The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[Miles]

Cochran 56% with 10%.

[TJ in Oregon]

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.

^ Good. Lankford would be a great senator.

Yup. No wrong answer in this one.

They're both wrong answers.  It's still WAY too early to call that primary, even though Lankford has a lead right now.

No Oldies, I wasn't calling the prediction right or wrong, I was calling either of them as a senate right not wrong. I don't care about predictions. I don't care who some random dude on the internet says will win. It doesn't matter. What matters is what kind of senator they would be.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

MD District 6: 4% in, Bongino ahead of Painter 82-18.

OK District 5: 3% in, Douglas ahead of Russell 30-24. Jolley at 17.

Inhofe wins the OK Reg. Rep. Senate nomination, 87-5 over Wyatt with 13% in! Rogers also at 5%.

For special senate dem., Johnson ahead of Rogers 42-37. Hayes at 22. For the reps., Lankford ahead of Shannon 56-34. Brogdon at 5.

For OK Governor, Dorman wins the dem. nomination unopposed! Fallin wins the GOP nomination, 74-15 over Moody! Ewbank at 10.

For MD Governor, 1.3% in, and Brown ahead of Ganzler 58-21. Mizeur at 19. For the Reps., Hogan ahead of Craig 43-31. Lollar at 14 and George at 12.

73% in in SC, Thompson ahead of Gallagher 62-38. Spearman ahead of Atwater 57-43.

10% in for MS District 3, Magee ahead of Quinn 55-45.

[Joe Biden 2020]

55-35 Lankford with nearly 1/4 in.

[Maxwell]

AOSHQDD calls OK for Lankford.

No one else has called it, we'll see.

[Never]

MS-Sen: AP with 12% of precincts in and Cochran at 55.2%, with McDaniel at 44.8%.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Lankford leads in Tulsa County 50-37 with 10% in and 76-19 in Oklahoma County with 8% in.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Calling it for Thad.

I'm about ready to do the same thing, but it's still early.

[LeBron]

The early MS-Sen results have Cochran narrowly leading 56-44 with 10% of the vote in. It seems there's also a Democratic runoff to determine who Gregg Harper's bait will be in November in MS-3.

Maryland Democrats look ready to nominate Anthony Brown as expected; he leads the pack 58-21-19 with an over 38,000 vote lead over Gansler. Hogan is winning the GOP primary 43-30 over Craig. In the House races, no main projections yet, but notably Van Hollen, Cummings, Ruppersberger, Sarbanes and Edwards seem to be coasting in their primaries. House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer wins his primary unopposed.

In Oklahoma, Inhofe is projected to win his Republican primary; he's winning with a bigger percentage of the vote than I was expecting. Silverstein wins the Dem primary unopposed. In the special, lucky for Lankford he's pulling above 50% with 13% of precincts reporting and it looks like Rogers/Hayes are keeping Johnson from breaking 50% in the Dem primary. For Governor, Fallin is projected to win her race, but there's some deep hatred against her because she's only getting 3/4ths of the primary vote against her no-name opponents. She's facing State Rep Joe Dorman (D) in November.

[Miles]

Only 10% in for Hinds but Cochran at 90% (!).

[Matty]

Not a single delta county has reported a vote yet. In a few minutes time, this thing will be called.

[Miles]

Cochran also is getting 60% in Jackson County (he lost it by 2 last time).

[IceSpear]

If Cochran wins, this month will be really bad for the pundit conventional wisdom.

Cochran is expected to win outright. Wrong.
Cantor is expected to coast to victory. Wrong.
McDaniel's energized base of Tea Partiers was supposed to propel him to victory in a lower turnout run-off. Wrong.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

The early MS-Sen results have Cochran narrowly leading 56-44 with 10% of the vote in.

I wouldn't call that narrow.  It's not really a landslide, but it's not real close either.

[Never]

MS-Sen: AP with 14.9% of precincts in and Cochran at 55.4%, and McDaniel at 44.6%.

[LeBron]

There's also a big State House seat to watch in Oklahoma tonight - HD 91 - the GOP primary. Scott Esk, the massive homophobe who wants gays killed is thankfully trailing in the early returns with only 15 votes out of 373 counted so far. I really want to hope that the constituents of this district have at least some heart tonight and reject Esk.

Cochran's lead has lessened a bit, 55-45, over McDaniel with 12% in. These returns are still very early and I still see a big McDaniel comeback very likely in the coming returns.

[Never]

If Cochran wins, this month will be really bad for the pundit conventional wisdom.

Cochran is expected to win outright. Wrong.
Cantor is expected to coast to victory. Wrong.
McDaniel's energized base of Tea Partiers was supposed to propel him to victory in a lower turnout run-off. Wrong.

Good point.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.

^ Good. Lankford would be a great senator.

Yup. No wrong answer in this one.

They're both wrong answers.  It's still WAY too early to call that primary, even though Lankford has a lead right now.

No Oldies, I wasn't calling the prediction right or wrong, I was calling either of them as a senate right not wrong. I don't care about predictions. I don't care who some random dude on the internet says will win. It doesn't matter. What matters is what kind of senator they would be.

What do you like about them?

[Talleyrand]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Any reason why you think that?

[Badger]

Lankford's lead is relatively uniform across the state at around 50-55%, with Cleveland running up his margins substantially.

Will the long awaited Bradley Effect finally materialize? If it doesn't in a Republican primary in Oklahoma, I doubt it would anywhere.

The Bradley effect is overrated.  The reason Tom Bradley lost his race wasn't racism; it was people lying to pollsters because they didn't want to be seen as racist for not supporting a black candidate.

That's the definition of the Bradley Effect...

All right.  Glad to see that you understand it.

Well, HE does at least.....

[ElectionsGuy]

Looks like Lankford is floating above 50%, he will probably avoid a runoff with Shannon

[Oldiesfreak1854]

There's also a big State House seat to watch in Oklahoma tonight - HD 91 - the GOP primary. Scott Esk, the massive homophobe who wants gays killed is thankfully trailing in the early returns with only 15 votes out of 373 counted so far. I really want to hope that the constituents of this district have at least some heart tonight and reject Esk.

Didn't know about this, but I hope so, too.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Looks like Lankford is floating above 50%, he will probably avoid a runoff with Shannon

It's still early, although I'd be bummed, too.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

18% now for MS-Sen, Cochran ahead of McDaniel 54-46. Don't start celebrating yet though, the early count leaned toward Cochran during the primary.

30% in in OK. Johnson ahead of Rogers 42-37. Hayes at 22. Lankford ahead of Shannon 55-36. Brogdon at 5.

12% in for OK District 5, Douglas ahead of Russell 29-26. Jolley at 17.

Up to 71% for SC SHD 54, Henegan ahead of Ohanesian 65-35.

18% in for MS District 3, Magee ahead of Quinn 54-46.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Looks like Lankford is floating above 50%, he will probably avoid a runoff with Shannon

I hope not. As Oldies said, it is still pretty early.