AP/IPSOS - Bush +1

[The Vorlon]

Another Dead heat..

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20040409/ap_on_el_pr/president_ap_poll&cid=694&ncid=716

[agcatter]

So far, you are batting a thousand with regard to how your upper tier polls would look this week (Fox, AP so far).  I agree that the more historically volital polls will show Kerry ahead - probably outside the margin of error.  Hell, Newsweek will probably have Kerry up 15.  

[muon2]

The IPSOS/Cook polls give a fairly detailed methodology.
http://www.cookpolitical.com/poll/default.php
I don't how much of that same methodology carries to the IPSOS/AP poll.

[JohnFKennedy]

muon, that map in your signature is weird, but kinda cool.

[muon2]

muon, that map in your signature is weird, but kinda cool.

It helps me see the relative importance of each state in the Electoral College. Size doesn't matter -  EV's do.

[classical liberal]

"Size matters not" -Jedi Master Yoda

Do you have a map of more than 53% for the candidate?

[muon2]

"Size matters not" -Jedi Master Yoda

Do you have a map of more than 53% for the candidate?

I don't have the map drawn, but raising the threshold 1% to 53% puts WV in white. Raising it 2% puts CA, LA, VA in white.

[California Dreamer]

Any poll (like this one) that has Nader in it is interesting but misleading.

I agree with Rasmussen that Nader should not be one of the options, or at least yet. Or at least they should ask the question with and without Nader, in this poll he is getting 6%...which is highly unlikely in the end.

Until is is clear that Nader is going to be on the ballots, all polls should either not include him, add a 'someone else' question, or ask with and without him.

[agcatter]

Dreamer has a bit of a point.  Nader won't make as many ballots this time.