Which of these is the MOST likely pickup for R's?

[ElectionsGuy]

Not that any of these are "likely", but I would say Michigan, followed by Colorado. In Iowa, The GOP seems to have nothing, but in Michigan and Colorado the GOP is fielding very good candidates.

[Miles]

MI.

With CO being the DSCC Chair's state, Bennet would (will) focus a lot on helping Udall.

[publicunofficial]

CO > MI > IA



Michigan is fools gold, Colorado is still a state where a Dem incumbent could lose to a Republican.

Iowa, as you said, is already gone.

[morgieb]

Michigan for now, but I'm tossing up between that and Colorado. Will wait until we see some polling out of Colorado.

[SWE]

Michigan is the only possibility

[windjammer]

Michigan!

[RogueBeaver]

Colorado. Purplish-blue with a top candidate and a weakened Dem incumbent. I've said my bit on IA/MI before.

[free my dawg]

Colorado, by far. Voters will come home to Peters.

[IceSpear]

Michigan. Democrats in Michigan, even moreso than Democrats nationally, tend to not vote in midterms.

[TDAS04]

Michigan.

[LeBron]

Narrowly Michigan. Peters (and Schauer) are throwing away seats that should be easy gets for them, but Obama won the state by 10 points in 2012, so even if there's lower Democratic turnout, Peters should be able to pull out a win over Land in the end. It's only a matter of time before the polls show the race starting to favor Peters more, to.

Colorado I feel is kind of overrated as of late. Gardner isn't even a sure thing for the nomination and you can better believe that the Tea Party will do everything to stop him or at least hurt him in the primary with Owen Hill. Udall himself is a weakened incumbent, but Gardner just can't get the job done and especially when Tancredo will be on the same ballot as him. And Iowa will barely be competitive at all.

[Suburbia]

I would say Michigan as well. Narrowly though. I see Peters losing by 2-3 points, unless he turns his campaign around in the fall.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I would say Michigan as well. Narrowly though. I see Peters losing by 2-3 points, unless he turns his campaign around in the fall.

Peters is a better candidate than Schauer and Hickenlooper is a better candidate than Udall. We have enough of a firewall in which AK, Mnt and La can make up for the loss in CO, not MI.  So, Udall stands more of a chance of losing than Peters.

And MI leans more leftward, Prez side than CO.

[JRP1994]

Lol hindsight.

[Türkisblau]

Hilarious that the top voted on the three was the only one not to flip.

+1 for disastrous campaigns all around

[ElectionsGuy]

Not that any of these are "likely", but I would say Michigan, followed by Colorado. In Iowa, The GOP seems to have nothing, but in Michigan and Colorado the GOP is fielding very good candidates.

Holy f***, threads from March.

[Türkisblau]

Not that any of these are "likely", but I would say Michigan, followed by Colorado. In Iowa, The GOP seems to have nothing, but in Michigan and Colorado the GOP is fielding very good candidates.

Holy f***, threads from March.

You have to admit that Joni Ernst practically came out of left field, they are totally spot on in CO as Gardner was a great candidate, and Terri Lynn Land seemed like a good candidate but she just imploded.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Not that any of these are "likely", but I would say Michigan, followed by Colorado. In Iowa, The GOP seems to have nothing, but in Michigan and Colorado the GOP is fielding very good candidates.

Holy f***, threads from March.

You sound like you want a big, black marker? Classified on national security grounds should do it.

[free my dawg]

Not that any of these are "likely", but I would say Michigan, followed by Colorado. In Iowa, The GOP seems to have nothing, but in Michigan and Colorado the GOP is fielding very good candidates.

Holy f***, threads from March.

You have to admit that Joni Ernst practically came out of left field, they are totally spot on in CO as Gardner was a great candidate, and Terri Lynn Land seemed like a good candidate but she just imploded.

Ernst wasn't the wunderkind everyone thinks she was. Never mind that Braley's outside gaffes were an issue- he  simply refused to attack her weak points and just simply went with generic talking points.

[SWE]

Michigan is the only possibility

Mods, please ban March SWE

[Vosem]

Remarkable also how Democrats kept using 'tea party primary challenges will hurt Republicans' as a crutch all the way until primaries were finished and they realized no bad candidates were coming out of left field. (Land, as this thread demonstrates, was a terrible candidate, but that wasn't apparent to either side in March and it'd been clear she'd be the nominee since the summer of 2013).

[justfollowingtheelections]

lol good job bringing this thread back to the surface.  This is the only proof we need that we cannot be certain about anything so far in advance.