Current ticket predictions?
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Author Topic: Current ticket predictions?  (Read 16808 times)
IceSpear
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« Reply #100 on: November 08, 2014, 08:47:42 PM »

Clinton/Warner Kaine vs. Walker/Martinez
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #101 on: November 08, 2014, 09:43:05 PM »

Clinton/Merkley

He helps reinforce a populist message and comes from the West where Hillary may need some help. Barring him, I'd say the other probable choices are either Kaine or Bennett.

Christie/Gardner

He comes from an important swing state, can appeal to the base without scaring off moderates, and has a disposition seen as a good balance to Christie' abrasiveness. Other possibilities are Portman, Kasich, Thune, Martinez, McNorris Rodgers

Gardner in 2016? Isn't too early?

Obama nor Palin weren't.
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #102 on: November 08, 2014, 10:11:51 PM »


Question on Tim Kaine as VP…

When Lautenberg died, Christie had some discretion for the length of the appointment. Would McAuliffe be able to appoint a replacement for the last two years of Kaine's term or does Virginia law force a senate special election in 2017? If it's the latter, that is a big disincentive to having Kaine as VP: a good chance of one less Democratic senator in her 2nd year. Not as important as winning the presidential election is, but still important and no one here seems to understand that, in the last 50 years, running mates have won elections for the top of the ticket zero times. Kaine (or anyone else) is overwhelmingly likely to have the same non-effect. But if his replacement could serve 2 years, sure, Kaine is a decent pick.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #103 on: November 09, 2014, 07:21:19 PM »


Question on Tim Kaine as VP…

When Lautenberg died, Christie had some discretion for the length of the appointment. Would McAuliffe be able to appoint a replacement for the last two years of Kaine's term or does Virginia law force a senate special election in 2017? If it's the latter, that is a big disincentive to having Kaine as VP: a good chance of one less Democratic senator in her 2nd year. Not as important as winning the presidential election is, but still important and no one here seems to understand that, in the last 50 years, running mates have won elections for the top of the ticket zero times. Kaine (or anyone else) is overwhelmingly likely to have the same non-effect. But if his replacement could serve 2 years, sure, Kaine is a decent pick.

My reading of this:

http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx

is that McAuliffe would pick a replacement who'd serve for ~1 year, with a special election which would be held in November 2017, at the same time as the governor's race.
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ISmellPizza
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« Reply #104 on: November 10, 2014, 05:39:12 AM »

I'm thinking maybe Hillary Clinton/Mark Warner. If not Clinton, then Joe Biden/Kirsten Gillibrand.

As for the Rs, I'm thinking Scott Walker/Cathy McMorris Rodgers. I just have a gut feeling that McMorris Rodgers wants to be higher up than House Leadership, and there's no chance she'll run for Senate or Governor here in Washington. I'm also not sure how the Rs feel about having a House member as VP nominee again, but I'm sticking with that prediction.
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Flake
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« Reply #105 on: November 10, 2014, 09:04:27 AM »

Clinton/Booker and Walker/? I don't know, the Republicans have some pretty poor choices next year.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #106 on: November 10, 2014, 01:20:11 PM »

I'm thinking maybe Hillary Clinton/Mark Warner. If not Clinton, then Joe Biden/Kirsten Gillibrand.

As for the Rs, I'm thinking Scott Walker/Cathy McMorris Rodgers. I just have a gut feeling that McMorris Rodgers wants to be higher up than House Leadership, and there's no chance she'll run for Senate or Governor here in Washington. I'm also not sure how the Rs feel about having a House member as VP nominee again, but I'm sticking with that prediction.

Ryan did better than most people realize... that loss was split between Romney and the GOP's various Senate candidates
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exopolitician
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« Reply #107 on: November 10, 2014, 05:51:03 PM »

Clinton/Heinrich
Clinton/Booker
Warren/Webb

Walker/Paul
Walker/Ayotte
Bush/Ayotte
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #108 on: November 12, 2014, 04:09:13 PM »

Clinton (NY)/Brown (OH)
Romney (MA)/Snyder (MI)
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Devils30
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« Reply #109 on: November 14, 2014, 03:51:42 PM »



Hillary Clinton/Steve Bullock: 308 EV, 50%
John Kasich/ Kelly Ayotte: 230 EV, 47%

Close states:
Florida: Clinton +3%
Iowa: Kasich +1%
Virginia: Clinton +4.5%
Wisconsin: Clinton +3.5%
Colorado: Clinton +1.5%
Pennsylvania: Clinton +6%
North Carolina: Kasich +0.5%
Ohio: Kasich +5%
New Hampshire: Clinton +4%
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Lupo
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« Reply #110 on: November 15, 2014, 01:26:18 PM »

Clinton/Kaine

vs.

Walker/Martinez

Ayotte is up for re-election in 2016.  Does NH require her to abandon her seat to run for VP?
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #111 on: November 15, 2014, 08:26:58 PM »

Clinton/Kaine

vs.

Walker/Martinez

Ayotte is up for re-election in 2016.  Does NH require her to abandon her seat to run for VP?

Even it does, she might be better off doing so, as she's probably an underdog against most of the in-state Democratic bench in a Presidential Year (Rubio might be in a similar situation)
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #112 on: November 18, 2014, 05:14:52 PM »

Scott Walker / Marco Rubio
Hilldawg / Sherrod Brown
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #113 on: April 26, 2015, 12:12:41 PM »

Bump
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #114 on: April 26, 2015, 12:15:51 PM »

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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #115 on: April 26, 2015, 12:21:32 PM »

Lincoln Chafee/Mark B Graham

v.

Mark Everson/George Pataki
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #116 on: April 26, 2015, 12:32:45 PM »

Lincoln Chafee/Mark B Graham

v.

Mark Everson/George Pataki

Why would Mark B Graham accept the VP slot?
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Prince of Salem
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« Reply #117 on: April 26, 2015, 12:33:23 PM »

Lincoln Chafee/Mark B Graham

v.

Mark Everson/George Pataki

Mark B Graham at the bottom of the ticket? Huh
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #118 on: April 26, 2015, 12:35:42 PM »

Clinton/Bennett vs. Walker/Rubio makes the most sense to me right now.

I think I'll switch to Clinton/Castro, but Walker/Rubio still makes the most sense to me.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #119 on: April 26, 2015, 03:42:42 PM »

Clinton/Booker vs. Walker/Rubio


Booker's a complete shot in the dark.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #120 on: April 26, 2015, 03:46:37 PM »

Clinton/Booker vs. Walker/Ayotte
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #121 on: April 26, 2015, 04:18:45 PM »

Going with Clinton/Perez vs Rubio/Kasich.

I think Bush falters as a front runner, and his campaign apparatus shifts to Rubio, who eventually comes out on top in a 3 way race between Rubio, Walker, and Paul.

I'm probably going to sound really stupid in the future in choosing Tom Perez over Castro, but Perez has an actual record that would excite progressives (labor, civil rights, minimum wage) and it would send a bigger signal to Obama allies that Clinton takes the president's domestic agenda very seriously.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #122 on: April 26, 2015, 04:24:43 PM »

Clinton/Vilsack vs. Walker/Thune.

I see Hillary's final 4 VP Shortlist being: Kaine, Booker, Heinrich, Vilsack. She picks Vilsack because he has nothing to lose as in a Senate seat that Democrats need.

Walker's finals 4 VP shortlist: Martinez, Ayotte, Thune, and Rubio. Thune gets the nod because Walker needs someone with Congressional experience and gravitas.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #123 on: April 26, 2015, 04:59:04 PM »

I'm skeptical that Clinton will choose Booker. There is already much grumbling about her being too cozy with Wall Street, imagine choosing as VP the man who defended Romney and has done nothing to hide his relations with New York's financial institutions.
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jfern
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« Reply #124 on: April 26, 2015, 05:10:23 PM »

I'm skeptical that Clinton will choose Booker. There is already much grumbling about her being too cozy with Wall Street, imagine choosing as VP the man who defended Romney and has done nothing to hide his relations with New York's financial institutions.

Booker is more anti Wall Street than Hillary.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/12/15/cory-booker-elizabeth-warren_n_6329202.html
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