The previous two posters in your state
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  The previous two posters in your state
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Author Topic: The previous two posters in your state  (Read 15264 times)
Bigby
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« Reply #75 on: December 03, 2014, 02:45:05 PM »

Georgia Democratic Primary for Senate, 2016:

Congressman Hank Johnson: 51%
Activist MormDem: 28%
Former Governor Zell Miller: 14%
State Senator TNF: 7%

After a gaffe relating to affirmative action, Former Governor Zell Miller faces a massive decline with minorities and white liberals. Activist MormDem and State Senator TNF join the race two weeks before the deadline as protest votes. MormDem, despite some hostilities to his Mormon faith, does particulary well with white liberals and some Hispanics while TNF gets a shocking 7% of the vote despite his far-left views. However, Congressman Hank Johnson wins the nomination and barely avoids a runoff thanks to a coalition of black voters, Hispanics who did not support MormDem, and a small percentage of white voters.
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rpryor03
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« Reply #76 on: December 03, 2014, 04:46:29 PM »

New Jersey General Senate Election, 2018
State Senator Thomas Kean: 48.5%
Senator Bob Menendez: 47.5%
Activist TNF: 1.5%
State Representative Bigby: 1.5%

After their tries to primary the eventual nominees, Activist TNF and State Rep. Bigby get the Green and Libertarian nominations. However, Menendez and Kean were the main vote getters.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #77 on: December 04, 2014, 01:29:05 AM »

Generic Rural CA District Primary, GOP

Bigby: 55%
rpryor 45%:
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #78 on: December 04, 2014, 08:39:42 PM »

Very strange election in Missouri.  Rural areas swing hard for MormDem compared to past elections due to the Evangelical vote, outside of SW Missouri.  Rpryor squeaks it out due to the Ozarks + St. Louis/KC Republican dominance.
Rpryor = 50.01%
MormDem = 49.99%
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Goldwater
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« Reply #79 on: December 05, 2014, 01:38:58 AM »

MormDem would win, although the social conservatism of both candidates would cause really low turnout.
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🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
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« Reply #80 on: December 05, 2014, 01:57:34 AM »

A GaussLaw vs Goldwater battle for the Mayoralty of Greater London would be an intriguing mess. Neither GaussLAw's socially conservative economically populist message nor Goldwater's admiration of such figures as is namesake would set the Labour-leaning city alight. I think GaussLaw could pull it off narrowly by playing it safe - less focus on religious issues per se, more of an appeal to stability, law and order and possibly a safe deal on trains.

I think Goldwater would be seen as too risky for a city that is largely confident of its place in the world and sceptical of a "foreign" idealogy like libertarianism. He might win somewhere like Kensington or areas of cosmopolitan commuters like Finchley. Ethnic minority areas - Tower Hamlets, Tottenham, Edmonton - etc. would rocket downwards in turnout, as would the hipster boroughs like Islington.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #81 on: December 05, 2014, 04:37:36 PM »

Georgia Gubernatorial Election, 2016
Goldwater: 57%
CrabCake: 43%
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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« Reply #82 on: December 05, 2014, 06:13:57 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2014, 02:33:57 PM by New Canadaland »

Including three posters to get the whole trio of major Ontarian parties:
Ontario election 2018

(blatant paint edit)

Goldwater (PC) 31 seats
Only major change to the PC coalition is stronger support among white exurbaners, and his losses in less libertarian rural southwest and midwestern Ontario are staunched by the fact that his opponents are not particularly appealing there either. Ultimately Goldwater loses as he is painted as too radical but still does better than Hudak since he puts together a more compelling platform and campaign.

Yelnoc (Lib) 55 seats
Yelnoc is able to hold the liberal's urban support and even expand it in areas where populism helped the NDP gain under Horwath. Liberal support stays strong in the crucial suburban seats and the few rural seats where liberals can win. Toronto stays solidly red - the ridings in the city where Goldwater would most outperform Hudak are ironically among the most solidly liberal provincially.

CrabCake (NDP) 21 seats
CrabCake breaks even from the NDP's 2014 total by replacing Windsor West and Sudbury with Davenport and Beaches-East York as he gains the support among downtown progressives Horwath didn't get but loses support outside of downtown because he is perceived as too radical.

Popular vote
Liberal 39%
PC 33% (still extremely inefficient vote)
NDP 21% (NDP vote declines in Lib-PC battlegrounds where they aren't seen as serious)
Green 5%
Other 2% (perhaps Family Coalition could rebound with three social liberal candidates?)

Edit: Realized seat count was 1 off
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TNF
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« Reply #83 on: December 08, 2014, 10:57:48 AM »

Yelnoc wins in Kentucky, New Canadaland wins in Illinois.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #84 on: December 23, 2014, 08:44:41 PM »

New Canadaland wins by a Voinovichian margin.
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LeBron
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« Reply #85 on: December 23, 2014, 10:57:21 PM »

X would win easily. Home state advantage as well as views that better fit in with the state.
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Brewer
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« Reply #86 on: December 23, 2014, 11:14:17 PM »

I feel like both would do considerably well in Minnesota.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #87 on: December 23, 2014, 11:30:10 PM »

I think Brewer would win in both Oregon and Washington.
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #88 on: December 23, 2014, 11:40:21 PM »
« Edited: December 23, 2014, 11:55:47 PM by IDS Emperor Flo »

I made something for X and Fitzy so y'all are going to have to skip me.



Representative Jose B. 'X' Diaz (Florida Democratic Party-Kissimmee): 63.27%
Representative LeBron A. FitzGerald (Prohibition Party-Lake City): 33.71%
Fmr. Governor Charlie Crist (Justice Party-Clearwater): 3.02%
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #89 on: December 24, 2014, 01:40:54 AM »

Goldwater wins narrowly
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TDAS04
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« Reply #90 on: December 31, 2014, 08:43:54 PM »

MormDem beats Flo in South Dakota, but a generic Republican could defeat both of them in a cakewalk.
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #91 on: January 02, 2015, 01:12:22 PM »

MormDem beats TDAS04 in NM.
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #92 on: January 02, 2015, 02:48:20 PM »

Tuerkisblau narrowly secures more delegates over TDAS04 by bagging LA as well as the other conservative counties, while the whole coast [sand Orange and LA] goes for TDAS04.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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« Reply #93 on: January 03, 2015, 11:54:27 PM »

If Turkisblau is conservative on immigration like iSideWith says, non-white votes in the GTA would let MormDem win narrowly in Ontario.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #94 on: January 06, 2015, 04:33:21 PM »

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary

62% State Senator Norman Drerry (D) [Mormdem]
34% Businessman Cameron Newberry (D) [New Canadaland]

Norman Drerry, in a shocking even, won a State Senate seat in the panhandle of Oklahoma after narrowly defeating a State Senator in a sex scandal. Drerry was actually more liberal than most of the Democrats in the State Senate on fiscal issues, but on social issues, Drerry voted with Republicans 100% of the time, putting him at odds with some in the party. Still, Drerry was seen as the future of the party, and he ran for Governor in the primary. In a controversial vote requiring an ultrasound for abortions, Businessman and liberal Cameron Newberry rose in the polls, espousing support for Obamacare and support for abortion on demand. Newberry lost, however, when in the debates Drerry proved himself a candidate for the ages, attacking Newberry's business practices and outsourcing.
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #95 on: January 09, 2015, 10:37:30 PM »

Maxwell beats New Canadaland by 55%.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #96 on: January 09, 2015, 10:42:09 PM »

I think Maxwell would actually beat MormDem in Washington.
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #97 on: January 10, 2015, 10:03:39 AM »

Goldwater narrowly beats me (49.8%-48.9%), but the map looks more like that of Jimmy Carter vs Gerald Ford than the last Senate Election
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #98 on: January 10, 2015, 06:46:12 PM »

Goldwater - 54%
MormDem - 44%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #99 on: January 11, 2015, 11:40:09 AM »

MormDem - 52%
Del Tachi - 48%
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