Which is more likely to happen
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  Which is more likely to happen
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Well?
#1
A Republican wins against Hillary in 2016
 
#2
Mark Kirk is re elected
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: Which is more likely to happen  (Read 910 times)
I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
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« on: March 23, 2014, 12:36:56 PM »

This should get interesting.
I say option 1, because Mark Kirk seems to be the most likely senator to lose re election in 2016 if you ask me.
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Joshgreen
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« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2014, 01:35:17 PM »

Both equally unlikely but my gut gives the edge to Kirk pulling through.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2014, 02:12:12 PM »

Option 1 is more likely due to the fact it is a third term Dem administration. Wisconsin is the most likely pickup. Kirk is number 2 and will lose to about any Dem running.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2014, 02:19:47 PM »

Hillary losing, since she can really screw up and lose, plus what OC said. Mark Kirk hasn't screwed up at all and he's going to have an uphill climb in 2016.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2014, 02:25:51 PM »

Mark Kirk may have an uphill battle, but it's going to probably be more uphill for the GOP to take the White House.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #5 on: March 23, 2014, 03:02:47 PM »

It's more likely the Illinois Dems nominate a bad candidate than the National GOP nominate a good one.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2014, 03:10:49 PM »

Democratic machine is very powerful and a midterm House tsunami saved Mark Kirk last time. No, Madigan or Hynes may not run, but if Pat Quinn can win, so can either Sheila Simon or Tammy Duckworth.
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henster
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« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2014, 03:17:07 PM »
« Edited: March 23, 2014, 06:14:57 PM by henster »

Lisa Madigan should have no problem unseating Kirk. I believed the only reason she passed on a primary run against Quinn was because she plans to run for Senate in 2016.
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morgieb
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« Reply #8 on: March 23, 2014, 03:25:08 PM »

Too early to say. I say Hillary as she doesn't need awful circumstances to lose IMO.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: March 23, 2014, 04:47:11 PM »

It's more likely the Illinois Dems nominate a bad candidate than the National GOP nominate a good one.

Seriously. Just look at what winners Dems have been nominating there. Rod Blagojevich, Alexi Giannoulias, Pat Quinn...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: March 23, 2014, 05:06:54 PM »

When you have 1 party domination of govt, just like Georgr Ryan and Jim Ryan, when GOP was in charge, you have corruption. But, Dan Hynes could of ran this time or next, he chose to drop out of politics.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #11 on: March 23, 2014, 06:10:50 PM »

When you have 1 party domination of govt, just like Georgr Ryan and Jim Ryan, when GOP was in charge, you have corruption.



Rod would like a word with you.
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henster
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« Reply #12 on: March 23, 2014, 06:17:25 PM »

It's more likely the Illinois Dems nominate a bad candidate than the National GOP nominate a good one.

Seriously. Just look at what winners Dems have been nominating there. Rod Blagojevich, Alexi Giannoulias, Pat Quinn...

I don't think the Democrats will make the same mistake again especially if they lose the Senate in 2014 they will want to win as many seats as they can in 2016. I expect a top-tier challenger against Kirk like Madigan, Duckworth, Simon, Kelly etc. they have a very deep bench too.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
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« Reply #13 on: July 18, 2014, 06:27:40 PM »

Thinking option 1 now, given the last few weeks.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #14 on: July 18, 2014, 07:05:54 PM »

Probably option 1.
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Vega
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« Reply #15 on: July 18, 2014, 07:17:55 PM »

Option 1. Hillary has screwed up things before.
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