Ontario 2014 (June 12th)
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Author Topic: Ontario 2014 (June 12th)  (Read 69103 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #525 on: June 01, 2014, 09:40:01 PM »
10 personal questions for the leaders.
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Holmes
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« Reply #526 on: June 01, 2014, 10:01:19 PM »

So bold.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #527 on: June 01, 2014, 10:04:48 PM »
I'm not even gonna link to Siddiqui's insane column.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #528 on: June 01, 2014, 10:29:36 PM »

Surprise of the campaign for sure Roll Eyes
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #529 on: June 01, 2014, 10:33:55 PM »

All three of them prefer Star Trek over Star Wars; how is that going to make the decision of Undecided Star Trek Voter any easier?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #530 on: June 01, 2014, 10:39:33 PM »
About endorsements: only suspense is Globe. They've been hitting strong NOTA notes.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #531 on: June 02, 2014, 06:54:53 AM »
« Edited: June 02, 2014, 04:08:34 PM by RogueBeaver »
CBC previews the debate.

Abacus out: 37L/35C/22N.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #532 on: June 02, 2014, 12:04:08 PM »
Which campaign platform is more left wing? http://democraticvotingcanada.blogspot.ca/2014/05/why-ontario-ndp-platform-is-left-of.html?m=1
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #533 on: June 02, 2014, 04:33:26 PM »
EKOS numbers are bad for the NDP: 38.5 - 33.7 - 16.9
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #534 on: June 02, 2014, 05:10:32 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on June 02, 2014, 04:33:26 PM
EKOS numbers are bad for the NDP: 38.5 - 33.7 - 16.9


Is that OLP or PC in the lead?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #535 on: June 02, 2014, 05:26:41 PM »
OLP.
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Holmes
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« Reply #536 on: June 02, 2014, 05:37:50 PM »
It's so weird how the Liberals always pull ahead. What's up with that? I mean, I live in an area where they're a distant third and I guess the residents here aren't "average Ontario voters" in that sense, so it's tough for me to understand. Is it a "devil you know" sort of deal?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #537 on: June 02, 2014, 05:44:12 PM »
Except in Ipsos. We'll see who's right next week. As for the result... would be like AB 2012 for me.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #538 on: June 02, 2014, 06:16:04 PM »
Ipsos: 38% EV still undecided before debate, with Grits and Dippers most likely to feel that way.
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Krago
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« Reply #539 on: June 02, 2014, 06:46:23 PM »
EKOS has the NDP at 11% in Southwest Ontario (4th place!) and at 23% in Ottawa and Eastern Ontario.

http://www.ekospolitics.com/index.php/2014/06/wynne-sustaining-clear-but-modest-lead-as-campaign-approaches-debate-and-home-stretch/

Fascinating.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #540 on: June 02, 2014, 08:41:29 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on June 02, 2014, 05:37:50 PM
It's so weird how the Liberals always pull ahead. What's up with that? I mean, I live in an area where they're a distant third and I guess the residents here aren't "average Ontario voters" in that sense, so it's tough for me to understand. Is it a "devil you know" sort of deal?

Yes, pretty much. Same as Alberta and BC. It's especially prevalent in my riding of Ottawa South.


We've been showing some strange regionals, I wouldn't get too worried just yet. I was asked to use my model for a seat projection, and it wasn't pretty. Probably why they didn't publish it.

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #541 on: June 02, 2014, 09:06:02 PM »
Hatman: On a related note, that Grenier/Breguet mini pissing match on Twitter. Tongue The pollsters themselves are of course keeping it cool...
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #542 on: June 02, 2014, 09:57:56 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on June 02, 2014, 09:06:02 PM
Hatman: On a related note, that Grenier/Breguet mini pissing match on Twitter. Tongue The pollsters themselves are of course keeping it cool...

I fear I may have egged it on, since Bryan has a far superior projection model- and I made sure to tell him that.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #543 on: June 03, 2014, 07:25:51 AM »
Nanos: 38/31/24 OLP. NDP and OLP up 2 since last poll.
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Hash
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« Reply #544 on: June 03, 2014, 07:29:04 AM »
The 'Ottawa Sun' (I only picked up the trash because I was waiting for a bus) reported that Abacus has a new poll showing the Libs +7 with all voters and +2 with LV. Perhaps all hope is not lost.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #545 on: June 03, 2014, 07:40:55 AM »
To state the obvious: certain pollster (s) will have a lot of egg on their face, given how consistently different their results have been. When in doubt I suspect the incumbent wins.
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DL
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« Reply #546 on: June 03, 2014, 08:48:46 AM »

I'm very surprised that Nanos poll didn't get any publicity - usually his stuff gets top billing and he is one of the only people doing live operator phone interviews which I still consider to be the gold standard.  Anyways, the results confirm what I have seen elsewhere which is that the PCs are trending down and may actually lose seats. I actually think an OLP majority is an increasing possibility.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #547 on: June 03, 2014, 08:59:13 AM »
Wow, Nanos has us at 24? Surprised, they usually are the pollster with the lowest NDP numbers.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #548 on: June 03, 2014, 08:59:43 AM »
Nanos is always on PNP, so probably got publicity there. Others get publicity in the outlets that commission them - CTV, Star, Sun.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #549 on: June 03, 2014, 05:28:19 PM »
Livestreams.

http://theagenda.tvo.org/

http://toronto.ctvnews.ca/video?clipId=68596&playlistId=1.1850323&binId=1.815892&playlistPageNum=1
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