NM-PPP: Hillary with big leads

[Tender Branson]

Martinez would trail Hillary Clinton 53/39 in a hypothetical contest in the state.

That does make her the strongest potential Republican candidate though.

Clinton would also lead Rand Paul 51/36, Jeb Bush 53/37, Ted Cruz 54/37, Chris Christie 53/35, and Mike Huckabee 55/34.

New Mexico hasn't been close in the last two Presidential elections and if Clinton runs that trend looks likely to continue in 2016.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/03/new-mexico-miscellany.html

[Matty]

NM is gone for pubs, G.O.N.E

[senyor_brownbear]

Dang, how is Christie doing the worst (stop trying to make Huckabee a thing).

[eric82oslo]

Dang, how is Christie doing the worst (stop trying to make Huckabee a thing).

Simple. People don't like corrupt politicians. More caudillos like Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld is the last thing people crave for in the 21st century.

[Maxwell]

Trailing by 14 and 15 is as close as the GOP gets to a state that Bush won, wow.

That being said, this makes Rand Paul look better and better.

[Lief 🗽]

NM is a solid blue state now.

[JRP1994]

NM is a solid blue state now.

If Hillary wins it by this kind of margin, I'll agree.

[Mr. Morden]

Victory margin among Hispanics:

Bush vs. Clinton: Clinton +34
Christie vs. Clinton: Clinton +38
Cruz vs. Clinton: Clinton +39
Huckabee vs. Clinton: Clinton +45
Martinez vs. Clinton: Clinton +34
Paul vs. Clinton: Clinton +44

Victory margin among whites:

Bush vs. Clinton: tie
Christie vs. Clinton: tie
Cruz vs. Clinton: Clinton +1
Huckabee vs. Clinton: Clinton +4
Martinez vs. Clinton: tie
Paul vs. Clinton: Paul +5

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

New Mexico's bellwether days are over.  From 1912-2004, it only missed the 1976 election. Gore actually did worse there than nationwide.

[Matty]

Victory margin among Hispanics:

Bush vs. Clinton: Clinton +34
Christie vs. Clinton: Clinton +38
Cruz vs. Clinton: Clinton +39
Huckabee vs. Clinton: Clinton +45
Martinez vs. Clinton: Clinton +34
Paul vs. Clinton: Clinton +44

Victory margin among whites:

Bush vs. Clinton: tie
Christie vs. Clinton: tie
Cruz vs. Clinton: Clinton +1
Huckabee vs. Clinton: Clinton +4
Martinez vs. Clinton: tie
Paul vs. Clinton: Paul +5

LMFAO at Rand Paul among Hispanics. The buffoon actually thinks he can "grow the party". LOL

[pbrower2a]

Victory margin among Hispanics:

Bush vs. Clinton: Clinton +34
Christie vs. Clinton: Clinton +38
Cruz vs. Clinton: Clinton +39
Huckabee vs. Clinton: Clinton +45
Martinez vs. Clinton: Clinton +34
Paul vs. Clinton: Clinton +44

Victory margin among whites:

Bush vs. Clinton: tie
Christie vs. Clinton: tie
Cruz vs. Clinton: Clinton +1
Huckabee vs. Clinton: Clinton +4
Martinez vs. Clinton: tie
Paul vs. Clinton: Paul +5

LMFAO at Rand Paul among Hispanics. The buffoon actually thinks he can "grow the party". LOL

Rand Paul is no more a buffoon than many other Republicans. For a real buffoon there is Sarah Palin, whose mangled diction confuses or offends anyone whose first language isn't English. That describes many in New Mexico, no matter how good their English is as a second language. (A basic rule: stay close to the formal register of English when talking to anyone who might not be a native speaker of English. Non-standard English confuses such people because it needs double-translation). He does not have the serial-marriage 'problem' that Newt Gingrich has.

New Mexico has the largest percentage of Hispanics in the US except perhaps for California. The GOP is losing middle-class Hispanics and needs to have one as the Gubernatorial nominee, and at that someone liberal by GOP standards, to win the state.

Rand Paul is Hard Right on economics if not on military issues...  that's not how to convince people who rely more upon formal education than upon ownership of property for success. In general any non-white, non-Anglo, and non-Christian segments of the middle class rely heavily upon education for qualifying for the work that they do.

Republicans have a better chance of winning Pennsylvania or Michigan than they have of winning New Mexico.

[5280]

Sell NM back to 3rd world Mexico and buy Alberta for replacement.

[senyor_brownbear]

Sell NM back to 3rd world Mexico and buy Alberta for replacement.

Ted Cruz could finally be eligible.