher, has 2 comments just from today (def. not a coincidence lol) and others say he's funny, animated, "charming", "hot" Huh, but is difficult to follow in his classes and quizzes.

NV-Lt-Gov - Currently, Flores is leading easily with 73% and in fact, "none of these candidates" is doing better than Flores unknown challenger lol. On the GOP side, Hutchinson leads 55-36 over Lowden, but no precincts are reporting, so it's still too close to call for sure.

NV-1 - Rep. Dina Titus (D) is easily winning her primary 83-17.

NV-2 - Rep. Mark Amodei (R) goes unopposed in his primary and whoever he faces among the Dems (Kristen Spees leads with 39% now), he'll likely crush in the general.

NV-3 - Erin Bilbray leading her unknown challenger in the Dem primary 84-16. It's an even district south of Las Vegas, so this seat is a much bigger possible pickup than NV-2 is.

NV-4 - Rep. Horsford (D) easily winning his primary and actually, it seems the Republican nominee will be Cresent Hardy who's high up in the Republican leadership in the NV legislature who leads over Niger Innis 45-29.

And OMG, The "None of these candidates" option leads the Democratic pack with 29% of the vote. LOL. Just LOL. Please. Make that happen.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #981 on: June 10, 2014, 10:10:41 PM »

Some sort of bug in the ap system is preventing it from showing a % in for NV. However, the GOP Gov primary has been called for Sandoval, who leads Hamilton 91-3%!

Blibray wins NV-3, 84-16% over Campbell!
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #982 on: June 10, 2014, 10:15:27 PM »

Lucy Flores wins NV democratic lieutenant governor, 73-15% over 'None of the Above'!
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #983 on: June 10, 2014, 10:16:13 PM »

It will officially be Haley v. Shaheen in November now, to.

This is South Carolina, not New Hampshire.  It's Sheheen, not Shaheen.  Still remains to see what impact if any, Ervin's run as an Independent Republican will have.
Whoops. That is a big mistake when one's a total DINO (Sheheen), but with Ervin and a Libertarian in the race, this might be worth watching still throughout the year. And speaking of spoiler candidates, could Ravenel steal enough votes from Graham to give Hutto even the slightest chance?

Remains to be seen if T-Rav can get on the ballot.  Petitions don't have to be filed until 15 July and the State Election commission has until 15 August to decide whether they are valid.  If you think Sheheen is a DINO then clearly you are condemning the Democrats to never win a Statewide office here for the next fifty years,  Hutto has no chance.  He only got into the race to keep Stamper from being the Democratic nominee and thus keep Jay Stamper from being Alvin Greene II.  Having accomplished his mission, I expect Hutto to run a minimalist campaign and let Democratic operatives here concentrate on the Governor and Superintendent races.
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #984 on: June 10, 2014, 10:16:58 PM »

What an amazingly pleasant surprise. My least favorite politician in the whole world struck by lightning out of nowhere.

That's the Tea Party way. We strike like lightning.
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cinyc
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« Reply #985 on: June 10, 2014, 10:18:28 PM »

Some sort of bug in the ap system is preventing it from showing a % in for NV. However, the GOP Gov primary has been called for Sandoval, who leads Hamilton 91-3%!

Blibray wins NV-3, 84-16% over Campbell!

I don't think it's a bug.   It's probably the early vote from the counties that are reporting.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #986 on: June 10, 2014, 10:25:24 PM »

What happens if "None of These Candidates" option wins?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #987 on: June 10, 2014, 10:26:13 PM »

What happens if "None of These Candidates" option wins?

The person behind NOTA wins. Disappointing, I know.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #988 on: June 10, 2014, 10:27:42 PM »

Whatever was going on with the % in (and # of precincts in, as that was showing '0' despite thousands of votes being in) in NV has now subsided.

With 4% in, Hutchinson leading Lowden 55-36 for GOP Lt. Gov.

With just 4 precincts in, None of the Above is leading Goodman 29-26 for Democratic Governor. Frye in 3rd with 11%.

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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #989 on: June 10, 2014, 10:31:16 PM »

What happens if "None of These Candidates" option wins?

The person behind NOTA wins. Disappointing, I know.
That's pointless.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #990 on: June 10, 2014, 10:34:46 PM »

Bob Goodman may finally be the Democratic nominee for something Tongue
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nclib
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« Reply #991 on: June 10, 2014, 11:12:03 PM »

I'm not sure if Democrats should be pleased by Cantor losing. Yes, Cantor's awful, but he was challenged from the right. Though I suppose it shakes up the GOP leadership and losing the only Republican Jew in Congress may have symbolic impact.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #992 on: June 11, 2014, 12:27:29 AM »
« Edited: June 11, 2014, 12:30:19 AM by Wulfric »

While it remains to be seen whether he can beat 'None of the Above', Goodman has won the Dem. Gubernatorial Nomination in NV, 25% to 11% over Frye with 67% in. 'None of the Above' is at 30%.

For GOP Lt. Gov., Hutchinson wins over Lowden, 54-36 with 67% in! Looks like Sandoval is free to challenge Reid in 2016.

And that wraps it up for tonight. No primaries next week, but two weeks from now, Cochran fights for his political life in the MS runoffs.

Note: Still too close to call for the 2nd slot in the SC GOP Lt. Gov. Runoff.
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ag
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« Reply #993 on: June 11, 2014, 12:39:43 AM »

I'm not sure if Democrats should be pleased by Cantor losing. Yes, Cantor's awful, but he was challenged from the right. Though I suppose it shakes up the GOP leadership and losing the only Republican Jew in Congress may have symbolic impact.

Well, at the very least the new guy will, for the moment, have no seniority and little weight in the House. So, the real question is, who replaces Cantor in the leadership. And that can go either way. A high profile Republican big shot has been taken out - without any effort by the Dems. Why would they be sorry?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #994 on: June 11, 2014, 11:52:33 AM »

The only Tuesday I take a break from primary liveblogging and Cantor is ousted. Go figure.
You are hereby banned from primary liveblogging.
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Badger
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« Reply #995 on: June 11, 2014, 12:00:52 PM »

I'm not sure why so many liberals and Democrats on the Forum are happy over this result. Yes, Cantor was a thorn in the side of any attempts at bipartisanship, even by Boehner, but whoever takes his role can be assured from this election result to be worse.

Any chance of even partial immigration reform has been pushed back at least several years.

On every other issue under the sun, any member of the GOP caucus even dreaming about a bipartisan move towards the sensible center will, more than ever, now fear of being "Cantored" by the far right. (And in a couple weeks, I fear, the Senate GOP caucus will live in terror of being "Cochraned").

Dems can't even be happy over a potential race for this district. Brat may be pretty extreme, but it's a +10 R district. The GOP is going to keep this hands down. At worst we MIGHT have to put a BIT of $ in to ensure a win, and probably only if Brat pulls some Akin-like comments.
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King
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« Reply #996 on: June 11, 2014, 01:06:33 PM »

It really has nothing to do with Cantor's seat, Badger.  This is a huge national story highlighting Republican dysfunction, that the highly unpopular Tea Party is not dead, and the GOP is not moderating.
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King
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« Reply #997 on: June 11, 2014, 01:15:07 PM »

PPP polled Cantor's district (all voters) last night. Probably inaccurate like the others of the district, but here's what they found:

Eric Cantor's approval rating: 30% approve, 69% disapprove.

Pathway to citizenship for illegals: 72% support, 23% oppose.

Back tax penalties for illegals gaining citizenship: 64% support, 32% oppose.

R+28 sample
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Brittain33
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« Reply #998 on: June 11, 2014, 01:59:25 PM »

Pathway to citizenship for illegals: 72% support, 23% oppose.

!!!!!
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Rooney
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« Reply #999 on: June 11, 2014, 02:13:26 PM »

The downfall of Eric Cantor is the best news yet in the 2014 election. That man is the epitome of what is  so terrible about all politicians.
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