How likely would this map be in the coming years? (user search)
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  How likely would this map be in the coming years? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How likely would this map be in the coming years?  (Read 1997 times)
hopper
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,414
United States


« on: March 21, 2014, 01:02:09 PM »

Switch Virginia with New Mexico, and make both Maine districts D, than yes.
New Mexico isn't even a swing state anymore
Has a better.chance at flipping in say 10 years than Virginia. I believe Virginia isn't even winnable for Republicans in 2016, New Mexico can be winnable in the future if the GOP does better with Hispanics.

Not winnable in 2016?  Are you thinking Mississippi levels of elasticity in VA going forward?
What makes Virginia unwinnable going forward is that unlike other swing states, such as Colorado or Florida, is that the Dem advantage as of late is built on blacks rather than Hispanics. The state is 20% black, but has a negligible Hispanic population (~4%). So even if the GOP does begin to appeal to Hispanics more, they have little chance of better appealing to those black voters that they have consistently alienated over the past 6 years with their constant dog whistling over Obama, which will keep Virginia in the Democratic column.
Well yeah Conservative Talk Radio and media despises Obama just like the hard-left detested Bush W. I don't know about Dog Whistling the Conservative media has been pretty open that they don't like Obama because of his policies.
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