The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 145798 times)
cinyc
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« Reply #1825 on: August 05, 2014, 10:19:03 PM »

AP should be calling KS-01 for Huelskamp soon.  Huelskamp leads by 4,000 votes (53-47).  Best I can tell, the only counties with any major population centers still out are all of Finney (Garden City) and about 2/3rds of Reno (Hutchinson) - and Huelskamp is winning what's in in Reno 59-41.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1826 on: August 05, 2014, 10:19:58 PM »
« Edited: August 05, 2014, 10:23:30 PM by Vosem »

With 2 precincts in in WA-4, Didier is out at 47%, Newhouse at 17%, Newbry at 10%, the two Democrats at 7% each, and everyone else below 5%. Very early, of course.

EDIT: No point to a new post; with 20 precincts in, Didier is down to 36%, Newhouse is up to 22%, Beltran at 11%, Cicotte at 10%, Sandoval 7%, Newbry 6%. Everyone else below 5.
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Never
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« Reply #1827 on: August 05, 2014, 10:25:46 PM »

With 2 precincts in in WA-4, Didier is out at 47%, Newhouse at 17%, Newbry at 10%, the two Democrats at 7% each, and everyone else below 5%. Very early, of course.

EDIT: No point to a new post; with 20 precincts in, Didier is down to 36%, Newhouse is up to 22%, Beltran at 11%, Cicotte at 10%, Sandoval 7%, Newbry 6%. Everyone else below 5.

Didier and Newhouse seem like they have the best chances at ending up in the top-two slot, but this race seems like one of the harder ones to predict.
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« Reply #1828 on: August 05, 2014, 10:28:05 PM »

AOS just called one of the WA-04 spots for Didier.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1829 on: August 05, 2014, 10:29:20 PM »

In somewhat worse news for the GOP, Pedro Celis is currently trailing Some Dude Robert Sutherland for the right to face Suzan DelBene, who is at 52%. (Trailing 15-16; numbers don't inspire confidence). Denny Heck is only leading his opponent, Some Dude(tte?) Joyce McDonald, 51-41; this seat might've been an overlooked opportunity. All depends on where these votes are coming from, of course.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1830 on: August 05, 2014, 10:36:39 PM »

In Missouri, Amendment 7 was rejected and Amendment 9 has succeeded. Amendment 5 should succeed while Amendments 1 and 8 are fairly close.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1831 on: August 05, 2014, 10:45:35 PM »

With all of Finney and Reno counties now in, incumbent Huelskamp is projected the winner of the KS-01 Republican primary by the AP.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1832 on: August 05, 2014, 10:45:39 PM »

WA-4 could have the potential to have two republicans. This is one of the safest districts in the west anyway though.
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« Reply #1833 on: August 05, 2014, 10:51:08 PM »

WA-4 could have the potential to have two republicans. This is one of the safest districts in the west anyway though.

That would be nice. Newhouse (at 29% according to AOS) does have a clear lead over all of his opponents, so he should make it out of the primary after it's all said and done.
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« Reply #1834 on: August 05, 2014, 10:55:49 PM »

According to AOSHQDD, many ballots in WA-04 will take a few days to call:
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Never
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« Reply #1835 on: August 05, 2014, 11:06:30 PM »

AOS calls the second spot for Newhouse in WA-04, meaning that race will have two Republicans on the ballot in November.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1836 on: August 05, 2014, 11:10:28 PM »

Kansas Update:

1st District GOP goes for Huelskamp , who is leading LaPolice 54-46 at 85% in!
Senate Dem goes for Taylor, who is leading Weisner 53-47 at 89% in!

Michigan Update:

4th District goes for Moleannar, who is at 52% with 80% in! Mitchell at 37%.
8th District Dem goes for Schertzing, who finishes at 43%! Grettenberger at 38%.
14th District: 99% in, Lawrence slightly ahead at 36.1%. Hobbs at 35.9%.

Missouri Update:

1st: 81% in, Elder ahead with 40%. Baker at 34%.
7th District Dem goes for Evans 54-46 over Williams!

Washington Update:

Delbene gets the first district 1 slot!
2nd District slots go for Larsen and Guillot!
3rd District slots go for Beutler and Dingethal!
5th District slots go for McMorris Rodgers and Pakootas!
6th District slots go for Kilmer and McClendon!
McDermott gets the first district 7 slot!
8th District slots go for Reichert and Ritchie!
9th District slots go for Smith and Basler!
10th District slots go for Heck and McDonald!


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tmthforu94
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« Reply #1837 on: August 05, 2014, 11:13:38 PM »

Busy day!

Pretty pleased with the results - never would have expected KS-01 would be closer than KS-04. Glad Roberts held on...the Tea Party is slowly losing their influence.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1838 on: August 05, 2014, 11:22:49 PM »

Washington 4th District slots go for Didler and Newhouse!

Not Called Yet:
Washington 1st - Slot 2
Washington 7th - Slot 2
Michigan 14th
Missouri 1st

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1839 on: August 05, 2014, 11:32:04 PM »

And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.

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Vosem
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« Reply #1840 on: August 05, 2014, 11:50:33 PM »

And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #1841 on: August 05, 2014, 11:51:09 PM »

I still want to know why the Kansas Senate Democratic primary was so close. I didn't even know there was a second candidate, let alone that he was viable.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1842 on: August 06, 2014, 12:00:34 AM »

Missouri 1st District goes for Elder, who finishes at 39%! Baker at 34%.

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1843 on: August 06, 2014, 12:50:54 AM »

And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.

Not quite sure what's going on, but the vote totals have now changed to Lawrence 35.7%; Hobbs 32.4%...guess we'll just have to wait and see to know what the correct total is.

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1844 on: August 06, 2014, 12:52:39 AM »

My KS prediction is:

53.4% Roberts
45.1% Wolf
  1.5% Others

I got the margin more or less right, but underestimated the 2 fringe candidates:

U.S. Senate - GOP Primary
3487 of 3487 Precincts Reporting - 100%

48% Roberts
41% Wolf
11% Others
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Vosem
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« Reply #1845 on: August 06, 2014, 01:21:19 AM »

And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.

Not quite sure what's going on, but the vote totals have now changed to Lawrence 35.7%; Hobbs 32.4%...guess we'll just have to wait and see to know what the correct total is.



Two and a half thousand (2493 to be precise) votes and no precincts out should be enough for a checkmark by Lawrence's name, but none seems to be forthcoming...very odd. I guess Lawrence has won in that case (?).
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LeBron
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« Reply #1846 on: August 06, 2014, 01:25:46 AM »

I still want to know why the Kansas Senate Democratic primary was so close. I didn't even know there was a second candidate, let alone that he was viable.
Probably a problem of name recognition for Taylor led some voters to go with Wiesner. Outside of Topeka, Taylor I would imagine isn't well-known. I've gotta feel bad for Taylor, though. Like Childers, he only jumped in because he saw an opening to win the seat if Wolf won the GOP nomination.

The Tea Party may have narrowly been able to primary Roberts if it wasn't for those 2 perennial candidates. Wolf had too low of name rec. to get all of the anti-Roberts votes and if those 2 others dropped out, Wolf could have realistically beat Roberts 52-48.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1847 on: August 06, 2014, 01:29:49 AM »

And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.

Not quite sure what's going on, but the vote totals have now changed to Lawrence 35.7%; Hobbs 32.4%...guess we'll just have to wait and see to know what the correct total is.



Two and a half thousand (2493 to be precise) votes and no precincts out should be enough for a checkmark by Lawrence's name, but none seems to be forthcoming...very odd. I guess Lawrence has won in that case (?).
It showed 100% in when it was Hobbs 36.1% and Lawrence 35.7%, but then it suddenly changed over an hour later to Lawrence 35.7% and Hobbs 32.4%. Could just be operator error on the part of AP, but no one knows right now.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1848 on: August 06, 2014, 01:40:37 AM »

I still want to know why the Kansas Senate Democratic primary was so close. I didn't even know there was a second candidate, let alone that he was viable.
Probably a problem of name recognition for Taylor led some voters to go with Wiesner. Outside of Topeka, Taylor I would imagine isn't well-known. I've gotta feel bad for Taylor, though. Like Childers, he only jumped in because he saw an opening to win the seat if Wolf won the GOP nomination.

The Tea Party may have narrowly been able to primary Roberts if it wasn't for those 2 perennial candidates. Wolf had too low of name rec. to get all of the anti-Roberts votes and if those 2 others dropped out, Wolf could have realistically beat Roberts 52-48.

Todd Tiahrt really picked the wrong race. He ran to Moran's right in 2010 and only lost 50-45; he's much better known than Wolf, doesn't have any of Wolf's flaws, and could've easily consolidated TP, and some amount of establishment support to knock off Roberts. Instead he ran against Pompeo, got crushed, and probably finished his political career. He could be headed to the Senate right now.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1849 on: August 06, 2014, 01:50:10 AM »

Turnout once again down to new lows:

Only 18% voted in the primary (compared with 25% in 2010).
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