WV-03: NRCC: Rahall down 14 (!)
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  WV-03: NRCC: Rahall down 14 (!)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: WV-03: NRCC: Rahall down 14 (!)  (Read 939 times)
Miles
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« on: March 11, 2014, 08:37:02 AM »
Article.

Jenkins (R)- 54%
Rahall (D)- 40%
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free my dawg
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« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2014, 09:00:36 AM »
Worth noting that Tarrance Group's House polls were horrifically off base last year. Not doubting Rahall is down, but he's not this far down, but this is closer to "Great news" territory than "Dominating."
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2014, 09:44:22 AM »
Dominating.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2014, 10:02:16 AM »
Oh, Krazen.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2014, 03:30:17 PM »
This pollster also has Sean Patrick Maloney, Steven Horsford, and Jerry McNerney being "dominated" last cycle.


And they all lost so 2014 looks to be worse than 2010.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2014, 03:53:33 PM »
Those numbers seem ridiculous, but Rahall is in trouble regardless.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2014, 11:38:37 AM »
This is a rare NRCC poll that is remotely believable... although I'll probably spot Rahall 2-3 %
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: March 12, 2014, 10:28:14 PM »
I still don't see why Rahall would lose when he could win in 2012 even with Obama on the ballot...
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: March 13, 2014, 12:51:34 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 12, 2014, 10:28:14 PM
I still don't see why Rahall would lose when he could win in 2012 even with Obama on the ballot...

I think the tide West Virginia politics is moving faster than the midterm-Presidential election year cycle can help.

Not that I think Rahall is down 14, but he's probably down significantly.
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Joshgreen
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« Reply #9 on: March 13, 2014, 04:06:37 PM »
Quote from: Former Senator Maxwell on March 13, 2014, 12:51:34 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on March 12, 2014, 10:28:14 PM
I still don't see why Rahall would lose when he could win in 2012 even with Obama on the ballot...

I think the tide West Virginia politics is moving faster than the midterm-Presidential election year cycle can help.

Not that I think Rahall is down 14, but he's probably down significantly.

Nick Rahall isn't Lincoln Davis and West Virginia isn't Tennessee. If Rahall loses, he loses by no more than 8.
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Miles
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« Reply #10 on: March 13, 2014, 04:12:06 PM »
Quote from: Joshgreen on March 13, 2014, 04:06:37 PM
Nick Rahall isn't Lincoln Davis and West Virginia isn't Tennessee. If Rahall loses, he loses by no more than 8.

FWIW, WV-03 is now up to R+14; same PVI as TN-04 when it turfed Davis.
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Joshgreen
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« Reply #11 on: March 13, 2014, 04:25:28 PM »
Quote from: Miles on March 13, 2014, 04:12:06 PM
Quote from: Joshgreen on March 13, 2014, 04:06:37 PM
Nick Rahall isn't Lincoln Davis and West Virginia isn't Tennessee. If Rahall loses, he loses by no more than 8.

FWIW, WV-03 is now up to R+14; same PVI as TN-04 when it turfed Davis.


Yes, but WV 2014 isn't yet TN 2010. It will probably get there in 10 years but it isn't there yet.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #12 on: March 13, 2014, 06:32:14 PM »
It's been a while since we've seen a poll produced to goad an incumbent into retiring.
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Miles
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« Reply #13 on: March 13, 2014, 07:58:42 PM »
Quote from: Gravis Marketing on March 13, 2014, 06:32:14 PM
It's been a while since we've seen a poll produced to goad an incumbent into retiring.

The filing deadline passed last month.
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