Common Core and Amnesty will be the death of Jeb. He is a BIG proponent of Common Care which TPers absolutely despise and an avid supporter of amnesty we all know what that did to Rubio. I don't know why people think he would have such a clear path for the nomination especially with rising stars like Paul, Cruz, or Walker potentially in the race. He'd be the guy who hasn't competed for an election since 2002 running against people that have all been recently elected in the past fews been on the trail etc.
He will have the support of the donors who think he's the most presentable candidate who can win, just like with Romney in 2012.
Conservative donors like Sheldon Adelson (who supported Gingrich) and Foster Friess (who supported Santorum) will probably wise up and consolidate behind one candidate who they know can win the nomination and the general election, instead of supporting fringe candidates who needlessly drag out the primaries and ding up the establishment guy.
Bush could win the general election?
He has a better chance than guys like Cruz or Paul.
What about the Tea Party? Many there won't vote for a guy who's not only a Bush, but also a friend of the Former Mayor of New York, and supported both Amnesty and Common Core, I'm not saying it's unwinnable, but without winning the Tea Party vote, it'd be pretty darn hard to win.
You may be right, but I suspect the Republican's odds are better if they nominate and electable candidate and they try to get the Tea Party to vote for him, than if they nominate a Tea-Party candidate and try to get the nation to vote for him.