The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[eric82oslo]

WI results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/WI_Page_0812.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Jeez, Mary Bruke only got 55% of the votes in the primary. Is she really that disliked within her own party?

[windjammer]

eric, this is a simulation, not the real results .

[The Other Castro]

eric, this is a simulation, not the real results .

AP accidentally revealing to the U.S. that elections are rigged Azerbaijani style lol

[free my dawg]

AOSHQDD calls it for Foley.

[Maxwell]

He's leading by less than I expected him to and his lead is shrinking, that press conference may be doing damage after all.

[cinyc]

He's leading by less than I expected him to and his lead is shrinking, that press conference may be doing damage after all.

Foley is doing worst in Fairfield County, which is in the New York City TV market.  There has been nothing about that press conference on NYC TV - and I've seen zero campaign ads on NYC over-the-air TV.  That suggests the split and (relatively) declining numbers is a geographic thing.  Both are from Fairfield County, but McKinney has greater name recognition there than in the rest of the state as his legislative district is in Fairfield.

Foley is winning almost every town that's fully reported.

[cinyc]

AP calls CT-Gov-R for Foley.

[Flake]

AP calls CT-Gov-R for Foley.

At least the Republican Lt. Gov race is pretty close.

[Maxwell]

He's leading by less than I expected him to and his lead is shrinking, that press conference may be doing damage after all.

Foley is doing worst in Fairfield County, which is in the New York City TV market.  There has been nothing about that press conference on NYC TV - and I've seen zero campaign ads on NYC over-the-air TV.  That suggests the split and (relatively) declining numbers is a geographic thing.  Both are from Fairfield County, but McKinney has greater name recognition there than in the rest of the state as his legislative district is in Fairfield.

Foley is winning almost every town that's fully reported.

Didn't know that, that's interesting.

[ElectionsGuy]

Matt Adamczyk is running on abolishing the Treasury department in Wisconsin, right now he's leading his opponent Melchert 58-42 for republican nomination.

[Flake]

Bacchiochi, Penny   GOP        22,297   35%
Somers, Heather     GOP       21,970   34%
Walker, David         GOP        20,141   31%

[cinyc]

Bacchiochi, Penny   GOP        22,297   35%
Somers, Heather     GOP       21,970   34%
Walker, David         GOP        20,141   31%

Now, Somers is leading by 127 votes.

[ElectionsGuy]

Somers neck to neck with Bacchiochi, 34% to 34%. Leads by little over 500 votes with 94% of the vote in.

[cinyc]

Somers neck to neck with Bacchiochi, 34% to 34%. Leads by little over 500 votes with 94% of the vote in.

What's left is in the state's largest cities, Hartford and Bridgeport, where few Republicans live, two precincts in East Lyme, where Somers is winning big, and Norwalk on the shoreline of Fairfield County, where there are some Republicans.  Somers is doing pretty well in the Fairfield County shoreline towns, at a minimum, keeping it close with Bacchiochi.  I think she has it.

[ElectionsGuy]

AoS calls Minnesota Governor R Primary for Johnson.

[Flake]

Somers, Heather   GOP   26,448   34%
Bacchiochi, Penny  GOP   25,930   34%
Walker, David        GOP   24,595   32%

[Flake]

100 percent in and still not called

Somers, Heather   GOP   27,178   34%
Bacchiochi, Penny  GOP   26,462   34%
Walker, David        GOP   25,162   32%

[Tender Branson]

Foley only won with 56% ?

LOL.

[Gass3268]

Interesting to see that State Senator John Lehman only won the DEM LG primary by 10% over Mary Jo Walters. Walters called herself a Green Independent Democrat in a newspaper editorial, so she definitely was trying to position herself to the left of Lehman. It will be interesting to see where she was the strongest.

[cinyc]

CT Gov-R by town:


Foley (winner) in blue.  McKinney in red.  Tie in grey.

CT Lt. Gov-R by town:



Bacchiochi in blue.  Somers (winner) in red.  Walker in yellow.  Ties in grey.

Note that this is from last night's AP data after all towns reported.  There may have been a subsequent update.

[Tender Branson]

AK results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/AK_Page_0819.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

WY results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/WY_Page_0819.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Badger]

CT Gov-R by town:


Foley (winner) in blue.  McKinney in red.  Tie in grey.

That's a surprisingly lopsided map for only a 56-44 split. Did McKinney absolutely clean up in his home region, and/or was the rest of the state mostly (outside Greenwich, it seems) fairly close despite being near uniformly going for Foley?

[cinyc]

That's a surprisingly lopsided map for only a 56-44 split. Did McKinney absolutely clean up in his home region, and/or was the rest of the state mostly (outside Greenwich, it seems) fairly close despite being near uniformly going for Foley?

Most of Foley's wins weren't fairly close.  They were at or above his statewide average - which was 11 points and isn't that really close in the grand scheme of things.  If I've done the spreadsheet math right, Connecticut has 169 towns.  Foley won 149.  McKinney won 19.  One was an exact tie.  Of Foley's 149 towns, he won 19 very slightly (50-55%), 56 at around his statewide average (55-60%), 48 in the low 60s (60-65%) and 26 with greater than 65% of the vote.  Almost half of McKinney's town wins were very slight (9), 5 were in the 55-60% range, 2 in the 60-65% range, and 3 were 65%+.

McKinney cleaned up in towns in and around his State Senate district, especially the town of Fairfield.  He actually won Fairfield County.  But he simply didn't do well in most of the rest of the state.

[homelycooking]

That's a surprisingly lopsided map for only a 56-44 split. Did McKinney absolutely clean up in his home region, and/or was the rest of the state mostly (outside Greenwich, it seems) fairly close despite being near uniformly going for Foley?

The percentage of the total GOP primary vote cast in each of the counties was as follows:

26.4% - Fairfield
23.8% - Hartford
18.0% - New Haven
8.8% - Litchfield
8.3% - New London
6.4% - Middlesex
5.2% - Tolland
3.1% - Windham

Though the towns east of the river comprise 40% of Connecticut's land area, only about 20% of Connecticut's Republicans live there. That helps to explain why Foley's victory appears more geographically sweeping than it does numerically.

[ElectionsGuy]

WY SoS with 4% in:

Buchanan - 35%
Murray - 34%
Illoway - 21%
Stith - 10%

Gov:

Mead - 60%
Haynes - 29%
Hill - 12% (lol, pathetic)