The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (user search)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 146074 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: July 22, 2014, 07:43:32 PM »

Drat. Poor Perdue. Sad
If Georgia keeps trending to the Democrats, I can see Jack Kingston being defeated for re election in 2020 easily.


Poor Perdue? He just took the lead for the first time.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2014, 07:44:45 PM »

LOL:

J. H. 'JACK' KINGSTON      
49.90%
128,398

DAVID A. PERDUE      
50.10%
128,933
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2014, 07:46:11 PM »

Adam, what's the recount threshold?

They gotta be within one point of each other...so it's possible if this hold.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2014, 07:48:31 PM »

Perdue's lead just passed 1000 votes.

Kingston's now back up by 500.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2014, 07:49:21 PM »

Perdue's lead just passed 1000 votes.

This is embarrassing. I'm never making a prediction again. Tongue Though most thought it'd be a Kingston blowout.

Whoah, the SoS has Kingston back up 500.

LOL I didn't edit my comment fast enough. Wink
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2014, 07:57:40 PM »

^ Whats wrong with the Republicans in GA-10!?

Almost 60% in and Hice is pulling away (leading by 8 ).

Columbia County has yet to report (only 300 votes). Wait for it...this probably isn't done.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2014, 07:59:23 PM »

^ Whats wrong with the Republicans in GA-10!?

Almost 60% in and Hice is pulling away (leading by 8 ).

Columbia County has yet to report (only 300 votes). Wait for it...this probably isn't done.

Oh nevermind, I keep forgetting only the rural parts of Columbia are in it. Sad
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2014, 08:02:38 PM »

The worst part about living in GA-10 is that I'm literally 5 minutes away from the fourth. So, so close...

And Walton County will be the culprit in all of this if Hice wins.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2014, 08:04:44 PM »

Hice's margin of victory just shrunk by around 1,000 votes.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2014, 08:07:51 PM »

Why is Perdue doing so well in North Georgia?  Isn't it the most conservative part of the state?  Why is Kingston not doing better there given his Tea Party-backed campaign?

Which part of North Georgia? It makes sense for him to be doing well in places like Cherokee and Forsyth (more or less like Desoto). He's the Metro ATL type of Republican; Kingston really isn't. Kingston probably could have done better there against someone else, but he chose to embrace some really blatantly negative campaigning with a Tea Party bent (not that the Tea Party can't do well there, but usually not in a race like this against a business Republican).

It doesn't make much sense for him to be doing well north and east of Hall County. Kingston's performance in my neck of the woods (NW) makes sense, though.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2014, 08:11:13 PM »

Man, Barr is getting just stomped. I wonder what turnout looks like in the northern and southern halves of the district (for the first time ever, that district has more people in Loudermilk's area than Barr's).

Hice's lead opening Sad
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2014, 08:16:23 PM »

Perdue's lead is widening. 1,600 votes now. Haven't looked at all the southern metros yet to see if there's really any outstanding votes left.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2014, 08:19:23 PM »

It's over. Nunn is smiling ear to ear. Perdue has a shady business history.

Pretty sure Kingston would have been better. A record to attack, not seen as a moderate, did worse in polling against Nunn, etc. Perdue is essentially the Democratic Michelle Nunn; there's not going to be as much room for contrast.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2014, 08:21:48 PM »
« Edited: July 22, 2014, 08:23:31 PM by Senator Griffin (LAB-NB) »

Bibb might have some votes remaining; a few possible in Augusta, Columbus and Albany. It's hard to say because turnout appears to be quite varied between counties...like a lot.

It's actually even more surprising to see Perdue ahead in those cities/counties right now than the race as a whole.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #14 on: July 22, 2014, 08:24:09 PM »

SOS has every county except for Dade (in NW Georgia) reporting something.

Dade is reporting; that's the shade for tie. Wink
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #15 on: July 22, 2014, 08:24:58 PM »

Am I the only one who is familiar with Kingston from Maher and really wanted him to win?

Yes, and that's why I wanted him to win, too: I know he's got the crazy deep down in him somewhere.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #16 on: July 22, 2014, 08:26:47 PM »

Kingston winning Clarke County
Perdue wins Dougherty County

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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #17 on: July 22, 2014, 08:31:02 PM »


Ohhh yeah.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #18 on: July 22, 2014, 08:34:42 PM »

Perdue's leading by 2,400. I'm disappointed, I'm sure the Chamber is, too, and we're all going to be having discussions in Georgia about how on God's green earth Jack Kingston managed to fumble right at the finish line.

Chatham County still has half to report and the margin is huge for Kingston. I don't think this should be called yet.

There's already been twice the turnout compared to the 2010 primary. Maybe half the precincts, but GASOS always delays displaying precincts are reporting; there are a lot of precincts that have fully reported but online system won't reflect it accurately for an hour or two after it's happened.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #19 on: July 22, 2014, 08:36:01 PM »

I think the rest of Chatham just dumped? Kingston ahead by 100. Cheesy
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #20 on: July 22, 2014, 08:45:22 PM »


RIP any respect left for our state Cry
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #21 on: July 22, 2014, 08:50:45 PM »

Vote dump - Perdue up by 5k


>implying michelle nunn can't salvage it if perdue wins

Perdue's the tougher candidate to face
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #22 on: July 22, 2014, 08:51:23 PM »


I'm pretty skeptical they are, since Perdue is only leading by 0.4% and there are a lot of outstanding counties.

No tickers on WSB or Chattanooga stations, but that's all I've been able to check (as in actual TV)
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #23 on: July 22, 2014, 08:54:31 PM »


>implying michelle nunn can't salvage it if perdue wins

All a Nunn win tells me is that a candidate could somehow win without staking out a firm position on anything and by being the daughter of a good senator. In other words, a Nunn win just means that family names are still important in GA.

Oh come on, you know it'd mean more than that. Refusal to acknowledge things like this is why y'all keep watching states fall.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #24 on: July 22, 2014, 09:06:55 PM »


>implying michelle nunn can't salvage it if perdue wins

All a Nunn win tells me is that a candidate could somehow win without staking out a firm position on anything and by being the daughter of a good senator. In other words, a Nunn win just means that family names are still important in GA.

Oh come on, you know it'd mean more than that. Refusal to acknowledge things like this is why y'all keep watching states fall.

I like Michelle Nunn as a person, but she doesn't have much substance on policy from what I'm looking at. If candidates can get away with that, fine, but that's really all I can say right now about this race should she win in November. I mean, Pryor and Landrieu still have a chance, but is either state trending Democratic like Georgia could?

I was referring to the bolded part.
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