Ontario 2014 (June 12th) (user search)
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Author Topic: Ontario 2014 (June 12th)  (Read 69182 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: April 09, 2014, 05:32:30 PM »

I still doubt Horwath pulls the plug.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2014, 07:40:26 PM »

I know we (EKOS) are preparing for a June election.

You think Horwath will pull the plug? Anyways, I hope the OLP's fate mirrors Marois'.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2014, 08:25:55 PM »

I know. Realistically, I'm hoping for any sort of PC government. Then the beachhead can be expanded, as Harper did after '06.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2014, 09:12:37 PM »

Hatman: What's changed? My guess was she'd abstain, but I'd be happy to be proven wrong.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2014, 09:31:50 AM »

Harper has given his Ontarians a green light to campaign provincially.

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2014, 11:25:43 AM »

Wynne takes another leaf from Dithers' playbook.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2014, 11:27:23 AM »

NDP will hold 2 days of intense campaign training next week in Toronto. Budget vote won't be for another 6 weeks.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2014, 12:31:26 PM »

Interestingly, that last Forum poll which projected a Tory minority said most Tory gains would come from the NDP. Not that it'd be a first. Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: April 18, 2014, 03:48:08 PM »

I meant in seats. Bozinoff projected 49 Tories, 45 Grits, 13 NDP.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2014, 06:06:43 PM »

Would really like Ipsos to take a look.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #10 on: April 21, 2014, 01:13:52 PM »

Looks like Horwath has decided to pull the trigger. Woot.

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: April 21, 2014, 02:19:27 PM »

Hence "looks like." They also said they stand by the story. Have you heard about those insurance e-mails?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: April 21, 2014, 08:10:29 PM »

OWN still standing by their multiple-sourced story. NDP didn't deny any specifics either.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #13 on: April 23, 2014, 07:27:48 AM »

Hudak hopes to be the beneficiary of a similar shift.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #14 on: April 23, 2014, 09:36:35 PM »

Regg-Cohn on the phony war. Horwath will not meet with Wynne on the budget.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #15 on: April 24, 2014, 05:33:29 AM »
« Edited: April 24, 2014, 06:46:50 AM by RogueBeaver »

Nanos is out: 36/36/22. He also says there's some NDP/OLP tactical voting going on.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: April 24, 2014, 05:08:20 PM »
« Edited: April 24, 2014, 07:17:25 PM by RogueBeaver »

Ipsos has a different story: 37/32/27. Among LV: 42/27/27. Liberals lead with 40% in GTA. Tories w/47% in 905, 37% in SW and 39% in E. NDP leads in N w/43%. PPM is 32 Hudak, 31 Horwath, 28 Wynne.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #17 on: April 24, 2014, 06:39:27 PM »

5 points or a tie for 2nd is distant? Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #18 on: April 25, 2014, 06:21:45 PM »

Paikin on Horwath's call.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #19 on: April 28, 2014, 06:10:51 PM »

Wynne refuses to rule out preemptive dissolution. Gee, didn't we just see that movie? Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #20 on: April 29, 2014, 05:25:06 PM »

Will a tax hike on 150k+ be enough for Horwath?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #21 on: April 29, 2014, 08:46:11 PM »

Grits are divided on preemptive dissolution, but even doves don't seem to expect waiting till month's end for a decision.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #22 on: April 30, 2014, 09:10:37 PM »

From the Ford crack tapes: he won't vote for Hudak because he's too LGBT-friendly,
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: May 01, 2014, 07:51:55 AM »

Wynne tries to reassure her caucus that she won't preempt. But privately, Grits believe Horwath has decided to pull the trigger.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #24 on: May 01, 2014, 03:24:52 PM »

Wynne is giving Horwath a hard deadline on her decision, probably a week. If she doesn't respond then Wynne might dissolve the Leg herself. Horwath isn't at the budget speech but will reply tomorrow.
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