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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #25 on: April 30, 2014, 04:56:37 PM »

In all seriousness, I have a better chance at landing Kate Upton than Democrats doing that well in Pennsylvania.
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« Reply #26 on: May 01, 2014, 08:19:15 AM »

Is this an alternate universe where the Democrats took the legislature drew a gerrymander in 2010, or did Corbett and the Republicans in Congress all eat puppies on live TV (and even that might not be enough for a 15-3 D delegation)
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #27 on: May 02, 2014, 10:23:02 AM »
« Edited: May 11, 2014, 05:34:02 PM by NewYorkExpress »


Good Evening, I'm Fareed Zakaria, and welcome back to our Election 2014 Coverage

Our Next Stop is the Empire State of New York

In regards to the Congressional races, we can project that Gregory Meeks, Nydia Velazquez, Hakeem Jeffries, Yvette Clarke, Jerrod Nadler, Joseph Crowley, Jose Serrano, Eliot Engel, Paul Tonko and Brian Higgins will be re-elected, as all are running essentially unopposed.

In the First Congressional District, we project State Senator Lee Zeldin, will emerge victorious over the incumbent Tim Bishop, whose campaign never really recovered from a pay-for-play allegation involving fireworks, hedge fund magnate Eric Semler, and a Bar Mitzvah, that ended in a formal censure vote on the House Floor on July 21, 2014.

New York First Congressional District 56% Reporting

Lee Zeldin (R) 48.65%
Timothy Bishop (D) 45.35%
George Demos (C) 4%

The Second Congressional District race between the incumbent Peter King, and Suffolk County Legislator DuWayne Gregory is currently to close to call. King has been falling in the polls since the early May arrest of Sinn Fien leader Gerry Adams, whom King fought for and supported at the beginning of his political career.

New York Second Congressional District 97.7% Reporting

DuWyane Gregory (D) 49.7%
Peter King (R) 49.1%
Geoffery Canada (WFP) 1.6%

The Third Congressional District race between the incumbent Steve Israel, and the Republican nominee, Nassau County Legislator Rose Marie Walker is too close to call.

New York Third Congressional District 97.1% Reporting

Steve Israel (D) 50%
Rose Marie Walker (R) 49.1%
Grant Lally (C) .7%

The Fourth Congressional District race between Kathleen Rice and Assemblyman Thomas McKevitt is too close to call.

New York Fourth Congressional District 98.5% Reporting

Kathleen Rice (D) 49.6%
Thomas McKevitt (R) 48%
Bruce Blakeman (C) 1.1%

The Sixth Congressional District race between Grace Meng, and New York City Councilman Eric Ulrich is too close to call.

New York Sixth Congressional District 95% Reporting

Jan Ulrich (R) 47.5%
Grace Meng (D) 46.4%

In the Eleventh Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent Michael Grimm (in whose trial closing arguments begin Monday, November Tenth), will be defeated by New York City Councilman Domenic Recchia.

New York Eleventh Congressional District 71% Reporting

Domenic Recchia (D) 54%
Michael Grimm (R) 41%
Kathryn Freed (C) 4%

In the Twelfth Congressional District, where Carolyn Maloney is retiring, we project that former New York City Councilwoman Christine Quinn, will defeat, former Reagan and Giuliani official, and Yankees team President Randy Levine.

New York Twelfth Congressional District 60% Reporting

Christine Quinn (D) 56%
Randy Levine (R) 41%

In the Thirteenth Congressional District, we project that former Governor David Paterson, will defeat the incumbent, Charlie Rangel, who is now running on the Working Families Party line.

New York Thirteenth Congressional District 61% Reporting

David Paterson (D) 54%
Charlie Rangel (WFP) 45%

The Seventeenth Congressional District race between Nita Lowey and former Rockland County Executive C. Scott Vanderhoef is too close to call.

New York Seventeenth Congressional District 99.2% Reporting

C. Scott Vanderhoef (R) 49%
Nita Lowey (D) 48%

In the Eighteenth District we project that the incumbent Sean Patrick Maloney, will defeat former Congresswoman Nan Hayworth.

New York Eighteenth Congressional District 54% Reporting

Sean Patrick Maloney (D) 56%
Nan Hayworth (R) 43%

In the Nineteenth District we project that Sean Eldridge will defeat the incumbent, Chris Gibson.

New York Nineteenth Congressional District 61% Reporting

Sean Eldridge (D) 55%
Chris Gibson (R) 43%

In the Twenty-First Congressional District, where Bill Owens vacated the seat to become U.S Ambassador to the World Trade Organization, (A vote on his confirmation is set for Tuesday, November Eighteenth, but so far only Ted Cruz has expressed any opposition to the appointment (or opinion for that matter)) we project that former Secretary of the Army and Former Congressman John McHugh, will survive an expected Tea Party tempest, defeat Democratic nominee Aaron Woolf and return to Congress.

New York Twenty-First Congressional District 52% Reporting

John McHugh (R) 51%
Aaron Woolf (D) 34%
Elise Stefanik (C) 13%

In the Twenty-Second Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent Tom Reed, will defeat Tompkins County Legislator, Martha Robertson

New York Twenty-Second Congressional District 44% Reporting

Tom Reed (R) 57%
Martha Robertson (D) 39%

The Twenty-Fourth Congressional race between incumbent Dan Maffei, and Former Representative, and former member of the U.S Consumer Product Safety Commission, Ann Marie Buerkle is too close to call.

New York Twenty Fourth Congressional District 97% Reporting

Ann Marie Buerkle (R) 50%
Dan Maffei (D) 48.3%
John Katko (C) 1.1%

In the Twenty-Fifth District, where the incumbent, Louise Slaughter retired to take the directorship of the New York Lottery. We can project that Rochester Mayor Lovely Warren will defeat the Republican nominee, Mark Assani.

New York Twenty-Fifth Congressional District 37% Reporting

Lovely Warren (D) 64%
Mark Assani (R) 33%

In the Twenty-Seventh District, we can project that the incumbent Chris Collins, will win his rematch with former Representative Kathy Hochul.

New York Twenty Seventh Congressional District 46% Reporting

Chris Collins (R) 56%
Kathy Hochul (D) 43%

We project that the Democrats will retain the State Assembly by a 101-49 margin, and will capture the State Senate by a 34-29 margin.

In the race for Comptroller, we project that the incumbent Thomas DiNapoli, will defeat State Senator, Michael Nozzilio.

New York Comptroller 57% Reporting

Thomas DiNapoli (D) 55%
Michael Nozzilo (R) 43%

The Attorney Generals race between the incumbent, Eric Schneideman and "America's Mayor" Rudy Giuliani is too close to call.

New York Attorney General 97% Reporting

Rudy Guliani (R) 50.5%
Eric Scheiderman (D) 49.1%

In the race for the Governor and Lieutenant Governor's offices, we can project that the incumbents, Andrew Cuomo and Robert Duffy, will defeat former Senator Alfonse' D'Amato and Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino.

New York Governor/Lieutenant Governor 56% Reporting

Andrew Cuomo/Robert Duffy (D) 48%
Alfonse D'Amato/Rob Astorino (R) 41%
Eliot Spitzer/David Yassky 9.7% (WFP) (Did Not Actively campaign)
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« Reply #28 on: May 02, 2014, 03:35:30 PM »


Good Evening, I'm Dorothy Rabonowitz from the Washington Post, and you are watching continuing Election 2014 coverage.

Our next destination is South Carolina, one of two states holding elections for both their Senate Seats today.

First South Carolina's Adujant General, will traditionally has been the only state's Adujant General to be elected, is not on the ballot this year, as Governor Haley signed legislation into law changing it to an appointed office on October 1, 2013.

In the Race for Agriculture Commissioner of South Carolina we project that Agriculture Commissioner Hugh Weathers will defeat the Democratic nominee Jerry Govan.

South Carolina Agriculture Commissioner 39% Reporting

Hugh Weathers (R) 67%
Jerry Govan 29.87%

In the race for Superintendent of Education, which the incumbent Mick Zails left empty in a primary challenge to Senator Lindsey Graham, we can project that State Representative Andy Patrick will defeat State Representative Michael Anthony, Libertarian nominee Sheri Few, and Deputy Superintendent Charmeka Childs, who ran on a "Move Clemson to the SEC platform".

South Carolina Superintendent of Education 37% Reporting

Andy Patrick (R) 62%
Michael Anthony (D) 27%
Charmeka Childs (Move Clemson to SEC) 6%
Sheri Few (L) 3%

In the race for Comptroller we can project that that incumbent Richard Eckstrom, will defeat the President of USA Cycling Bill Petersen, in a race that had gotten nasty (With no less than twelve different TV ads targeting Petersen over the Lance Armstrong imbroglio, and six more over his carpertbagging(Petersen moved to the district on December 24, 2012, and filed his candidacy on April 17, 2013)).

South Carolina Comptroller 17% Reporting

Richard Eckstrom (R) 73%
Bill Petersen (D) 25%

In the Treasurer's race we can project that the incumbent, Curtis Loftus will defeat State Representative Christopher Hart and the Libretarian nominee, Hilton Head Island Town Manager Steve Riley.

South Carolina Treasurer 39% Reporting

Curtis Loftus (R) 63%
Christopher Hart (D) 34%
Steve Riley (L) 2%

In the race for Secretary of State, we can project that incumbent Mark Hammond will defeat, consultant Ginny Deerin.

South Carolina Secretary of State 43% Reporting

Mark Hammond (R) 61%
Ginny Deerin (D) 37%

In the South Carolina Attorney General's race, we can project the incumbent, Alan Wilson to defeat State Representative Jackson Whipper.

South Carolina Attorney General 38% Reporting

Alan Wilson (R) 60%
Jackson Whipper (D) 39%

In the Lieutenant Governor's race, where the incumbent Greg McConnell, is retiring to take the position of President of the College of Charleston (And has asked that his successor be sworn in early), we can project that the Democrat, State Representative Bakari Sellers, will defeat former Attorney General Henry McMaster, and former Lieutenant Governor Andre Bauer, who is running an independent campaign

South Carolina Lieutenant Governor 48% Reporting

Bakari Sellers (D) 49.4%
Henry McMaster (R) 31.6%
Andre Bauer (I) 18.3%

The race for the South Carolina Governorship is too close to call. We got this way when former Senator and head of the Heritage Foundation Jim DeMint decided to challenge Haley in the Republican Primary (DeMint also said he wouldn't step down as head of the heritage foundation unless he won said primary). Demint defeated Haley, and advanced to face State Senator Vincent Sheeheen. DeMint entered the general election phase with a twelve-point lead but it was whittled away, under fire from Sheheen, the Democratic Governor's association, and the new head of the Heritage Foundation in former Congressman and Club for Growth President Chris Chocola, who openly called him a "traitor" to the Heritage Foundations beliefs and principles on the O' Reilly Factor, October 1, edition

South Carolina Governor 59% Reporting
Jim DeMint (R) 48.78%
Vincent Sheeheen (D) 48.11%

In the Congressional Races, we can project that Mark Sanford, Trey Gowdy, Joe Wilson, Jeff Duncan and James Clyburn will be re-elected

The Seventh Congressional District race between incumbent Tom Rice, and Gloria Tinubu is too early to call, although Rice leads.

South Carolina Seventh Congressional District 63% Reporting

Tom Rice (R) 57%
Gloria Tinubu (D) 42%

In the Regularly Scheduled Senate election, State Superintendent Mick Zails defeated Lindsey Graham in the June 10, Primary and now faces former Governor Jim Hodges. That race is too close to call.

South Carolina Senate "G" 66% Reporting
Jim Hodges (D) 49.78%
Mick Zails (R) 48.21%

In the Special Election to fill the last two years of former Senator Jim DeMint's term (Never mind that DeMint is running for Governor), between the incumbent appointee Tim Scott, and State Senator Thomas McElveen is too early to call, but Scott leads.

South Carolina Senate Seat "DM" 67% Reporting

Tim Scott (R) 54%
Thomas McElveen (D) 45%
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« Reply #29 on: May 02, 2014, 09:01:11 PM »


Good Evening I'm Kristen Welker and you are watching continuing coverage of the 2014 Midterm Elections

First Tonight, we still do not have a projection for the South Carolina Governor's race, although the latest numbers in show the Republican nominee, Former Senator Jim DeMint, Maintaining his lead. We also cannot project the South Carolina Senate race, where the latest numbers show the Republican, Superintendent Mick Zails moving into a narrow lead.

South Carolina Senate Seat "G" 74% Reporting
Mick Zails (R) 48.99%
Jim Hodges (D) 48.35%

South Carolina Governor 65% Reporting
Jim DeMint (R) 49%
Vincent Sheheen (D) 48.07%

Our Next stop is in Tennessee.

In the race for Governor of Tennessee we project that embattled incumbent Bill Haslam will win a second term, defeating Democratic Committeeman and former Mayor of Memphis Myron Lowery.

Tennessee Governor 50% Reporting

Bill Haslam (R) 61%
Myron Lowery (D) 37%

In the First Congressional District, we project the incumbent Phil Roe, will defeat, Libertarian nominee, Michael Salyer, and the Constitution Party's nominee, Johnson City Commissioner David Tomita.

Tennessee First Congressional District 29% Reporting

Phil Roe (R) 69%
Michael Salyer (L) 12%
David Tomita (Con) 9%

The Second Congressional District race between the incumbent, John Duncan Jr. and Knoxville Mayor Madeline Rogero is currently too close to call.

Tennessee Second Congressional District 93% Reporting

John Duncan Jr. (R) 50.2%
Madeline Rogero (D) 48.6%

In the Third Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent, Charles Fleischmann will defeat the Libertarian nominee, Harriman Mayor Chris Mason and Democrat Mary Hedrick.

Tennessee Third Congressional District 39% Reporting

Charles Fleischmann (R) 72%
Mary Hedrick (D) 19%
Chris Mason (L) 6%

In the Fourth Congressional District, where scandal scarred Scott DesJarlais was tossed via primary, we can project that Comptroller Justin Wilson will defeat State Representative Johnny Shaw.

Tennessee Fourth Congressional District 44% Reporting

Justin Wilson (R) 66%
Johnny Shaw (D) 33%

In the Fifth Congressional District, where the incumbent Jim Cooper is retiring to become ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa (He was confirmed on October 18 by voice vote, but has said he will not resign until the new Congress takes office), we can project that Nashville Mayor Karl Dean will defeat Burns Mayor Landon Mathis.

Tennessee Fifth Congressional District 42% Reporting

Karl Dean (D) 67%
Landon Mathis (R) 31%

In the Sixth Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent Diane Black, will defeat her Democratic opponent Amos Powers, and her Libertarian opponent Jamestown Mayor, Ryan Smith

Tennessee Sixth Congressional District 29% Reporting

Diane Black (R) 70%
Amos Powers (D) 22%
Ryan Smith (L) 5%

In the Seventh Congressional District where Marsha Blackburn decided to challenge Sen. Lamar Alexander, we can project that State Senator John Stevens, will defeat Memphis City Councilman Reid Hedgepath.

Tennessee Seventh Congressional District 33% Reporting

John Stevens (R) 63%
Reid Hedgepath (D) 35%

In the Eighth Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent, Stephen Fincher, will defeat his opponent, Tom Reasons.

Tennessee Eighth Congressional District 22% Reporting

Stephen Fincher (R) 72%
Tom Reasons (D) 23%

In the Ninth Congressional District, where the incumbent Steve Cohen was defeated in a primary, we project that the winner of that primary, Memphis City Councilwoman Wanda Halbert, will defeat Republican Charlotte Bergman.

Tennessee Ninth Congressional Race 17% Reporting

Wanda Halbert (D) 78%
Charlotte Bergman (R) 17%

And in, the Senate Race, where Lamar Alexander was defeated in a contentious primary, we can project that the winner of that primary, Congresswoman, Marsha Blackburn will, defeat former Nashville Mayor and State Representative Bill Purcell.

Tennessee Senate61% Reporting

Marsha Blackburn (R) 57%
Bill Purcell (D) 41%
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« Reply #30 on: May 03, 2014, 10:40:19 AM »
« Edited: May 04, 2014, 09:19:53 AM by NewYorkExpress »


Good evening, I'm Christiane Amanpour, and you are watching our continuing coverage of the 2014 Midterm elections.

At this moment we can project, that the Republicans, will retain the South Carolina Governor's mansion, with former Senator Jim DeMint, who defeat incumbent Nikki Haley in the Republican primary, defeating State Senator Vincent Sheeheen.

South Carolina Governor 77% Reporting

Jim DeMint (R) 49.2%
Vincent Sheeheen (D) 47.2%

The election for South Carolina Senate seat held by Senator Lindsey Graham is still too close to call.
South Carolina Senate Seat "G" 79% Reporting
Jim Hodges (D) 49.26%
Mick Zails (R) 49.23%

Our next destination is the Commonwealth of Virginia

In the first Congressional District we project the incumbent, Representative Rob Wittman will defeat Haymarket Vice-Mayor Jay Tobias.

Virginia First Congressional District 23% Reporting

Rob Wittman (R) 69%
Jay Tobias (D) 30%

In the Second Congressional District we project that former Deputy Undersecretary of
Defense for Industrial Policy, Suzanne Patrick will defeat the incumbent Scott Rigell.


Virginia Second Congressional District 41% Reporting

Suzanne Patrick (D) 52%
Scott Rigell (L) 47%

In the Third Congressional District where incumbent Bobby Scott is retiring to become the President of Norfolk State University, we can project that Representative Jeion Ward will defeat Henrico County Supervisor Richard Glover.

Virginia Third Congressional District 32% Reporting

Jeion Ward (D) 61%
Richard Glover (R) 37%

In the Fourth Congressional District we project that incumbent Randy Forbes will defeat the Libertarian nominee, Bo Brown, and the independent campaign of Smithfield Foods Board Member Margaret Lewis (Who spent $22.9 million attempting to take down Forbes).  

Virginia Fourth Congressional District 43% Reporting

Randy Forbes (R) 56%
Margaret Lewis (I) 36%
Bo Brown (L) 5%

In the Fifth Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent Robert Hurt will defeat Danville City Councilman Alonzo Jones

Virginia Fifth Congressional District 29% Reporting

Robert Hurt (R) 62%
Alonzo Jones (D) 36%

In the Sixth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Bob Goodlatte, will defeat Roanoke Mayor David Bowers in a rematch of the 1998 General election.

Virginia Sixth Congressional District 35% Reporting

Bob Goodlatte (R) 65%
David Bowers (D) 31%

In the Seventh Congressional District we can project that Eric Cantor, who narrowly survived a Tea Party backed challenge from State Senator Jill Vogel in the June 10, Primary will recover to defeat former NFL Safety George Coghill.

Virginia Seventh Congressional District 41% Reporting

Eric Cantor (R) 59%
George Coghill (D) 27%
James Carr (L) 11%

In the Eighth Congressional District, where incumbent Jim Moran is retiring, we can project that former Lieutenant Governor Don Beyer, will defeat Micah Edmond.

Virginia Eighth Congressional District 14% Reporting

Don Beyer (D) 83%
Micah Edmond (R) 9%

The Ninth Congressional District between the incumbent Morgan Griffith and former Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling, who is running on the Democratic line is too close to call.

Virginia Ninth Congressional District 96% Reporting

Bill Bolling (Independent, Will Caucus with the Democrats) 49.7%
Morgan Griffith (R) 49.3%

In the Tenth Congressional District where the incumbent Frank Wolf is not seeking re-election, we can project that former RNC chair Ed Gillespie will defeat John Foust, and Tareq Salahi, who is running an independent campaign.

Virginia Tenth Congressional District 29% Reporting

Ed Gillespie (R) 64%
John Foust (D) 34%
Tareq Salahi 1%

In the Eleventh Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent, Gerry Connolly will defeat Manassas City Councilman Marc Aveni

Virginia Eleventh Congressional District 17% Reporting

Gerry Connolly (D) 77%
Marc Aveni (R) 21%

In the race for Virginia's seat in the United States Senate, we can project that the incumbent Mark Warner, will defeat former Attorney General and 2013 Gubernatorial nominee, Ken Cuccinelli.

Virginia Senator 48% Reporting

Mark Warner (D) 56%
Ken Cuccinelli (R) 42%
Robert Sarvis (L) 1.4%
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« Reply #31 on: May 04, 2014, 01:00:06 AM »

Whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa, when did Gilespie become governor?Huh
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« Reply #32 on: May 04, 2014, 09:18:41 AM »

Whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa, when did Gilespie become governor?Huh

Whoops... didn't read his wiki article clearly, will fix.
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« Reply #33 on: May 05, 2014, 10:26:21 AM »


Good Evening I'm Cynthia McFadden, and you are watching continuing coverage of Election 2014.

We can now call the South Carolina Senate race for the Democrat, former Governor Jim Hodges, a huge win, which coupled with their defeat of Senator McConnell earlier this evening, puts them at +1 in the win column.

South Carolina Senate seat "G" 88% Reporting

Jim Hodges (D) 49.87%
Mick Zails (R) 47.23%


Our next stop is the Tar Heel State of North Carolina, which has slowly transitioned from being a blue state to a red state to a purple state back to a red state.

In the First Congressional District, we project that the incumbent G.K Butterfield will defeat Snow Hill Mayor Dennis Lilles.

North Carolina First Congressional District 15% Reporting

G.K Butterfield (D) 59%
Dennis Lilles (R) 38%

In the Second Congressional District, we project that the incumbent Renee Ellmers will defeat former American Idol and Celebrity Apprentice runner-up Clay Aiken, by a surprisingly large margin, given the last public poll of the race, taken between October 15 and October 17, only had Ellmers up by two.

North Carolina Second Congressional District 47% Reporting

Renee Ellmers (R) 51%
Clay Aiken (D) 39%
Tom Rose (L) 6%

In the Third Congressional District, where the incumbent Walter Jones was defeated in the May 6, Primary, we can project that the President of the North Carolina Community College System Scott Ralls, will defeat the Republican nominee, Beulaville Mayor Kenneth Smith, in another pickup for Democrats in their drive to retake the House of Representatives. 

North Carolina Third Congressional District 46% Reporting

Scott Ralls (D) 53%
Kenneth Smith (R) 36%
Darryl Holloman (L) 9%

In the Fourth Congressional District, where incumbent David Price is retiring to become dean of Duke's Fuqua School of Business, we can project that Raleigh City Councilman John Odom, will defeat Erwin Mayor Patsy Carson.

North Carolina Fourth Congressional District 19% Reporting

John Odom (D) 55%
Patsy Carson (Democrat running on Republican line) 43%

The Fifth Congressional District race between the incumbent Virginia Foxx, and former Lieutenant Governor Dennis Wicker is too close to call.

North Carolina Fifth Congressional District 96% Reporting

Dennis Wicker (D) 50.3%
Virginia Foxx (R) 49.4%

In the Sixth Congressional District, where the incumbent Howard Coble is retiring, we can project that Rockingham County District Attorney Phil Berger Jr. will defeat former U.S Attorney Janice McKenzie Cole and the independent candidacy of Diamond Candles Co-Founder Justin Winter.

North Carolina Sixth Congressional District 41% Reporting

Phil Berger Jr. (R) 46%
Janice McKenzie Cole (D) 37%
Justin Winter (I) 15%

In the Seventh Congressional District where Mike McIntyre is retiring (and has since said he will become a board member of the Institute for Race Relations a think tank based in London, starting in January), we can project that former State Senator David Rouzer, will defeat New Hanover County Commissioner Johnathan Barfield Jr., Libertarian Wesley Casteen and the independent candidacy of pastor and Former President of the Southern Baptist convention, Johnny Hunt.

North Carolina Seventh Congressional District 37% Reporting

David Rouzer (R) 48%
Johnathan Barfield Jr. (D) 33%
Johnny Hunt (I) 14%
Wendy Casteen (L) 4%

In the Eighth Congressional District we can project that incumbent Richard Hudson, will defeat Laurinburg Institute Board member Walter Ricks

North Carolina Eighth Congressional District 17% Reporting

Richard Hudson (R) 62%
Walter Ricks (D) 37%

The Ninth Congressional District race between the incumbent, Robert Pittenger and Insurance Commissioner Wayne Goodwin is too close to call.

North Carolina Eighth Congressional District 97% Reporting

Wayne Goodwin (D) 50.25%
Robert Pittenger (R) 48.65%
Farrell Buchanan (Constitution) .55%

The Tenth Congressional District race between the incumbent Patrick McHenry and Elon University President Leo Lambert is too close to call.

North Carolina Tenth Congressional District 98.5% Reporting

Patrick McHenry (R) 50%
Leo Lambert (D) 49%

In the Eleventh Congressional District we can project that the incumbent, Mark Meadows, will defeat former Agriculture Commissioner Britt Cobb and Waynesville Mayor Gavin Brown (Running on the Libertarian line).

North Carolina Eleventh Congressional District 41% Reporting

Mark Meadows (R) 56%
Britt Cobb (D) 37%
Gavin Brown (L) 5%

In the Twelfth Congressional District, where Representative Mel Watt has resigned to take over the Federal Housing Finance Authority, we have a special election and a general election.

In the Special Election we project that State Representative Marcus Brandon will defeat Leon Threatt.

North Carolina Twelfth Congressional District-Special Election 7% Reporting

Marcus Brandon (D) 87%
Leon Threatt (R) 11%

In the Regularly Scheduled General Election, we project that Brandon will defeat former Charlotte Bobcats/Hornets Radio Announcer Steve Martin.

North Carolina Twelfth Congressional District 19% Reporting

Marcus Brandon (D) 76%
Steve Martin (I, would caucus with the Republicans) 19%

In the Thirteenth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent George Holding will defeat Duke University President Richard Brodhead.

North Carolina Thirteenth Congressional District 37% Reporting

George Holding (R) 59%
Richard Brodhead (D) 35%

In the important race for North Carolina's Senate seat, we project that Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest (who practically flattened Thom Tillis in the runoff) will defeat the incumbent Kay Hagan.

North Carolina Senate 56% Reporting

Dan Forest (R) 55%
Kay Hagan (D) 42%
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« Reply #34 on: May 07, 2014, 07:15:54 PM »


Good Evening and welcome back to our extended 2014 midterm election coverage. I'm Byron Pitts from ABC News.

Our next destination is the peach state of Georgia. First off we can project that incumbent Public Service Commissioner Bubba McDonald will defeat the lead organizer of the 1996 Atlanta Olympics and Chairman of Augusta National Golf Club William "Billy" Payne, and we can also project that incumbent Public Safety Commissioner H. Doug Everett will defeat Georgia Power President and CEO Paul Bowers who, despite being a Republican launched a campaign on the Democratic party line.

Georgia Public Safety Commission- Seat "Bubba" 36% Reporting

Bubba McDonald (R) 67%
Billy Payne (D) 31%

Georgia Public Safety Commission- Seat "Everett" 38% Reporting

H.Doug Everett (R) 66%
Paul Bowers (D) 39%

In the race for Labor Commissioner we project that the Democratic nominee, State Representative Howard Mosby, will defeat incumbent Mark Butler, and the independent candidacy of Primrose Schools COO, Darin Harris, who spent much of the campaign running to Butler's right.
Georgia Labor Commissioner 46% Reporting

Howard Mosby (D) 52%
Mark Butler (R) 43%
Darin Harris (I) 4.2%

In the race for Commissioner of Agriculture, we can project that there will be a runoff, between former Congressman George Darden and incumbent Gary Black. Participating in the first round, but failing to reach the runoff, were Moe's Southwest Grill President Paul Damico, and former Congresswoman Cynthia McKinney, running on the Green Party ballot line

Georgia Agriculture Commissioner 87% Reporting (Runoff on December 2, 2014)

George Darden (D) 41%
Gary Black (R) 40.78%
Cynthia McKinney (G) 8.42%
Paul Damico (I) 7%

In the race for Insurance Commissioner, we can project that State Representative Mack Jackson will defeat the incumbent, Ralph Hudgens.

Georgia Insurance Commissioner 41% Reporting

Mack Jackson (D) 50.18%
Ralph Hudgens (R) 48.67%

In the race for State Schools Superintendent, which John Barge resigned on September 7, to become the head of the Federal Student Aid office (He already was not running for re-election, and had lost the Gubernatorial Primary), we can project that State Representative Alicia Thomas Morgan, will defeat Attorney Ashley Bell.

Georgia Superintendent of Schools 52% Reporting

Alicia Thomas Morgan (D) 53%
Ashley Bell (R) 44%

In the race for Secretary of State we project that there will be a runoff between the incumbent, Brian Kemp and Former Congressman Marvin Dawson Mathis. Also running, but unable to make the runoff were Professional Golfer Davis Love III, and Attorney Jesse Spikes, who received the nomination of the Green Party.

Georgia Secretary of State 91% Reporting (Runoff on December 2, 2014)

Brian Kemp (R) 48%
Marvin Dawson Mathis (D) 42%'
Davis Love III (I) 5%
Jesse Spikes (G) 2%

In the race for Attorney General of Georgia we can project that former Senator and Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Wyche Fowler will defeat the incumbent Samuel Olens.

Georgia Attorney General 55% Reporting

Wyche Fowler (D) 54%
Samuel Olens (R) 47%

In the race for Lieutenant Governor, we can project that there will be a runoff between the incumbent, Casey Cagle and State Senator Jason Carter.

Georgia Lieutenant Governor 88% Reporting (Runoff on December 2, 2014)
Jason Carter (D) 48.87%
Casey Cagle (R) 48.54%

In the race for the Governor's Mansion we can project that former Senator Max Cleland will defeat the embattled incumbent Nathan Deal, and former Representative Bob Barr, running on the Libertarian party line

Georgia Governor 57% Reporting

Max Cleland (D) 50%
Nathan Deal (R) 44%
Bob Barr (L) 5.2%

In the First Congressional District, where the incumbent Jack Kingston is running for the Senate we can project that State Senator Earl "Buddy" Carter will defeat the Democratic Nominee, Amy Taivo, and Former Georgia Tech Football Star Coleman Rudolph.

Georgia First Congressional District 36% Reporting

Earl "Buddy" Carter (R) 59%
Amy Taivo (D) 20%
Coleman Rudolph (I, would caucus with Republicans) 18%

In the Second Congressional District, where Sanford Bishop is retiring to become the United States's first Ambassador to the Caribbean Community (Central Offices in Kingston, Jamaica, with Secondary offices in Nassau, Bahamas, Belize City, Belize, Port Au-Prince, Haiti and Codrington, Antigua and Barbuda) we can project that former Secretary of State Lewis Massey, will defeat, Vivian Childs.

Georgia Second Congressional District 32% Reporting

Lewis Massey (D) 56%
Vivian Childs (R) 42%

In the third Congressional Disrict we project that the incumbent Lynn Westmoreland, will defeat Columbus City Councilman Mike Baker.

Georgia Third Congressional District 14% Reporting

Lynn Westmoreland (R) 81%
Mike Baker (D) 14%

In the Fourth Congressional District, where the incumbent Hank Johnson is retiring to become President of the NAACP, we can project that State Senator Curt Thompson will defeat Gwinnett County Commissioner Mike Beaudreau.

Georgia Fourth Congressional District 25% Reporting

Curt Thompson (D) 64%
Mike Beaudreau (R) 31%

In the Fifth Congressional District, where the incumbent John Lewis is retiring to become the executive director of Medicins du Monde (Doctors of the World), we can project that Atlanta City Councilman Kwanza Hall, will defeat former Congressman Mac Collins, in what one Atlanta Journal-Constitution editorial from August 15 2013 (three days after Collins announced) called "the most blatant attempt at carpetbagging since Robert Kennedy decided to run for Senate from New York"

Georgia Fifth Congressional District 34% Reporting

Kwanza Hall (D) 66%
Mac Collins (R) 29%

In the Sixth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Tom Price, will defeat former Secretary of State Lera "Cathy" Cox.

Georgia Sixth Congressional District 51% Reporting

Tom Price (R) 53%
Lera "Cathy" Cox (D) 44%

In the Seventh Congressional District, where Congressman Rob Woodall retired to make an unsuccessful for Governor, we can project that former Congressman John Linder, will defeat Thomas Wight.

Georgia Seventh Congressional District 31% Reporting

John Linder (R) 82%
Thomas Wight (D) 17%

In the Eighth Congressional District we project a runoff, between the incumbent Austin Scott and the man he defeated in 2010 former Representative Jim Marshall.

Georgia Eighth Congressional District 97% Reporting (Runoff on January 6, 2015)

Austin Scott (R) 49.28%
Jim Marshall (D) 47.46%

In the Ninth Congressional District, we project that the incumbent Doug Collins will Defeat 2012 nominee for the Georgia House of Representatives David Vogel.

Georgia Ninth Congressional District 12% Reporting

Doug Collins (R) 89%
David Vogel (D) 9%

In the Tenth Congressional District where the incumbent Paul Broun is running for Senate, we can project that State Representative Donna Sheldon will defeat Attorney Ken Dious.

Georgia Tenth Congressional District 18% Reporting
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Donna Sheldon (R) 73%
Ken Dious (D) 25%

In the Eleventh Congressional District, where incumbent Phil Gingrey is also running for the Senate. we can project that there will be a runoff between State Representative and Majority Whip Edward Lindsey, and former Congressman Donald Johnson Jr.

Georgia Eleventh Congressional District 91% Reporting (Runoff on January 6, 2015

Edward Lindsey (R) 47%
Donald Johnson Jr. (D) 40%

In the Twelfth Congressional District we project that State Representative Delvis Dutton will defeat the incumbent, John Barrow.

Georgia Twelfth Congressional District 78% Reporting

Delvis Dutton (R) 50.76%
John Barrow (D) 48.14%

In the Fourteenth Congressional District we project that the incumbent, Tom Graves will defeat former Governor Roy Barnes.
Georgia Fourteenth Congressional District 76% Reporting

Tom Graves (R) 51%
Roy Barnes (D) 48.67%

In the Georgia Senate race, with Saxby Chambliss retiring created a Republican Primary that was, what one Republican Strategist, called "The most loaded Non-Presidential field ever" The losing candidates were; Congressmen, Paul Broun, Phil Gingrey and Jack Kingston, Former Secretary of State Karen Handel, Former CEO of Godfather's Pizza Herman Cain, and Former Representative (Speaker of the House) Newt Gingrich. We can now project that Newt Gingrich will be the next Senator from Georgia, defeating Michelle Nunn in an exceptionally close race.

Georgia Senator 100% Reporting

Newt Gingrich (R) 50.34%
Michelle Nunn (D) 49.04%
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« Reply #35 on: May 08, 2014, 07:13:29 PM »


Good evening, I'm Jake Tapper and you are watching continuing coverage of the 2014 Midterm elections.


Our next stop is the perennial bellwether state of Ohio, another State Democrats need to make gains in to regain the majority in the House of Representatives.

We can project that Jim Jordan, Bob Gibbs, John Boehner, Joyce Beatty Marcy Kaptur, Marcia Fudge and Tim Ryan will be re-elected with minimal difficulty.

In the First Congressional District we can project that former Cincinnati Mayor Mark Mallory will defeat the incumbent Steve Chabot.

Ohio First Congressional District 55% Reporting

Mark Mallory (D) 49%
Steve Chabot (R) 46%

In the Second Congressional District we can project that former Rep. Steve Dreihaus will defeat the incumbent Brad Wenstrup.

Ohio Second Congressional District 57% Reporting

Steve Dreihaus (D) 50%
Brad Wenstrup (R) 47%

In the Fifth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Bob Latta, will defeat Robert Fry and the independent candidacy of former Kent State and Bowling Green President Carol Cartwright.

Ohio Fifthongr Congressional District 47% Reporting

Bob Latta (R) 54%
Carol Cartwright (I) 25%
Robert Fry (D) 19%

In the Sixth Congressional District we can project that former DNC chair David Wilhelm, buoyed by endorsements from both Clintons, former Governor Ted Strickland, and former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell, will defeat incumbent Bill Johnson in one of the biggest non-Pennsylvania upsets of the night so far.

Ohio Sixth Congressional District 57% Reporting

David Wilhelm (D) 48.7%
Bill Johnson (R) 45.1%

In the Tenth Congressional District we project that State Senator Fredrick Strahorn will defeat the incumbent, Mike Turner

Ohio Tenth Congressional District 43% Reporting

Fred Strahorn (D) 52%
Mike Turner (R) 46%

In the Twelfth Congressional District where incumbent Pat Tiberi is retiring to become Ambassador to Bahrain (and current Ambassador Thomas Krajeski is becoming deputy Ambassador to Lebanon) (A vote is scheduled in the Senate for Thursday, November 20, and so far only Rand Paul, and Bob Menendez have expressed any remote opposition to the nomination), we can project that former Lieutenant Governor Jeannette Bradley, who narrowly survived a Tea Party and Social Conservative backed challenge (to the point where John Boehner and George Voinovich were the only prominent Republicans in the entire country to support her in the primary, and notable conservatives like Rick Santorum, Jim Jordan and Ted Cruz  said that they'd rather lose than have a "Moderate" in any house seat) will defeat David Tibbs and Green Party nominee Bob Hart. 

Ohio Twelfth Congressional District 46% Reporting

Jenette Bradley (R) 49%
David Tibbs (D) 42%
Bob Hart (G) 6%

In the Fourteenth Congressional District, where the incumbent David Joyce, lost in the May 6, Primary to State Representative Matt Lynch, we project that Cuyahoga County Councilwoman Sunny Simon will defeat Lynch.

Ohio Fourteenth Congressional District 59% Reporting

Sunny Simon (D) 52%
Matt Lynch (R) 46%

In the Fifteenth Congressional District which holds the the title of "Closest Ohio Primary" (Steve Stivers defeated Hocking County Commissioner Clark Sheets by just 1,097 votes), we can project that the incumbent Steve Stivers will defeat Athens Mayor Paul Wiehl. 

Ohio Fifteenth Congressional District 57% Reporting

Steve Stivers (R) 57%
Paul Wiehl (D) 41%

In the Sixteenth Congressional District, we can predict that the incumbent Steve Stivers will defeat former Representative Dennis Kucinich (Who essentially ended up as the Jennette Bradley of the Democratic Ohio Candidates, with the only prominent Democrats supporting him (he ran unopposed in the primary) being Sherrod Brown and Russ Feingold).

Ohio Sixteenth Congressional District (44% Reporting)

Steve Stivers (R) 56%
Dennis Kucinich (D) 41%

In the Auditor's race which incumbent Dave Yost is leaving vacant to primary Treasurer Josh Mandel, we can project that Former Congressman Zack Space will defeat Former Treasurer Joseph Deters.

Ohio Auditor 62% Reporting

Zack Space (D) 51%
Joseph Deters (R) 47%

In the Treasurer's race where Auditor Dave Yost defeated the incumbent Josh Mandel in the May sixth Primary (By a rather astonishing 60-37 margin, as many thought the primary would be close. An exit polled showed that Ohio Republicans didn't approve of his poor 2012 Senate campaign or his public flirting with challenging Senator Rob Portman in 2016), we project that Yost will defeat Former Cleveland Mayor Jane Campbell.

Ohio Treasurer 63% Reporting

Dave Yost (R) 59%
Jane Campbell (D) 39%

In the race for Ohio Secretary of State, where we can project that former Congresswoman Betty Sutton will defeat the incumbent John Husted, and Ohio Libertarian Party Chairman, Kevin Knedler

Ohio Secretary of State 61% Reporting

Betty Sutton (D) 50%
John Husted (D) 44%
Kevin Knedler (L) 4.7%

The Race for Attorney General of Ohio, (where incumbent Mike Dewine is retiring a After a long and distinguished career in Ohio Politics) between former Congresswoman Deborah Pryce and State Senator Nina Turner is too close to call.

Ohio Attorney General 97% Reporting

Deborah Pryce (R) 49.01%
Nina Turner (D) 48.78%

In the race for the Governor's Mansion of Ohio and the Position of Lieutenant Governor, we can project that the ticket of former Congressman John Bocceri and Cuyahoga County Ed Fitzgerald will defeat the incumbents John Kasich and Mary Taylor.

Ohio Governor/Lieutenant Governor 70% Reporting
 
John Boccieri/Ed Fitzgerald (D) 55%
John Kasich/Mary Taylor (R) 43%
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« Reply #36 on: May 09, 2014, 10:10:42 PM »


Welcome back, I'm Meredith Vieira, and I'm excited to be working my first election night, this Midterm 2014


Our next stop is the Gubernatorial Battleground of Illinois,but we also competitve Congressional races on the docket this year as well. At this moment we can project that the following incumbents will return to Congress, defeating mostly token opposition; Bobby Rush, Robin Kelly, Luis Gutierrez, Mike Quigley, Danny Davis and Janice Schackowsky,

In the Third Congressional District, Left of Center Democrats from Moveon.org, Codepink, and DailyKos, looking to defeat Rep. Daniel Lipiniski got their wish when State Rep. Louis Arroyo and  Chicago Alderman Michelle Harris challenged Lipinski in the March 18 Primary. Arroyo emerged a narrow over Lipinski, and we now project that he will defeat the Republican nominee, Sharon Brannigan.

Illinois Third Congressional District 11% Reporting

Luis Arroyo (D) 79%
Sharon Brannigan (R) 16%

In the Sixth Congressional District, we can project that Peter Roskam, who was formally exonerated of receiving an "impermissible gift" back in late September by the House ethics Committee, has been defeated by State Representative Carol Sente.

Illinois Sixth Congressional District 57% Reporting

Carol Sente (D) 53%
Peter Roskam (R) 45%

The Eighth District, which is a rematch between incumbent Tammy Duckworth, and former Congressman Joe Walsh, is too close to call.

Illinois Eighth Congressional District 99.87% Reporting

Joe Walsh (R) 49.78%
Tammy Duckworth (D) 49.16%

The Tenth Congressional District, which is currently a rematch between Brad Schneider and former Congressman Bob Dold is too close to call.

Illinois Tenth Congressional District

Brad Schneider (D) 50%
Bob Dold (R) 49.64%

In the Eleventh Congressional District, we can project that State Representative Darlene Senger will defeat the incumbent Bill Foster.

Illinois Eleventh Congressional District 69% Reporting

Darlene Senger (R) 53%
Bill Foster (D) 46%

In the Twelfth Congressional District, we project State Represenative Mike Bost, to defeat incumbent, William Enyart.

Illinois Twelfth Congressional District 59% Reporting

Mike Bost (R) 50%
William Enyart (D) 46%
Paula Bradshaw (G) 3.2%

The Thirteenth Congressional District between incumbent Rodney Davis and former Federal Judge, Ann Callis is currently too close to call.

Illinois Thirteenth Congressional District 97% Reporting

Rodney Davis (R) 50.6%
Ann Callis (D) 49.1%

In the Fourteenth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Randy Hultgren, will defeat 2012 nominee Dennis Anderson, and Northern Illinois Wide Reciever, LA Raider, and Arena Football League Hall of Famer Carl Aikens Jr. (running an independent campaign aimed at forcing the NCAA to pay players or make coaches work for free. NCAA President, Mark Emmert in a widely panned October 9, speech in Columbus, suggested that if Aikens won, the NCAA would sue to prevent him from being seated.)

Illinois Fourteenth Congressional District 43% Reporting

Randy Hultgren (R) 59%
Carl Aikens Jr. (I) 30%
Dennis Anderson (D) 7%

In the Fifteenth Congressional District we can project that John Shimkus, will defeat the Democratic nominee Eric Thorsland and former race car driver Jimmy Kite (running on an anti-clean energy platform and independent ballot line)

Illinois Fifteenth Congressional District 19% Reporting

John Shimkus (R) 62%
Jimmy Kite (I) 22%
Eric Thorsland (D) 14%

In the Sixteenth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Adam Kinzinger, will defeat the creator of popular TV show One Tree Hill, Mark Schwhan (Running on the Democratic party line).

Illinois Sixteenth Congressional District 26% Reporting

Adam Kinzinger (R) 71%
Mark Schwhan (D) 26%

The Seventeenth Congressional District race between incumbent Cheri Bustos and former Congressman Bobby Schilling is too close to call.

Illinois Seventeenth Congressional District 98% Reporting

Cheri Bustos (D) 49.5%
Bobby Schilling 49%

In the Eighteenth District, which is currently vacant owing to incumbent Aaron Schock's late decision to seek the Republican nomination for the U.S Senate (He sumbmitted papers on November 26, 2013. The filing deadline was December 2, 2013), we can project that State Senator Chapin Rose, will defeat the Democratic nominee Darrel Miller.

Illinois Eighteenth Congressional District 31% Reporting

Chapin Rose (R) 63%
Darrel Miller (D) 27%

In the race for Comptroller of Illinois, we can project that former Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon, will defeat the incumbent Judy Baar Topinka, and Libertarian nominee, Julie Fox.

Illinois Comptroller 57% Reporting

Sheila Simon (D) 55%
Judy Baar Topinka (R) 42%
Julie Fox (L) 1.6%

In the race for Treasurer of Illinois which incumbent Dan Rutherford is vacating to run for Governor , we can project that State Representative and Minority Leader Tom Cross, will defeat State Senator Mike Frerichs.

Illinois Treasurer 67% Reporting

Tom Cross (R) 54%
Mike Frerichs (D) 44%

In the race for Illinois Secretary of State, we project that incumbent, Jesse White will defeat former Attorney General Jim Ryan.

Illinois Secretary of State 71% Reporting

Jesse White (D) 48%
Jim Ryan (R) 44%
Randy Stufflebeam (Con) 3%

The race for Illinois Attorney General, between incumbent Lisa Madigan and former Congressman Don Manzullo is too close to call.

Illinois Attorney General 98% Reporting

Lisa Madigan (D) 49.6%
Don Manzullo (R) 48.5%

In the race for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Illinois, we can project that the Republican Ticket of former Senator Peter Fitzgerald and Treasurer Dan Rutherford, will defeat the Democrats ticket of incumbent Pat Quinn and Cook County President Toni Preckwickle, in a defeat, while not as bad, what has happened to Republicans in Pennsylvania, appears to have cut the Democrats majority in the State Senate to a 27-32 deficit (from 19-40) and have a 58-57 majority in the State House, with one seat to be called (from a 47-70 deficit).

Illinois Governor/Lieutenant Governor 36% Reporting

Peter Fitzgerald/Dan Rutherford (R) 69%
Pat Quinn/Tony Preckwinkle (D) 29%

In the race for U.S Senator from Illinois, we can project that Majority Whip Richard (Dick) Durbin will defeat Congressman Aaron Schock.

Illinois Senate 55% Reporting

Richard (Dick) Durbin (D) 55%
Aaron Schock (R) 43.7%
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« Reply #37 on: May 10, 2014, 09:49:10 AM »


Good Evening, I'm Scott Pelley and you are watching coverage of Midterm 2014.


Our next stop is the Show Me state of Missouri.

In the race for Auditor, the only statewide race on the ballot, we project that the incumbent Thomas Schweich, will defeat St. Louis Alderman Fred Wessels.

Missouri Auditor 42% reporting

Thomas Schwiech (R) 56%
Fred Wessels (D) 38%
Sean O'Toole (L) 3%

In the First Congressional District we project that the incumbent, William Lacy Clay Jr. will defeat Patriot Coal CEO, Bennett Hatfield

Missouri First Congressional District 39% Reporting

William Lacy Clay Jr. (D) 64%
Bennett Hatfield (R) 31%

In the Second Congressional District, we project that the incumbent, Ann Wagner will defeat former Congressman Russ Carnahan.

Missouri Second Congressional District 65% Reporting

Ann Wagner (R) 52%
Russ Carnahan (D) 46%

In the Third Congressional District we can project that the incumbent, Blaine Lutkemeyer, will defeat State Representative Steve Hodges.

Missouri Third Congressional District 49% Reporting

Blaine Lutketmeyer (R) 61%
Steve Hodges (D) 37%

In the Fourth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent, Vicky Hartzler, will defeat former Auditor Susan Montee.

Missouri Fourth Congressional District 61% Reporting

Vicky Hartzler (R) 53%
Susan Montee (D) 45%

In the Fifth Congressional District, we project that the incumbent, Emanuel Cleaver will defeat former Kansas City Mayor, Mark Funkhouser.

Missouri Fifth Congressional District 52% Reporting

Emanuel Cleaver (D) 55%
Mark Funkhouser (R) 44%

In the Sixth Congressional District, we project that the incumbent Sam Graves will defeat, former Secretary of State Robin Carnahan.

Missouri Sixth Congressional District 67% Reporting

Sam Graves (R) 54%
Robin Carnahan (D) 41%

In the Seventh Congressional District, where the incumbent Billy Long is retiring to become a lobbyist for Sotheby's we can project that State Senator Ron Richard, will defeat  Genevive Wiliams.

Missouri Seventh Congressional District 46% Reporting

Ron Richard (R) 59%
Genevive Williams (D) 34%
Kevin Craig (L) 4%

In the Eighth Congressional District we project that the incumbent, Jason Smith will defeat University of Missouri Professor Dennis Crouch.

Missouri Eighth Congressional District 37% Reporting

Jason Smith (R) 62%
Dennis Crouch (D) 37%
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« Reply #38 on: May 10, 2014, 12:55:05 PM »


Welcome back, I'm Brit Hume and you're watching continuing coverage of the 2014 Midterm elections.


We now head to Magnolia State of Mississippi, which has featured one of the most intense Republican Primaries of this cycle.

The first Congressional District race between the incumbent Alan Nunnelee and Tupelo mayor Jason Shelton is headed to a runoff, something most pollsters predicted, but many pollsters (especially Rasmussen and We Ask America seem to have been caught off guard by Shelton finishing election day in the lead.

Mississippi First Congressional District 99.95% Reporting (Runoff on November 25, 2014)

Jason Shelton (D) 47%
Alan Nunnelee (R) 43%

In the Second Congressional District we project that the Incumbent Bennie Thompson, will defeat the Superintendent of the Mississippi State Penitentiary, Earnest Lee and the Reform Party Candidate, Shelley Shoemake

Mississippi Second Congressional District 36% Reporting

Bennie Thompson (D) 71%
Earnest Lee (R) 24%
Shelly Shoemake (R) 2.67%

In the Third Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Gregg Harper, will defeat Jackson City Councilman De'Keither Stamps

Mississippi Third Congressional District 43% Reporting

Gregg Harper (R) 62%
De'Keither Stamps (D) 36%

In the Fourth Congressional District, which the incumbent Steven Palazzo is vacating the seat to run for the U.S Senate. We can project that former State Senator Billy Hewes will defeat the Democratic nominee Jim Liljberg.

Mississippi Fourth Congressional District 51% Reporting

Billy Hewes (R) 60%
Jim Liljberg (D) 38%

In the race for the Mississippi, U.S Senate seat, where Representative Steven Palazzo, ousted incumbent Thad Cochran in the June 24, Primary runoff, we can project an astonishing Democratic pickup, in Attorney General Jim Hood defeating Palazzo and avoiding a runoff in doing so.

Mississippi Senate 81% Reporting

Jim Hood (D) 52%
Steven Palazzo (R) 47%
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« Reply #39 on: May 10, 2014, 01:16:20 PM »

Those NY numbers kinda freaked me out. Sean Eldridge + 12 over GOP but Nydia Velazquez is down by 1? How so? She should be winning by like 40 pts
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« Reply #40 on: May 10, 2014, 07:08:08 PM »


Welcome back, I'm Judy Woodruff, and you are watching coverage of the 2014 Midterm elections.


We now move to state of Wisconsin, home of prospective 2016 contenders Scott Walker and Paul Ryan.

In the First Congressional District, we project that Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, will defeat Kenosha County Executive James Kreuser, in a race that featured the highest total spending of any Wisconsin Race (except for the Governorship) at $9.9 million between the two candidates, and another $5.2 million by outside groups (Mostly supporting Kreuser)

Wisconsin First Congressional District 69% Reporting

Paul Ryan (R) 51%
James Kreuser (D) 46%

In the Second Congressional District we can project that the incumbent, Mark Pocan, will defeat State Representative Amy Loudenbeck, who started off just seven points back in a very liberal district, but struggled and ran a campaign that seemed to spend more time focusing on Senator Tammy Baldwin, than it did on Pocan.

Wisconsin Second Congressional District 42% Reporting

Mark Pocan (D) 59%
Amy Loudenbeck (R) 38%

In the Third Congressional District we can project that the incumbent, Ron Kind, will defeat former State Senator and 2010 nominee Dan Kapanke, albeit by a slightly reduced margin from 2010.
Wisconsin Third Congressional District 74% Reporting

Ron Kind (D) 50.11%
Dan Kapanke (R) 47.21%

In the Fourth Congressional District, where the incumbent Gwen Moore, is retiring to become the Director of the Polaris Project, we can project that Milwaukee County District Attorney John Chisolm will defeat Treasurer Kurt Schuller (Who National Republicans had to beg to run for Congress at all, let alone in Milwuakee)

Wisconsin Fourth Congressional District 41% Reporting

John Chisolm (D) 57%
Kurt Schuller (R) 42.2%

In the Fifth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Jim Sensenbrunner will defeat former Milwaukee Brewers owner (And Daughter of MLB commissioner) Wendy Selig-Prieb.

Wisconsin Fifth Congressional District 40% Reporting

Jim Sensenbrunner (R) 66%
Wendy Selig-Prieb (D) 32%

The Sixth Congressional District, where the incumbent Tom Petriis retiring,  and which is currently being contested by State Senator (Pro Tempore) Joseph Liebham and Former State Senator Jessica King is currently too close to call.


Wisconsin Sixth Congressional District 97% Reporting

Jessica King (D) 48%
Joseph Liebham (R) 47.21%

In the Seventh Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent, Sean Duffy will defeat former State Senator Pat Kreitlow in a 2012 rematch, by a slightly reduced margin than two years ago.

Wisconsin Seventh Congressional District 61% Reporting

Sean Duffy (R) 52%
Pat Kreitlow (D) 45%

In the Eighth Congressional District we project that the incumbent Reid Ribble will defeat former Green Bay Packers Wide Receiver Donald Driver.

Wisconsin Eighth Congressional District 49% Reporting

Reid Ribble (R) 58%
Donald Driver (D) 37%

In the race for Treasurer of Wisconsin, where the incumbent Kurt Schuller is running for Congress, we project that that State Representative Samantha Kerkman will defeat Dane County Legislator Matt Veldran.

Wisconsin Treasurer 52% Reporting

Samantha Kerkman (R) 55%
Matt Veldran (D) 41%

In the race for Attorney General of Wisconsin, we can project that the incumbent J.B Van Hollen will defeat Dane County District Attorney Ismael Ozanne.

Wisconsin Attorney General 46% Reporting

J.B Van Hollen (R) 61%
Isamel Ozanne (D) 37%

The race for Wisconsin Secretary of State between the incumbent Doug La Follette and State Senator Sheila Harsdorf is too close to call.

Wisconsin Secretary of State 96% Reporting

Sheila Harsdorf (R) 49.55%
Doug La Follette (D) 49.16%

In the race for Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin, we can project that the incumbent, Rebecca Kleefisch (Who's already being talked up as a possibility to challenge Senator Tammy Baldwin in 2018), will defeat former Milwaukee Mayor John Norquist.

Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor 59% Reporting

Rebecca Kleefisch (R) 56%
John Norquist (D) 42%

The race for Governor of Wisconsin, between the incumbent, Scott Walker and Former Senator Russ Feingold is currently too close to call.

Wisconsin Governor 62% Reporting
Russ Feingold (D) 48%
Scott Walker (R) 47.87%
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« Reply #41 on: May 10, 2014, 07:51:54 PM »

When is Texas coming? Smiley
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« Reply #42 on: May 10, 2014, 08:40:31 PM »

Eventually...
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« Reply #43 on: May 11, 2014, 12:37:47 PM »


Welcome Back, I'm Brian Williams and you are watching continuing coverage of the 2014 Midterm Elections


At this time we remain unable to project a winner in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial race.

Wisconsin Governor 70% Reporting
Scott Walker (R) 49%
Russ Feingold (D) 48.24%

We now head to the Sunshine State of Florida, home of possible 2016 contenders Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush.

We can project that the following Congressmen/Women will be re-elected with minimal effort, Jeff Miller. Ander Crenshaw, Ron DeSantis, John Mica, Bill Posey, Gus Billarkis, Kathy Castor, Alcee Hastings, Ted Duetch Lois Frankel, Mario Diaz-Balart, Fredrica Wilson and Ilena Ros-Letihan.

The Second Congressional District race between Steve Southerland, and legacy Candidate Gwen Graham is too close to call.

Florida Second Congressional District 100% Reporting

Gwen Graham (D) 49.34% (Wins by 117 votes)
Steve Southerland (D) 49.34%

In the Third Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Ted Yoho, will defeat 2012 State House of Representatives nominee Dave Smith.

Florida Third Congressional District 37% Reporting

Ted Yoho (R) 64%
Dave Smith (D) 31%

In the Fifth Congressional District, where the incumbent, Corrine Brown is retiring to become the National Archivist (having been formally confirmed on October 27, 2014 by a 97-1 vote (Johnson not present, Rubio voting present, and Crapo voting nay) replacing David Ferrerio, who was leaving to become a Professor at Free University of Berlin (essentially replacing Gerhard Ertl (Although Ertl's Chemistry classes have become Chemistry of Politics, where groups of students (usually two sets of two) are assigned a country and run a mock campaign, for that countries most powerful office), after Ertl was sacked on July 9, 2013 under accusations that he hadn't paid taxes on his salary from the Free University of Berlin since 2008), we can project that Jacksonville City Councilwoman Kimberly Daniels will defeat, Jacksonville City Councilman Don Redman.

Florida Fifth Congressional District 49% Reporting

Kimberly Daniels (D) 56%
Don Redman (R) 43%

In the Ninth Congressional District we can project that Osceola County Property Appraiser Katrina Scarborough will defeat the incumbent, Alan Grayson. Both Republican and Democratic staffers appear to blame Grayson's defeat, on his August 21 remarks calling for "Open rioting" if Republicans maintained control of the House of Representatives.

Florida Ninth Congressional District 42% Reporting

Katrina Scarborough (R) 52%
Alan Grayson (D) 44%
Peter Vivaldi (L) 3%

The Tenth Congressional District race between 2012 nominee and Former Orlando Police Chief Val Demings and the incumbent Daniel Webster is too close to call.

Florida Tenth Congressional District 99.7% Reporting

Val Demings (D) 50%
Daniel Webster (R) 49.45%

In the Eleventh Congressional District we project that the incumbent Rich Nugent, will defeat the Composer and Vocalist for the Trans-Siberian Orchestra Jon Oliva, and the almost- forgotten Democratic nominee David Koller.

Florida Eleventh Congressional District 44% Reporting

Richard Nugent (R) 57%
Jon Oliva (I) 30%
David Koller (D) 11%

In the Thirteenth Congressional District we project that the incumbent David Jolly, will defeat State Senator and 2010 nominee Charlie Justice.

Florida Thirteenth Congressional District 49% Reporting

David Jolly (R) 54%
Charlie Justice (D) 45.2%

In the Fifteenth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent Dennis Ross will defeat former Television Reporter Alan Cohn.

Florida Fifteenth Congressional District 57% Reporting

Dennis Ross (R) 55%
Alan Cohn (D) 43.3%

In the Sixteenth Congressional District, where the incumbent, scandal-scarred Vern Buchanan was defeated in the August 26, Primary, we can project that State Representative Doug Holder will defeat 2006 Agriculture Commissioner Nominee Eric Copeland.

Florida Sixteenth Congressional District 39% Reporting

Doug Holder (R) 61%
Eric Copeland (D) 36%

In the Seventeenth Congressional District, we project that the incumbent Tom Rooney, will defeat professional skateboarder Elissa Steamer.

Florida Seventeenth Congressional District 46% Reporting

Tom Rooney (R) 64%
Elissa Steamer (D) 33%

In the Eighteenth Congressional District we project that former State Representative Carl Domino will defeat the incumbent Patrick Murphy

Florida Eighteenth Congressional District 76% Reporting

Carl Domino (R) 49%
Patrick Murphy (D) 46%

In the Nineteenth Congressional District we project the incumbent April Freeman (who defeated Curt Clawson in a special election to replace the resigning Trey Radel), will be defeated by State Senator Lizbeth Benacquisto/

Florida Nineteenth Congressional District 71% Reporting

Lizbeth Benacquisto (R) 58%
April Freeman (D) 41%

In the Twenty-Second Congressional District, where we project the incumbent and DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz will defeat former Congressman Allen West, albeit by a shocking close margin.

Florida Twenty-Second Congressional District 66% Reporting

Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) 57%
Allen West (R) 42%

In the Twenty-Sixth Congressional District, where scandal plagued Joe Garcia was defeated in the August 26, Primary we can project that Miami Commissioner Francis Suarez will defeat State Senator Miguel Diaz La Portilla

Florida Twenty-Sixth Congressional District68% Reporting

Francis Suarez (D?) 51%
Miguel Diaz La Portilla (R) 47%

In the race for Agriculture Commissioner of Florida, we can project that the incumbent Adam Putnam will defeat State Representative Bruce Antone.

Florida Agriculture Commissioner 52% Reporting

Adam Putnam (R) 55%
Bruce Antone (D) 41%

In the race for Chief Financial Officer of Florida, the incumbent Jeff Atwater, will defeat the prior holder of the office (and very last minute entry) Alex Sink.

CFO-Florida 71% Reporting

Jeffery Atwater (R) 50.5%
Alex Sink (D) 47.9%

In the race for Attorney General we can project that the incumbent, Pam Biondi will defeat State Representative, Perry Thurston.

Florida Attorney General 47% Reporting

Pam Biondi (R) 56%
Perry Thurston (D) 43%

In the race for the Governorship and Lieutenant Governorship of Florida we can project that the ticket of Charlie Crist and Jacksonville Mayor Alvin Brown, will defeat, the ticket of Incumbent Rick Scott, and former Congresswoman Katherine Harris. (Carlos Lopez-Cantera, while he agreed to serve as interim Lieutenant Governor, decided to run for Mayor of Miami-County in 2015 instead of remaining Lieutenant Governor. He still endorsed Scott though)

Florida Governor/Lieutenant Governor


Charlie Crist/Alvin Brown (D) 54%
Rick Scott/Katherine Harris (R) 44.4%
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« Reply #44 on: May 11, 2014, 05:58:59 PM »

Uhh, why is DWS running far to the north in Lois Frankel's district?
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« Reply #45 on: May 11, 2014, 07:00:00 PM »

About OH, yeah no.

OH-1 has a PVI of R+6, OH-2 is R+9, OH-6 is R+9, OH-10 is R+2 with Turner as an established incumbent. OH-14 is R+3, OH-16 is Jim Renacci, not Stivers, and does not include any of Cuyahoga County, which is where Kucinich is (he's in the 9th). Considering that your POD was April 12, DeWine had already filed for AG, as had FitzGerald/Neuhardt for Gov/LtGov.
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« Reply #46 on: May 11, 2014, 07:52:02 PM »


Welcome back to our 2014 Midterm election coverage, I'm Diane Sawyer from ABC News.  


At this time we remain unable to project the winner of the Governor's race in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin Governor 74% Reporting
Scott Walker (R) 49.2%
Russ Feingold (D) 48.6%


Our next stop is the State of Michigan which was one of the few states to start the cycle with competitive Gubernatorial and Senatorial races

The First Congressional District race between the incumbent Dan Beinshek, Former Kalkasa County Sherrif Jerry Cannon, and Harbor Springs Mayor Allen Dika (Running on the Libertarian Party Line) is too close to call.

Michigan First Congressional District 99.5% Reporting

Jerry Cannon (D) 46%
Dan Beinshek (R) 44%
Allen Dika (L) 1.3%

In the Second Congressional District, we can project that Bill Huzinega will defeat 2008 Nominee Fred Johnson.

Michigan Second Congressional District

Bill Huizenga (R) 69%
Fred Johnson (D) 28%

In the Third Congressional District, which Justin Amash is vacating to run for Governor, we can project that State Representative Ken Yonker, will defeat State Representative Brandon Dillon, and Grand Rapids Mayor George Hartwell (Running an Independent Campaign)

Michigan Third Congressional District 66% Reporting

Ken Yonker (R) 43%
Brandon Dillon (D) 39%
George Heartwell (I) 16%

In the Fourth Congressional District, where the incumbent Dave Camp, is retiring to become an International Lobbyist (Specializing in lobbying EU politicians) for Banca Transilvania (Based in Cluj-Napoca, Romania, with a Secondary "Home" office in Bucharest, Romania), we can project that State Senator John Moolenaar will defeat 2004 nominee Mike Huckleberry.

Michigan Fourth Congressional District 52% Reporting

John Moolenaar (R) 58%
Mike Huckleberry (D) 40%

In the Fifth Congressional District, we project that the incumbent Dan Kildee, will defeat Professional Bowler Tom Smallwood.

Michigan Fifth Congressional District 43% Reporting

Dan Kildee (D) 67%
Tom Smallwood (R) 31%

In the Sixth Congressional District we can project that the incumbent, Fred Upton will defeat Western Michigan University Professor Paul Clements and Kalamazoo Vice-Mayor Hannah McKinley (Running on the Constitution Party Line).

Michigan Sixth Congressional District 33% Reporting

Tim Walberg (R) 51%
Paul Clements (D) 39%
Hannah McKinley (Con) 8%

In the Ninth Congressional District, where the incumbent Sander Levin decided to join his brother Carl in retirement, we project that State Representative Jon Switalski will defeat Warren Mayor James Fouts.

Michigan Ninth Congressional District

Jon Switalski (D) 54%
James Fouts (R) 45%

The race for the Ninth Congressional District, Between House Administration Committee Chair Candice Miller and former Lieutenant Governor John Cherry is too close to call.

Michigan Ninth Congressional District 100% Reporting

Candice Miller (R) 49.16% (Wins by 271 votes)
John Cherry (D) 49.16%

In the Eleventh Congressional District where the incumbent Kerry Benevitolio was defeated in the August 5 primary, we can project that former Lieutenant Governor Dick Posthumus will defeat candidate Anil Kumar.

Michigan Eleventh Congressional District 67% Reporting

Dick Posthumus (R) 65%
Anil Kumar (D) 33%

In the Twelfth Congressional District, where John Conyers is retiring, we can project that Ann Arbor Mayor John Hieftje will defeat 2010 nominee Rob Steele.

Michigan Twelfth Congressional District 30% Reporting

John Hieftje (D) 72%
Rob Steele (R) 26%

In the Thirteenth Congressional District where John Conyers was kicked off the ballot, owing to Thaddeus McCotter style petition issues (and has stubbornly refused demands from National Republicans, Local Republicans and even some local Democrats to resign), we project that Former Representative Lynn Rivers will defeat University of Michigan Athletic Director David Brandon (Running as an independent, the single Republican who filed for the race, Jeff Gorman, dropped out in Mid-June owing to a lack of funds).

Michigan Thirteenth Congressional District 41% Reporting

Lynn Rivers (D) 64%
Jeff Gorman (R) 35%

In the Fourteenth Congressional District, where the incumbent Gary Peters is vacating the seat to run for the U.S Senate, we can project that Former Congressman Hansen Clarke, will defeat Oakland County Sherrif, Mike Bouchard.

Michigan Fourteenth Congressional District 54% Reporting

Hansen Clarke (D) 57%
Mike Bouchard (R) 42%

In the race for Secretary of State, which the incumbent Ruth Johnson is retiring to become a lobbyist for New Zealand-based Skycity Entertainment Group (With Headquarters in Auckland New Zealand and secondary offices in Wellington New Zealand and Sydney, Australia), we can project that former Congressman Joe Knollenberg will defeat former Congressman Bart Stupak, in a race were Liberal groups like Moveon.org and DailyKos openly endorsed Knollenberg (With Moveon.org running a late September ad that basically said Stupak was a DINO, and suggested that "If you're going to vote for a Republican, you should that actually is a Republican" The FEC fined Moveon.org $125,000 for the ad, which the says "it will not pay as long as Citizens United is in effect".  

Michigan Secretary of State 56% Reporting

Joe Knollenberg (R) 61%
Bart Stupak (D) 37%

In the race for Attorney General of Michigan, we project that former Governor and Ambassador to Canada, James Blanchard will defeat the incumbent Bill Schuette.

Michigan Attorney General 60% Reporting

James Blanchard (D) 55%
Bill Schuette (R) 42%

In the race for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Michigan, where the incumbent Rick Snyder was defeated in the Republican Primary, we can project that former Congressman Mark Schauer and his "running mate" State Senate Minority Leader Gretchen Whitmer will defeat the Republican "ticket" of Congressman Justin Amash and Lieutenant Governor Brian Calley.

Michigan Governor/Lieutenant Governor 77% Reporting


Mark Schauer/Gretchen Whitmer (D) 49%
Justin Amash/Brian Calley (R) 45%

In the race for the U.S Senate, where the incumbent Carl Levin is retiring and which Republicans have all along seemed to put more effort into than Gubernatorial race (Especially after Amash won the Republican primary), we can project that former Governor John Engler will defeat Congressman Gary Peters.

Michigan U.S Senate 80% Reporting

John Engler (R) 51%
Gary Peters (D) 47%
Jim Fulner (L) 1.2%
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #47 on: May 11, 2014, 07:53:57 PM »

About OH, yeah no.

OH-1 has a PVI of R+6, OH-2 is R+9, OH-6 is R+9, OH-10 is R+2 with Turner as an established incumbent. OH-14 is R+3, OH-16 is Jim Renacci, not Stivers, and does not include any of Cuyahoga County, which is where Kucinich is (he's in the 9th). Considering that your POD was April 12, DeWine had already filed for AG, as had FitzGerald/Neuhardt for Gov/LtGov.

I'don't remember actually giving any specific date as a point of departure...

As for Democrats winning impossible seats, here and in Pennsylvania... There's a good chance most of them won't be back in 2016.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #48 on: May 11, 2014, 07:55:19 PM »

Uhh, why is DWS running far to the north in Lois Frankel's district?

I probably just mistyped the District #... Frankel isn't getting specific mention, because she isn't retiring nor was her race at any point competitve.
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« Reply #49 on: May 12, 2014, 10:46:37 AM »


Welcome Back, I'm Katie Couric and you are watching continuing coverage of the 2014 midterm elections.


At this time we can project that the incumbent, Scott Walker will win re-election as Governor of Wisconsin. Walker who in the most recent 2016 polling for the Iowa Caucuses has a three point lead over fellow Wisconsinite Paul Ryan and five points over New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (Rasmussen, November 2, 2014), has escaped two major challenges in a row, from Tom Barrett in the 2012 recalls and now former Senator Russ Feingold ina dramatically tight race. At this time we project the Wisconsin State Senate will go from a 18-15 GOP majority to a 19-14 GOP Majority, as the Republicans picked up the seat of retiring Representative Kathleen Vinehout (who was defeated by Feingold in the Democratic Primary), and the less closely watch  Wisconsin State Assembly will have a smaller Republican majority, going from a 60-39 GOP edge to a 58-41 GOP edge, with Democrats picking up the seats of Samantha Kerkman (who was elected Treasurer, and Gary Bies (Who lost the Secretary of State Primary to Sheila Harsdorf).

Wisconsin Governor 79% Reporting

Scott Walker (R) 50%
Russ Feingold (D) 47.9%


Our next stop is the state of Louisiana, the only state where every major analyst (even Nate Silver) picked the incumbent Senator to lose.

In the race for the two Public Service Commission Seats up this year, we project that Commission Leader Eric Skermetta will defeat Livonia Mayor Troy Chustz. In the other race we can project that the incumbent, Foster Campbell, currently the only non-Mary Landrieu Democrat to hold Statewide Office, will be defeated by Shreveport City Councilman Ron Webb.

Louisiana Public Service Commission, Seat "SK" 23% Reporting

Eric Skermetta (R) 59%
Troy Chustz (D) 40%

Louisiana Public Service Commission Seat "Banana Soup" 44% Reporting

Ron Webb (R) 52%
Foster Campbell (D) 47%

In the First Congressional District we project that the incumbent Steve Scalise, former Terrebone Parish President Don Schawb and Covington Mayor Mike Cooper (running as an independent) will advance to to the December 6, General Election runoff.

Louisiana First Congressional District Blanket Primary 55% Reporting
Steve Scalise (R) 33%
Don Schwab (D) 13%
Wilson Viator (R) 13%
Mike Cooper (I) 11%
Ernest Wooten (I) 10%
Mayson Foster (R) 9%
Freddy Drennan (D) 7%

In the Second Congressional District, we can project that the incumbent Cedric Richmond (Who is being discussed as a challenger for Governor in 2015) and former Congressman Anh Cao will advance to the December 6, General Election Runoff, setting up a rematch from 2010.

Louisiana Second Congressional District Blanket Primary 78% Reporting
Cedric Richmond (D) 49.4%
Anh Cao (R) 22.6%
Shelly Midura (D) 15%
Trae Welch (D) 7%
Cynthia Willard-Lewis (D) 5.4%

In the Third Congressional District we can project that State Representative Charles Kleckley will defeat the the incumbent Charles Boustany Jr. to advance to the December General Election Runoff, and he will be joined by Kaplan Mayor Kirk Champange.

Louisiana Third Congressional District Blanket Primary 46% Reporting
Charles Kleckley (R) 35%
Charles Boustany Jr. (R) 27%
Kirk Champange (D) 21%
John Iyeoub (D) 14%

In the Fourth Congressional District, we project that the incumbent, John Fleming will defeat his only opponent, former Governor Buddy Roemer (Also Running as a Republican)

Louisiana Fourth Congressional District Blanket Primary 57% Reporting

John Fleming (R) 53%
Buddy Roemer (R) 45%

In the Fifth Congressional District, we project that State Senator Neil Riser will defeat incumbent Vance McAllister (who when caught in extramarital affair said he would run again, noting that "Democrats don't get this kind of treatment"), and will be joined by State Representative Robert Johnson, and local entrepreneur Clay Grant (Libertarian) in the December 6, runoff.

Louisiana Fifth Congressional District Blanket Primary 47% Reporting
Robert Johnson (D) 31%
Neil Riser (R) 27%
Vance McAllister (R) 25%
Jaime Mayo (D) 12%
Clay Grant (L) 4%

In the Sixth Congressional District, where Bill Cassidy is running for the United States Senate, we can project that the December 6, runoff will between former Congressman Jeff Landry, Former Governor (and convict) Edwin Edwards and Attorney Rufus Craig (Libertarian). Early runoff polling has Landry ahead of Edwards 70-17 (PPP, October 9,) and 72-20 (Harper, October 26)

Louisiana Sixth Congressional District Blanket Primary 55% Reporting
Jeff Landry (R) 26%
Dan Claitor (R) 21%
Garret Graves (R) 16%
Hunter Greene (R) 13%
Erich Ponti (R) 8%
Edwin Edwards (D) 8%
Shelley Hendrix  (R) 5%
Rufus Craig (L) 2.1%

In the race for the Louisiana Senate, we project that incumbent Mary Landreiu will go to the runoff against the head of the Family Research Council, Tony Perkins and Libertarian Brannon McMorris Jr. Early polling for the runoff between these two candidates have ranged from Landrieu being ahead 50-47 (NBC/Marist, October 10), to Perkins being ahead 49-47 (PPP, October 28).

Louisiana U.S Senate Blanket Primary
Tony Perkins (R) 35%
Mary Landrieu (D) 31%
Bill Cassidy (R) 16%
Paul Hollis (R) 7%
Randy Roach (D) 5%
Brannon McMorris (L) 3%
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