The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

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Keep an eye on Gwinnett Co. in GA; Perdue will probably win it, but whichever Republican is runner-up there will probably make it to the runoff.

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RCP has Kingston at 34%, Perdue at 26, Broun at 16, and Handel at 14, Gingrey at 7. Still waay to early to tell who makes it to runoff.

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Kingston up to 55% (!) GA-01 district results must be coming in pretty fast.

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McConnell polled around 55% coming in to tonight. He can probably fall to that point without much damage in the general.

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0.5% reporting in GA, Kingston at 53.6%

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Kingston down to 43%. Perdue still at 25, Handel at 12.

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I have 3% in for GA:
Kingston is down to 29.7%
Perdue 29.3
Handel 17.2
Broun 12.2
Gingrey 9.6

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No surprise here: AP just called the Georgia Democratic Senate primary for Michelle Nunn with 4% in.

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Arkansas now closed.

Nunn winning easily, Perdue and Kingston likely to go to a runoff with only 3% in so far.

Perdue and Kingston both seem like they will make it to the runoff, but that might change. Metro Atlanta is probably going to take longer to come in than the rest of the state, and the results there could vault Handel forward. Gwinnett, DeKalb, and Cobb aren't in yet.

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Supposedly a quarter of the results are in for GA-Sen primary:

DailyKos (via Secretary of State data) is saying Perdue leads Kingston 30-29, with Handel at 17.

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Supposedly a quarter of the results are in for GA-Sen primary:

DailyKos (via Secretary of State data) is saying Perdue leads Kingston 30-29, with Handel at 17.

politico is only at 20%, Kingston leading 31-30. hmmm....

The DailyKos and Politico are both good at calling elections, in a little bit we might see both of their results line up with each other. There is only a 1 or 2-point difference, and it is pretty early in the evening for conclusive results.

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^ Yeah, per AJC, Gwinnett is still not reporting, and we need to see the results there to determine if Atlanta is enough for Handel.

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^ Yeah, per AJC, Gwinnett is still not reporting, and we need to see the results there to determine if Atlanta is enough for Handel.

14/156 of Gwinnett is reporting.  Handel leads Purdue 34-31, with Kingston pulling 16.  I think Kingston is doing just well enough in Metro Atlanta to keep him in second.  We'll see.

Kingston might be close to maxing out, percentage-wise. I think he still has the edge above Handel, but it could be very close, and Handel could still snatch second place.

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GA-Sen (Ace of Spades):

Perdue: 30%
Kingston: 28%
Handel: 19%

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Kingston might be close to maxing out, percentage-wise. I think he still has the edge above Handel, but it could be very close, and Handel could still snatch second place.

Kingston really cleaned up in South Georgia.  He's leading in some counties with 70% of the vote.  Some of those counties are currently only showing absentee/early votes.  Granted, those counties are smaller than the Metro Atlanta big 4, but they greatly increase Kingston's overall margin. 

I haven't done any sophisticated math, but Kingston should have this, likely taking second.  Handel's margin over Kingston in the Metro Atlanta counties simply isn't large enough.

I think Handel's biggest problem tonight is that Perdue ran great everywhere in North Georgia, even in the Metro Atlanta counties, something that she might not be able to afford.

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^ In Cobb?! Wow, Handel probably can't make it now.

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If we get a Perdue/Kingston race (which seems to be very likely), then it will be interesting to see if an Atlanta vs. "Real Georgia" dynamic emerges.  I like campaigns with regional cleavages

The results in Georgia seem to indicate that Perdue and Kingston are both very strong candidates in the regions favorable to them. It appears that there could be a sharp North-South divide in the runoff. Perdue will probably win this matchup, given how Metro Atlanta will probably coalesce around him without Handel on the ballot.

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I wonder what a Purdue vs. Kingston runoff will look like. I'd imagine Purdue will be slamming Kingston as a Washington insider, but what will Kingston's strategy be?

Kingston could run as the traditional conservative Southerner in the race, but that probably wouldn't help him make inroads in North Georgia.

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Interesting primary.

Now all we have to do is wait two years and then, when Isakson retires, we get to see it happen all over again! 

You know, I would like to see someone other than Isakson in that Senate seat. Then again, I'm not particularly favorable towards Georgia Republicans.

I'd like to see Perdue win this year and Kingston in 2016.

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AOSHQDD has McDaniel at 50.4, Cochran at 47.97... this is getting scary.

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AOSHQDD says projected turnout is at 96% already, with McDaniel inching up to 50.84%, Cochran down to 47.48%

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I actually feel sorry for Cochran. First the whole scandal, now a decades-old career possibly coming to an end.

I have little sympathy for him. I line up with Cochran somewhat more so than McDaniel, but if he wanted to hold on to his seat without the fight that he is in right now, he should have been more proactive. He seemed to lack understanding of the Tea Party before McDaniel showed up as a threat.

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AOSHQDD up to 97% projected turnout, McDaniel up to 50.9%, Cochran down to 47.4%.

The trend is going in the wrong direction for Cochran right now.

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Anybody know if there's a large recount margin in Mississippi?

In Mississippi, there are literally NO recount laws whatsoever.

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I'll just say, no matter who wins tonight (or if it goes to a runoff), Thad Cochran is the Richard Lugar of 2014.

And hopefully Travis Childers will be the Joe Donnelly of 2014.

Are you accounting for Mississippi being one of the most inelastic Republican states in the nation? McDaniel will probably still win if he is the nominee.