2016 Presidential Election

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Candidates for the 2016 Democratic Primaries
1. Elizabeth Warren- declared candidacy last March 9, 2015
2. Joe Biden- declared candidacy last May 25, 2015
3. Howard Dean- declared candidacy last July 29, 2015
4. Andrew Cuomo- declared candidacy last January 28, 2015
5. Rahm Emanuel- declared candidacy last April 11, 2015
6. Evan Bayh- declared candidacy last May 6, 2015

Hillary Clinton decided not to run in the 2016 election, citing age.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Candidates for 2016 Republican Primary

1. Chris Christie- declared candidacy last September 7, 2015
2. Mike Huckabee- declared candidacy last May 13, 2015
3. Rick Perry- declared candidacy last December 10, 2014
4. Marco Rubio- declared candidacy last June 12, 2015
5. Rand Paul- declared candidacy last May 20, 2015
6. Susana Martinez- declared candidacy last June 29, 2015
7. Paul Ryan- declared candidacy last September 10,2015
8. Rick Santorum- declared candidacy last January 6,2015

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Note: The primaries schedule will follow the pattern in 2012. Exception for dates.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

December 5, 2015- New poll shows Christie, Rubio in dead heat

Poll conducted by ABC News
Christie-23%
Rubio- 20%
Ryan-19%
Santorum- 10%
Paul- 9%
Huckabee-8%
Martinez-6%
Perry-3%
Others/No Opinion-2%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

December 5, 2015- Cuomo and Emanuel leads in Democratic Poll

Andrew Cuomo- 35%
Rahm Emanuel- 31%
Joe Biden- 21%
Elizabeth Warren-9%
Howard Dean-2%
Evan Bayh- 1%
No Opinion-1%

[Potatoe]

Uh, why is Emanuel getting 31%?

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

December 12, 2015- President Obama's Approval Rating

43% approve
49% disapprove
8% no opinion

December 15, 2015- Obama hints to support Biden
''Biden has performed well as the Vice President, he worked with me for the last 7 years, he is my personal choice for the White House next year''

December 22, 2015- Christie's Bridgegate still fresh to voters in NJ and nationwide

NJ-A poll conducted by CNN nationwide and in New Jersey shows that most voters think that the Bridgegate scandal is still fresh to their minds and likely will affect Christie's candidacy.

RESULTS(Question: Bridgegate can affect Christie's candidacy?)
New Jersey
YES- 46%
NO- 41%
NO OPINION- 13%

United States
YES- 43%
NO- 40%
NO OPINION- 17%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Uh, why is Emanuel getting 31%?

Not mentioned: Hillary Clinton endorsed Emanuel for President

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

December 26, 2015- John Kerry endorses Elizabeth Warren for Democratic Nomination


Iowa caucuses will start for both parties on January 4, 2016

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

January 4, 2016- Rubio, Biden won Iowa Caucuses

IOWA CAUCUSES (GOP)
Rubio- 27%
Christie- 25%
Paul- 21%
Ryan-16%
Huckabee-6%
Martinez-2%
Santorum-1%
Perry-1%
Others- 1%

IOWA CAUCUSES (DEM)
Biden- 31%
Emanuel- 28%
Warren- 20%
Cuomo-11%
Dean-5%
Bayh-4%
Others- 1%

[Enderman]

Uh, why is Emanuel getting 31%?

Not mentioned: Hillary Clinton endorsed Emanuel for President

I could see Clinton endorsing Cuomo, not Rahm.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

January 5, 2016- Dean ends campaign, endorses Elizabeth Warren.
Citing lack of money, coupled with poor Iowa showing, Howard Dean ends campaign, and will endorse Elizabeth Warren.

January 7, 2016- Santorum ends campaign, endorses Christie
Hours before polls open in NH, Rick Santorum ends his presidential bid, endorses Christie, and will be campaigning for him

January 7, 2016- Romney endorses Ryan
Mitt Romney, GOP's 2012 Nominee, said at a press conference in NH, said ''Rep. Ryan knows what is the main issues that is hampering our nation's economy'' Therefore, we should put him in the White House''

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

January 8, 2016- Christie, Cuomo wins NH, Emanuel fares poorly in NH
After going at least 31% in the Dem. Nomination , Mayor Rahm Emanuel only polled 12% in New Hampshire.

NH Primary (GOP)
Christie- 33%
Ryan- 22%
Rubio- 20%
Paul-15%
Huckabee-6%
Martinez-2%
Perry-1%
Others- 1%

NH Primary (DEM)
Cuomo-33%
Biden- 29%
Warren- 19%
Emanuel- 12%
Bayh-7%
Others- 2%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

January 12, 2016- Martinez ends bid, endorses Paul Ryan for President
Poor showing in Iowa and NH prompted Susana Martinez to end her presidential bid and backs Paul Ryan citing that he has the leadership to lead the nation.

January 15, 2016- Bayh ends campaign, endorses Rahm Emanuel for president
Citing lack of support from the primaries, Evan Bayh ends his presidential bid and endorses Rahm Emanuel for president.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

January 18, 2016-South Carolina and Florida primary


South Carolina Primary
- Mike Huckabee easily takes South Carolina's GOP Primary getting at least 39%
- Rahm Emanuel wins South Carolina narrowly against Joe Biden (35%-33%)

Florida Primary
- Marco Rubio victorious in Florida's GOP Primary getting at least 41%
- Rahm Emanuel wins Florida by 39% against Cuomo's 31%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

January 25,2016- Presidential Preference Poll by NBC

GOP
Christie-32%
Rubio- 27%
Ryan-20%
Paul- 11%
Huckabee-6%
Perry-4%

Democratic
Biden-30%
Cuomo- 25%
Emanuel-24%
Warren- 16%
OTHERS-5%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

-Nevada, Colorado, Missouri, Minnesota and Maine primaries and caucuses will be scheduled at February 2, 2016

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

January 27, 2016- Rubio still a threat to Christie
After being victorious at the Florida primary, Rubio starts to campaign in Nevada and Colorado citing ''We won't give up'

February 2, 2016- ''Mini-Tuesday''

Nevada Caucus (GOP)
Rubio- 39%
Christie- 35%
Ryan- 16%
Paul- 7%
Huckabee- 2%
Perry- 1%

Colorado Caucus (GOP)
Christie- 43%
Rubio- 31%
Ryan- 11%
Paul- 8%
Huckabee- 5%
Perry- 2%

Missouri Primary (GOP)
Christie- 38%
Ryan- 35%
Rubio- 13%
Paul- 9%
Perry- 3%
Huckabee- 2%

Minnesota Caucus (GOP)
Ryan- 43%
Rubio- 19%
Christie- 18%
Paul- 12%
Huckabee- 4%
Perry- 4%

Maine Caucus (GOP)
Christie- 36%
Rubio- 32%
Paul- 16%
Ryan- 9%
Huckabee- 4%
Perry- 3%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Nevada Democratic Caucus
Biden- 44%
Cuomo- 43%
Emanuel- 9%
Warren- 4%

Colorado Democratic Caucus
Emanuel- 41%
Cuomo- 35%
Biden- 13%
Warren- 11%

Missouri Democratic Primary
Cuomo- 40%
Biden- 37%
Emanuel- 14%
Warren- 9%

Minnesota Democratic Caucus
Emanuel- 40%
Biden- 30%
Cuomo- 24%
Warren- 6%

Maine Democratic Caucus
Cuomo- 43%
Biden- 41%
Emanuel- 12%
Warren- 4%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

February 5, 2016- Perry ends presidential run, no endorsement plans
After poor showing at the Mini-Tuesday caucuses and primaries, Perry withdrew his presidential run, but did not mention about who to endorse

Arizona, Wyoming and Michigan primaries and caucuses scheduled at February 18, 2016
Washington caucuses scheduled at February 25, 2016

February 12,2016- Warren ends presidential bid, endorses Cuomo
After her last place showing at the Mini-Tuesday, Warren withdrew her presidential bid, will endorse Cuomo

February 16, 2016- CNN Presidential Preference Poll

GOP
Christie- 36%
Rubio- 32%
Paul- 16%
Ryan-12%
Huckabee-4%

Democratic
Cuomo-40%
Biden- 37%
Emanuel- 23%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

February 17, 2016- Rubio, Christie'' will cost our 2016 victory''
At a campaign stop at Michigan, Marco Rubio said'' the challenges that Gov. Christie faces like the Bridgegate can cost our victory in the election

February 18, 2016- Arizona, Michigan, Wyoming cast their ballots

GOP Primaries

Arizona primary
Christie- 39%
Rubio- 36%
Ryan- 11%
Paul-10%
Huckabee-4%

Michigan primary
Christie- 45%
Rubio- 33%
Paul-10%
Ryan- 9%
Huckabee-3%

Wyoming caucuses
Rubio- 44%
Christie- 36%
Ryan- 9%
Paul-8%
Huckabee-3%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Democratic Primaries

Arizona primary
Cuomo- 42%
Biden- 40%
Emanuel- 18%

Michigan primary
Biden- 39%
Cuomo- 34%
Emanuel-27%

Wyoming caucuses
Cuomo- 50%
Biden- 38%
Emanuel- 12%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

February 22, 2016- Huckabee ends presidential bid ,endorses Paul Ryan

After poor showings at the past primaries, Huckabee ends his campaign and indicates to endorse Paul Ryan

February 24, 2016- Emanuel held meeting for strategies

After losing the AZ, MI, and WY primaries and caucuses, Rahm Emanuel held a meeting with his campaign staffs for strategies to prevail in the upcoming Super Tuesday (March 1, 2016)

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

February 25, 2016- Washington caucuses


GOP Primary
Ryan-39%
Christie-33%
Rubio-19%
Paul-9%

Democratic Primary
Cuomo-39%
Emanuel-33%
Biden-28%

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

February 29, 2016- ABC News Poll

Who will prevail at Super Tuesday?

GOP
Chris Christie- 38%
Marco Rubio-32%
Paul Ryan- 21%
Rand Paul- 9%

Democratic
Andrew Cuomo- 39%
Rahm Emanuel-31%
Joe Biden- 30%