MI-PPP: Hilldog basically ahead by double digits

[Maxwell]

Not too awful actually for Bush this one. I guess he's slowly starting to improve on his standing. I'm highly curious to see how he'll poll next time against Hillary in Texas. Hopefully PPP will include 2016 match-ups in their Texas poll this weekend.

Paul does better. Those are terrible numbers for Bush. If you can't be more competitive than the "insane libertarian" than you are worthless.

[Maxwell]

First rule of elections is that the undecideds break 100% for the Republican Party, so Clinton is actually trailing everyone except Huckabee.

It depends upon the state. In general, I have largely seen that the undecided break ineffectively toward the loser. If the split is 64-20, even a 100% break among the undecided toward the eventual loser still indicates a landslide. Also, if a nominee has a ceiling  far short of 50%, then a 42-41 lead can become a 56-44 loss (look at Obama in the Dakotas in 2008). 

Michigan is the sort of state in which the Republican nominee often has a ceiling around 45%.

So normally I expect 10%+ leads to shrink.

he's joking