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| | |-+  The Interior West
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Author Topic: The Interior West  (Read 2016 times)
nclib
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« on: March 26, 2005, 05:59:43 pm »
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Most interior west states swung Democratic in 2004.

Why:

-GOP becoming less libertarian
-gun control emphasized less than in 2000

Any other reasons??
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« Reply #1 on: March 26, 2005, 06:01:29 pm »
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Actually, the interior West swung Republican.
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« Reply #2 on: March 26, 2005, 06:07:48 pm »
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Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, Nevada, and the Dakotas swung Democratic.

New Mexico and Texas swung Republican by less than the national average.
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« Reply #3 on: March 28, 2005, 04:14:37 pm »
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Both of those reasons are actually rather inconsequential to the "Democratic" swing in those states. I would guess it would have to do with less Western leftists voting for Nader. The swings to the Democrats in those states probably have to do more with Democratic voters turning away from Nader and other third party candidates back to the Democratic Party.
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« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2005, 04:23:09 am »
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South Dakota was the only state there where Bush's percent actually fell.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #5 on: April 06, 2005, 07:27:17 am »
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I think it was the only state nationally where that happened, right?
Gun control definitely played a role, and so did Nader's strong showing in 2000 (though not all of Nader's Interior Western voters were former Democrats. Many had voted Perot in the 90s), and so did increased registration in holiday resorts.
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« Reply #6 on: April 06, 2005, 12:52:40 pm »
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New Hampshire was the only state to swing from Bush to Kerry in 2004.
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« Reply #7 on: April 06, 2005, 01:30:19 pm »
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New Hampshire was the only state to swing from Bush to Kerry in 2004.

Swing in the context that we use it in, means a swing in a various candidate's percentage that is not completely able to flip a state but shows a trend toward one party or the other.
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« Reply #8 on: April 06, 2005, 11:34:37 pm »
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South Dakota was the only state there where Bush's percent actually fell.

Vermont also
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« Reply #9 on: April 06, 2005, 11:38:53 pm »
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South Dakota was the only state there where Bush's percent actually fell.

Vermont also

Remember the Maine!
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nclib
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« Reply #10 on: April 07, 2005, 08:43:02 pm »
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Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, Nevada, and the Dakotas swung Democratic.

New Mexico and Texas swung Republican by less than the national average.

The swings to the Democrats in those states probably have to do more with Democratic voters turning away from Nader and other third party candidates back to the Democratic Party.

Nader exaggerated the result, but even with Nader's votes added to Gore and Kerry, 9 of the 14 Interior West states swung more Democratic than the national average.

Excluding the states from North Dakota to Texas, it was 6 of 8.
« Last Edit: April 07, 2005, 08:46:39 pm by nclib »Logged



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« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2005, 05:03:40 am »
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So what's the cause of this? Economic decline? Libertarianism? Generalized neglect? Traditional anti-incumbency?
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #12 on: April 18, 2005, 07:55:22 am »
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Apart from the Nader vote, the main thing is probably:
Relatively higher importance of gun rights over religious right issues.
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« Reply #13 on: April 18, 2005, 05:42:45 pm »
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It's probably because Bush had already almost reached the ceiling of GOP strength. He carried those states with such huge percentages in 2000 that there simply wasn't much room for improvement. No real "swing" toward the Democrats, no trend.
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« Reply #14 on: April 18, 2005, 09:37:55 pm »
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Just a quick point:

From Religion & Public Life in the Mountain West: Sacred Landscapes in Transition, a detailed survey/analysis  of the region...

There are three religious cultures in the Mountain West.

Arizona and New Mexico are dominated by Catholicism.

Utah and Idaho are dominated by Mormonism.

Colorado, Wyoming and Montana are dominated by pluralism (i.e., there is no one dominant religion, and plenty of 'seculars').

Naturally, it's more complicated than that, but it's a good rule of thumb.

And no, they do NOT consider Nevada part of the Mountain West. Tongue
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« Reply #15 on: April 18, 2005, 10:19:29 pm »
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South Dakota was the only state there where Bush's percent actually fell.

Vermont also

and North Carolina.

Those were the 3.
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bgwah
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« Reply #16 on: April 19, 2005, 04:17:50 am »
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In Montana, Democrats did some serious domination at the statewide level. That probably helped.

Wyoming also has a Democrat governor. somehow...
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nclib
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« Reply #17 on: April 19, 2005, 04:49:00 pm »
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It's probably because Bush had already almost reached the ceiling of GOP strength. He carried those states with such huge percentages in 2000 that there simply wasn't much room for improvement. No real "swing" toward the Democrats, no trend.

Perhaps, but keep in mind that Utah (of course very different politically from the rest of the Interior West) swung towards the GOP past the national average (the only ultra-Republican state to do so).
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[George W. Bush] has shattered the myth of white supremacy once and for all. -- Congressman Charles Rangel (D-NY)

"George Bush supports abstinence. Lucky Laura."
- sign seen at the March for Women's Lives, 4/25/04

nclib
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« Reply #18 on: April 19, 2005, 05:47:20 pm »
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In Montana, Democrats did some serious domination at the statewide level. That probably helped.

Judy Martz (outgoing Governor) was pretty unpopular.
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[George W. Bush] has shattered the myth of white supremacy once and for all. -- Congressman Charles Rangel (D-NY)

"George Bush supports abstinence. Lucky Laura."
- sign seen at the March for Women's Lives, 4/25/04

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