Could Hillary get 40% in OK?

[Joe Biden 2020]

If this were 2008, yeah, Hillary could get 40% in Oklahoma.  However, her ceiling now is 36-37%, I believe.  The reason it has gone down is simply clear:  Barack H. Obama.  If Hillary hadn't become the Secretary of State and appeared to have shifted drastically to the left then she might have done well, but Obama did her in here, I believe.  If Obama were to run again in 2016, he would be in jeopardy of only getting in the 20's in Oklahoma.  This state is anti-Obama to the core.

[Joshgreen]

If this were 2008, yeah, Hillary could get 40% in Oklahoma.  However, her ceiling now is 36-37%, I believe.  The reason it has gone down is simply clear:  Barack H. Obama.  If Hillary hadn't become the Secretary of State and appeared to have shifted drastically to the left then she might have done well, but Obama did her in here, I believe.  If Obama were to run again in 2016, he would be in jeopardy of only getting in the 20's in Oklahoma.  This state is anti-Obama to the core.

No way Obama could go lower given his having reached the bottom threshold of the Democratic vote in 2012. Who in Oklahoma who is going to vote Republican didn't in 2012.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

If this were 2008, yeah, Hillary could get 40% in Oklahoma.  However, her ceiling now is 36-37%, I believe.  The reason it has gone down is simply clear:  Barack H. Obama.  If Hillary hadn't become the Secretary of State and appeared to have shifted drastically to the left then she might have done well, but Obama did her in here, I believe.  If Obama were to run again in 2016, he would be in jeopardy of only getting in the 20's in Oklahoma.  This state is anti-Obama to the core.

According to the poll referenced in this thread, Edwards could have gotten 50% against Romney in 08: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=66879.0.

Couldn't find the original poll.

[⛄]

Having read all the comments, I don't dare anymore to say that Hillary will lose OK by only ten percentage points and that she will win CD 2 and CD 5...

[Reginald]

Who in Oklahoma who is going to vote Republican didn't in 2012.

Yeah. I mean, you'd basically have to be one of those people who decide whom to vote for literally at the voting booth for that idea to hold any water whatsoever.

[Suburbia]

I can see Hillary getting at least 40% of the vote in Oklahoma, but she won't win the state.

[Badger]

No. I think her rural and southern appeal is far overrated. High 30s would be tops.

I could see her winning one of the heavily Native American counties though.

This, though I'd say her chances of winning even Cherokee County (or any other) are unlikely.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I hope not.  That would mean she's made quite a few concessions/appeals to the right.