The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 50587 times)
Donerail
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« Reply #400 on: August 26, 2014, 08:20:12 PM »
« edited: August 26, 2014, 08:32:53 PM by SJoyce of Harrenhal »

(Sorry in advance for spamming) Rich is doing much better in the northern portion of the state rather than the southern portion of the state. Grassroots campaign would've worked better in rural areas with no real media market. She leads in only one county, Putnam.

Grassroots campaigning, IMO, would probably work better in the southern parts of the state. Rich had a very limited budget, and in terms of dollars per contact it's a hell of a lot easier to do GOTV and voter outreach when everyone's packed together and centralized like in Ft. Lauderdale compared to Palatka. I do wonder what happened in Putnam, though - Crist carried Volusia, Flagler, and Marion with over 70%, and didn't get pushed under 60% in any other county bordering Putnam.
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Never
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« Reply #401 on: August 26, 2014, 10:06:44 PM »

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Looks like Ducey is running away with this already.
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« Reply #402 on: August 26, 2014, 10:10:07 PM »

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #403 on: August 26, 2014, 10:14:06 PM »

LOTS of early vote in Arizona. 55% predicted turnout but only 1% of precincts reporting.
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Flake
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« Reply #404 on: August 26, 2014, 10:17:56 PM »

(Sorry in advance for spamming) Rich is doing much better in the northern portion of the state rather than the southern portion of the state. Grassroots campaign would've worked better in rural areas with no real media market. She leads in only one county, Putnam.

Grassroots campaigning, IMO, would probably work better in the southern parts of the state. Rich had a very limited budget, and in terms of dollars per contact it's a hell of a lot easier to do GOTV and voter outreach when everyone's packed together and centralized like in Ft. Lauderdale compared to Palatka. I do wonder what happened in Putnam, though - Crist carried Volusia, Flagler, and Marion with over 70%, and didn't get pushed under 60% in any other county bordering Putnam.

We had a very dedicated group of volunteers up there. About ten, made calls all day every day.
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« Reply #405 on: August 26, 2014, 10:19:34 PM »

Ace of Spades calls AZ-Gov for Ducey:

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Miles
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« Reply #406 on: August 27, 2014, 12:34:27 AM »

For a bit of AZ trivia:

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #407 on: August 28, 2014, 08:41:15 AM »

DE results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/DE_Page_0909.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

MA results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/MA_Page_0909.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

NH results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/NH_Page_0909.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

NY results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/NY_Page_0909.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

RI results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/RI_Page_0909.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #408 on: September 01, 2014, 04:25:22 AM »

Teachout and Wu could both have surprisingly strong showings next Tuesday.

Cuomo's people are very nervous (especially about the Lieutenant Governor's race).
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Maxwell
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« Reply #409 on: September 09, 2014, 05:22:20 PM »

MA Gov. Dem Primary Prediction
46% Coakley
39% Grossman
15% Berwick

RI Gov. Dem Primary Prediction
36% Raimondo
35% Pell (Chaffee endorsement brings him down a point)
29% Traveras

RI Gov. Rep Primary Prediction
52% Block
48% Fung
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Vega
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« Reply #410 on: September 09, 2014, 05:30:08 PM »

I'm going out on a limb and saying that Pell will pull this out... Chaffee's endorsement probably didn't resonate yet.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #411 on: September 09, 2014, 05:55:51 PM »

Coakley wins by around 10.

Taveras wins in a narrow three-way race, with Raimondo second.

Block wins by about 8.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #412 on: September 09, 2014, 07:01:45 PM »

I'm going to say Raimondo wins by less than 5, upper 30's. And Coakley should win by double digits, lower 50's.
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Vega
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« Reply #413 on: September 09, 2014, 07:14:12 PM »
« Edited: September 09, 2014, 07:16:05 PM by Vega »

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Vega
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« Reply #414 on: September 09, 2014, 07:17:39 PM »

First numbers in the Rhode Island Governor Race:

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KCDem
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« Reply #415 on: September 09, 2014, 07:28:17 PM »


STOP THE COUNT!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #416 on: September 09, 2014, 07:28:39 PM »

Coakley - 39%
Berwick - 31%
Grossman - 30%

Raimondo - 41%
Pell - 30%
Taveras - 27%
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Vega
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« Reply #417 on: September 09, 2014, 07:32:23 PM »



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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #418 on: September 09, 2014, 07:35:55 PM »

When will the NY results start coming in?
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Flake
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« Reply #419 on: September 09, 2014, 07:36:29 PM »


9
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Vega
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« Reply #420 on: September 09, 2014, 07:36:46 PM »


9:00 EST.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #421 on: September 09, 2014, 07:37:30 PM »
« Edited: September 09, 2014, 08:05:51 PM by Northeast Assemblyman Sawx »

Worth noting - NH-Downballot race update. David Boutin is only leading Jane Cormier (the carpetbagger and Tea Party challenger to David Boutin) 54-46 with 57% of precincts reporting.

Everything else is fine. The rest of the incumbents look to be fine (or too early to call in for SD24).  Feltes (more progressive than Ardinger) wins SD-15, and crazy nutjob George Lambert leads establishment pick Robyn Dunphy 51-49 with one precinct left. Rest are too early to call.

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Vega
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« Reply #422 on: September 09, 2014, 07:39:39 PM »

Fung is leading Block 51 to 49.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #423 on: September 09, 2014, 07:41:35 PM »

Thanks! I am really interested in the NY primary as well as Rhode Island (which has already started to report).
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cinyc
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« Reply #424 on: September 09, 2014, 07:54:49 PM »

Thanks! I am really interested in the NY primary as well as Rhode Island (which has already started to report).

New York is not very fast at counting votes.  It's not like Florida.  I wouldn't expect anything meaningful until after 10PM.
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