The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (user search)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 146249 times)
Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« on: May 06, 2014, 07:37:19 PM »

On Issue 7, which #KeepsClevelandStrong, it's passing 62-38 (42,673 - 26,506) even with low turnout and a number of defectee "Democrats" who opposed the issue because "mah weed and alcohol."

Not a particularly unexpected result, but Sad
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2014, 07:32:39 PM »

No. Way.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2014, 10:00:57 PM »


I was rooting for Kingston, but Perdue is a good nominee nonetheless.

Yeah, it's important for everyone to see that we really dodged a bullet in the first round by keeping Gingrey and Broun out. These were two better-than-average candidates facing off.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2014, 07:44:17 PM »

Hobbs and Lawrence are both at about 40% in MI-14. Clarke is back at 19% Tongue

Nothing is in from Wayne County, though, and that's Clarke's base. Also, Lawrence currently leads Hobbs by 35 votes Shocked
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2014, 08:17:48 PM »


This is LaPolice, open up!
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Vosem
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*****
Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #5 on: August 05, 2014, 08:40:35 PM »

In MO-7, incumbent Billy Long is leading Some Dude Marshall Works just 56-44 with 12% reporting. Could be worth keeping an eye on.

And congratulations on a well-deserved victory to Justin Amash.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #6 on: August 05, 2014, 09:08:30 PM »

Looks like the MI and KS races have sorted themselves out for the most part. WA-04 should be interesting when the polls close there.

Not sure that this is the case; Hobbs/Lawrence and Huelskamp/LaPolice can both definitely still go either way.
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Vosem
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*****
Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #7 on: August 05, 2014, 10:19:58 PM »
« Edited: August 05, 2014, 10:23:30 PM by Vosem »

With 2 precincts in in WA-4, Didier is out at 47%, Newhouse at 17%, Newbry at 10%, the two Democrats at 7% each, and everyone else below 5%. Very early, of course.

EDIT: No point to a new post; with 20 precincts in, Didier is down to 36%, Newhouse is up to 22%, Beltran at 11%, Cicotte at 10%, Sandoval 7%, Newbry 6%. Everyone else below 5.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #8 on: August 05, 2014, 10:29:20 PM »

In somewhat worse news for the GOP, Pedro Celis is currently trailing Some Dude Robert Sutherland for the right to face Suzan DelBene, who is at 52%. (Trailing 15-16; numbers don't inspire confidence). Denny Heck is only leading his opponent, Some Dude(tte?) Joyce McDonald, 51-41; this seat might've been an overlooked opportunity. All depends on where these votes are coming from, of course.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #9 on: August 05, 2014, 11:50:33 PM »

And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2014, 01:21:19 AM »

And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.

Not quite sure what's going on, but the vote totals have now changed to Lawrence 35.7%; Hobbs 32.4%...guess we'll just have to wait and see to know what the correct total is.



Two and a half thousand (2493 to be precise) votes and no precincts out should be enough for a checkmark by Lawrence's name, but none seems to be forthcoming...very odd. I guess Lawrence has won in that case (?).
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2014, 01:40:37 AM »

I still want to know why the Kansas Senate Democratic primary was so close. I didn't even know there was a second candidate, let alone that he was viable.
Probably a problem of name recognition for Taylor led some voters to go with Wiesner. Outside of Topeka, Taylor I would imagine isn't well-known. I've gotta feel bad for Taylor, though. Like Childers, he only jumped in because he saw an opening to win the seat if Wolf won the GOP nomination.

The Tea Party may have narrowly been able to primary Roberts if it wasn't for those 2 perennial candidates. Wolf had too low of name rec. to get all of the anti-Roberts votes and if those 2 others dropped out, Wolf could have realistically beat Roberts 52-48.

Todd Tiahrt really picked the wrong race. He ran to Moran's right in 2010 and only lost 50-45; he's much better known than Wolf, doesn't have any of Wolf's flaws, and could've easily consolidated TP, and some amount of establishment support to knock off Roberts. Instead he ran against Pompeo, got crushed, and probably finished his political career. He could be headed to the Senate right now.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2014, 11:32:23 PM »

JOE CARR FOR TN-4 US REPRESENTATIVE 2016
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #13 on: August 08, 2014, 10:47:07 AM »

The AP updated this morning at 11: Jim Tracy now leads Scott DesJarlais, 34,653-34,651.

Not even sure what to say.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #14 on: August 08, 2014, 02:02:56 PM »

Both the SoS and AP have DesJarlais up 35 votes.

It reverted. This article reported the 2-vote Tracy lead before it was updated ( http://atr.rollcall.com/scott-desjarlais-chuck-fleischmann-tennessee-primary/?dcz= ) as well. Tracy briefly led again today at midday.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #15 on: August 10, 2014, 12:37:22 AM »

You know, Hanabusa is probably ideologically closer to me, and I would've voted for her after Inouye's endorsement, but I'm kind of torn on her leading. Schatz seems like a much more competent figure.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #16 on: August 10, 2014, 01:18:28 AM »

Hawaii News Now: Abercrombie would need 60% of the non-first-printout vote to pull off an amazing comeback.

Oh, he's finished. The question is, if he's expected to improve in later counts, whether Schatz will be dragged across the finish line.
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Vosem
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Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #17 on: August 10, 2014, 12:45:44 PM »

I'm watching Djou on KITV... he seems so fake to me. Can't wait to see him lose in the General.

Hawaii Republicans seem to keep going with him since he once won some stupid retarded first past the post election with him and 2 Democrats.

I guess he's better than some random perennial dude like Kawika Crowley. But it's time to let go.

Something tells me Charles Djou is going to be the Campbell Cavasso of Congressional District 1. He'll keep losing, and he'll keep getting re-nominated.

Djou lost to Hanabusa 54-44 in 2012, while Obama beat Romney in the district 70-29. So he ran 15 points ahead of Romney. The only two candidates I can think of that ran further ahead of their presidential nominee in 2012 were Jim Matheson, Nick Rahall, and literally no one else. Say what you will about Djou, but he gave Hanabusa a serious run for her money in 2012 when Obama was winning here with 70% of the vote.
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Vosem
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*****
Posts: 15,635
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #18 on: August 20, 2014, 01:29:46 AM »

So much for Treadwell surging at the end, I suppose, and Miller did shockingly well -- thankfully it doesn't look like quite as shocking as it could've right now (knock on wood)...
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