The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[Vega]

Schatz is ahead by 1%, roughly 2000 votes.

Surprised where he isn't leading by more... I assume there will be a fifth and final printout. That should give us something resembling our final vote count.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Sounds like two precincts in Hawaii county have yet to vote.

[Vega]

Sounds like two precincts in Hawaii county have yet to vote.

I think those two precincts will decide who Hawaii's next Senator is.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Its amazing. The closest race this season so far turns out to be a Democratic primary for Senator.

[cinyc]

The missing precincts are in Hawaii (2 today in Puna or Waimea (sources differ) plus the 2 in Puna that didn't vote yet) and 1 in Kauai (West Kauai).  But it probably doesn't matter for Hanabusa.  Schatz won every county in the last dump.  Barring some missing absentees (unlikely) or Puna miracle, it's over.  Schatz wins.

[Vega]

Okay, so from what I can gather there is going to be one more print out, and then tomorrow the candidates will hit the Big Island to campaign in the delayed precincts.

[Vega]

Fifth printout; Schatz lost 100 votes.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Fifth printout; Schatz lost 100 votes.

Wouldn't Hanabusa literally have to win every vote in those two precincts to win then?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

It looks like it's all in except the 2 precincts that haven't voted yet.

Schatz has a 1786 vote lead. He also narrowly leads in Hawaii county, where the two outstanding rural precincts are.  While both candidate are going to those precincts tomorrow to campaign, I'm pretty sure he wins.

[Antonio the Sixth]

How many registered voters are there in these precincts?

[Panda Express]

Schatz deserved the win. He's been working hard for the state. Abercrombie deserved to lose. I'm mostly happy Kim got pasted though. Overall, a good night.

[Vega]

How many registered voters are there in these precincts?

8,000.

It looks like it's all in except the 2 precincts that haven't voted yet.

I think the Fifth and final printout will cover the miscellaneous that haven't been totaled up so far. It's not enough to win an election for anyone.

On that note, though, it's 5:00 AM here in Pennsylvania. I'm going to get some sleep.

[Antonio the Sixth]

How many registered voters are there in these precincts?

8,000.

So if everyone turned out, Hanabusa would need a 22 point lead to flip the race. How likely is that?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

How many registered voters are there in these precincts?

8,000.

So if everyone turned out, Hanabusa would need a 22 point lead to flip the race. How likely is that?

There are enough voters that Schatz isn't going to ignore them, but it seems pretty clear he should win.

[Tender Branson]

Schatz seems to have won this, because it's unlikely that there's 100% turnout in the remaining 2 precincts and a big enough Hanabusa win.

[Tender Branson]

It seems there are also a couple thousand absentee ballots left to count, so the Schatz-win is not so sure yet (but still very likely).

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/26235519/2014-primary-gov-abercrombie-ige-senate-results

[RogueBeaver]

I feel sorry for Hanabusa. So close but no cigar...

[Keystone Phil]

Election to be invalidated. It's what Inouye would want.

[RogueBeaver]

She should've run for GOV. Alas, HI doesn't have runoffs...

[Adam Griffin]

It seems there are also a couple thousand absentee ballots left to count, so the Schatz-win is not so sure yet (but still very likely).

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/26235519/2014-primary-gov-abercrombie-ige-senate-results

Though looking at the turnout figures, it appears close to one-third of all registered voters came out and voted in the Democratic primary. With ~8,000 registered voters in these two precincts, we would have expected under normal conditions for there to be around 2,700 votes cast here.

On one hand, turnout here - even with the delay - could be down substantially due to the storm. On the other hand, it could go up due to both candidates making a final push. Something tells me the bulk of each will cancel the other out, giving us somewhere between 2,000-3,000 more votes at the end of it all.

AoSHQDD called it for Schatz and it makes sense. Hanabusa would need to get something like 70-95% of likely outstanding votes to pull off an upset.

[windjammer]

Well, it appears Schatz has won. Congratulations.
He's not my kind of democrat (Hanabusa was), but at least, he's a real democrat, so I will support him.

[Pandaguineapig]

I don't know the laws in Hawaii, but is this within recount territory?

[Vega]

I don't know the laws in Hawaii, but is this within recount territory?

Hawaii doesn't really have a recount protocol. Anyone can request one, but they would have to make their case for a recount to the Judge.

For Hanabusa, I'm not sure it "being close" is enough.

[Vosem]

I'm watching Djou on KITV... he seems so fake to me. Can't wait to see him lose in the General.

Hawaii Republicans seem to keep going with him since he once won some stupid retarded first past the post election with him and 2 Democrats.

I guess he's better than some random perennial dude like Kawika Crowley. But it's time to let go.

Something tells me Charles Djou is going to be the Campbell Cavasso of Congressional District 1. He'll keep losing, and he'll keep getting re-nominated.

Djou lost to Hanabusa 54-44 in 2012, while Obama beat Romney in the district 70-29. So he ran 15 points ahead of Romney. The only two candidates I can think of that ran further ahead of their presidential nominee in 2012 were Jim Matheson, Nick Rahall, and literally no one else. Say what you will about Djou, but he gave Hanabusa a serious run for her money in 2012 when Obama was winning here with 70% of the vote.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Candidates for Maui Mayor: Arakawa and Paltin
Candidates for Kauai Mayor: Carvalho and Barca

Margins for Key Races (99.2% of statewide vote reporting; all but DEM Senate have been called for the leading candidate):
DEM HI-01: Takai 45-28 over Kim
DEM Lt. Gov.: Tsutshi 54-36 over Hee
REP Lt. Gov: Ahu 71-29 over Sutton
DEM Governor: Ige 68-31 over Abercrombie
DEM Senate: Schatz 49.4%-48.6% over Hanabusa
HI-02 GOP: Crowley 57-43 over Capelouto

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Next up is Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Primaries, plus South Dakota Runoffs, on the 12th.