prediction for tomorrow Illinois GOP governor primary election??

[bluedogsam]

i thought i would ask about the primary election for governor on the gop side since there is not really a contest on the dem side. i think myself Rauner will in it but Kirk will come in maybe a close 2nd and brady 3rd and rutherford 4th. i could be wrong.

[Mr. Illini]

1) Rauner
2) Brady
3) Dillard
4) Rutherford

Saying Brady will get 2nd because southern and central Illinois voters are more likely to turn out than suburban voters.

[TX Conservative Dem]

1.) Rauner
2.) Brady due to support from Southern and Central Illinois.
3.) Rutherford
4.) Dillard

[Flake]

1. Dillard
2. Rauner
3. Brady
4. Rutherford

[NewYorkExpress]

Attempting to call primaries for all Illinois races (when applicable)

Governor Lieutenant/Governor
Democrats
Pat Quinn/Paul Vallas 59%

Tio Hardiman/Brunell Donald 39%

Republicans

Bruce Rauner/Evelen Sanguinetti 39%

Bill Brady/Maria Rodriguez 29%

Dan Rutherford/Steve Kim 18%

Kirk Dillard/Jil Tracy 12%


Treasurer (Rutherford running for Governor)

Republicans

Tom Cross 69%
Bob Grogan 29%

House of Representatives

3rd Congressional District

Republicans
Sharon Brannigan 57%
Diane Harris 41%

4th Congressional District

Democrats

Luis Gutierrez 78%
Jorge Zavala 19%
Alexandra Eidenberg 2%

8th Congressional District

Republicans
Manju Goel 53%
Lawrence Kaifesh 46%

9th Congressional District
Republicans

David Earl Williams III 51%
Susanne Atanus 48%

11th Congressional District

Ian Bayne 36%
Darlene Senger 29%
Chris Balkema 17%
Bert Miller 15%

13th Congressional District

Democrats

Ann Callis 49%
George Gollin 29%
David Green 21%

Republicans

Rodney Davis 57%
Erika Harold 31%
Michael Firsching 9%


14th Congressional District
Democrats
Dennis Anderson 68%
John Hosta 31%

16th Congressional District

Republicans

Adam Kinzinger 53%
David Hale 45%

18th Congressional District
Democrats
Rob Mellon 56%
Darell Miller 42%

[Tender Branson]

Why not ?

DEMS: 68% Quinn, 32% Hardiman

GOP: 38% Rauner, 33% Dillard, 17% Brady, 12% Rutherford

[Mr. Illini]

Democrats

Ann Callis 49%
George Gollin 29%
David Green 21%

Gollin will do significantly better than Green...He has been campaigning hard and his name recognition will help him tremendously, especially in Champaign.

[hopper]

Rauner beats Dillard by 5 % points.

[Maxwell]

Republican Primary:
38% Rauner
33% Dillard
24% Brady
5% Rutherford

[Miles]

Republican Primary:
42% Rauner
28% Dillard
24% Brady
6% Rutherford

[Tender Branson]

DEMS: 68% Quinn, 32% Hardiman

GOP: 38% Rauner, 33% Dillard, 17% Brady, 12% Rutherford

Finally a prediction that was not off by a lot (within 4% of all):

DEMS: 72% Quinn, 28% Hardiman

GOP: 40% Rauner, 37% Dillard, 15% Brady, 8% Rutherford

[Maxwell]

My prediction wasn't too bad, but I gave Brady too much and underestimated Dillard.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Prediction: a Republican is going to win this.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Win what? The Gov election. They are certainly licking their chops on taking on Pat Quinn. But the Dems yesterday showed more of a united front with alll officeholders, besides Madigans, appearing with Quinn, who have their own self interest at heart. Rauner didn't have Edgar or any officeholder standing behind him.

[Joshgreen]

Rauner is preparing to be a heroic union buster!

Yes, but he's set himself up to be trashed in Novemver.

[IceSpear]

Rauner is preparing to be a heroic union buster!

Luckily the Democratic legislature would stop him from going full Walker/Snyder/Kasich.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems won't lose IL unless there is a wave of 7 new GOP seats. They will probably net less than that and come up short. It is hard to see with a veto proof state legislature, the Democratic Cook County machine letting this one slip away. And that is the only county Quinn needs.

This goes the same for Synder, LePage and Corbett.

[Bojack Horseman]

Rauner is preparing to be a heroic union buster!

Good lord, I have to endorse Quinn then.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Rauner is pushing for term limits on the General Assembly, with 8 years both in the IL House and IL Senate, plus he wants to limit the number of State Senators from 59 to 41.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The term limits initiatives is already gonna be a referendum on the ballot. That is the only thing he cares to limit Cooks influence in the state legislature. He wants to divert state money from Cook to rest of state. Term limits worked in the GOP primary. But Jobs is gonna be key to this election.

We need a Jobs bill that increase the minimum wage that he rejects.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

How Rauner would get any anti-union bills passed in a heavily Democratic Illinois legislature is beyond me.