FL: SUSA: Crist leading by 5
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  FL: SUSA: Crist leading by 5
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Author Topic: FL: SUSA: Crist leading by 5  (Read 975 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: April 15, 2014, 04:32:51 PM »

Report.

Crist (D)- 46%
Scott (R)- 41%
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2014, 04:43:14 PM »

Good poll?
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2014, 04:55:35 PM »


Its SUSA...
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windjammer
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« Reply #3 on: April 15, 2014, 04:56:04 PM »

I'm sorry but I don't know what is SUSA
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: April 15, 2014, 04:59:50 PM »


SurveyUSA

One of the better all-around pollsters.
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windjammer
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« Reply #5 on: April 15, 2014, 05:02:27 PM »


SurveyUSA

One of the better all-around pollsters.
AAAAAAAAAAAAAH
(I'm stupid Tongue)
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Miles
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« Reply #6 on: April 15, 2014, 05:11:23 PM »


When I first started seeing SUSA, it also took me a while to realize it was SurveyUSA Wink
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: April 16, 2014, 03:30:33 AM »

Looks ok.

But the troubling thing is that Scott starts doing better among Indies lately (he already leads by 3 in this poll).

FL's economy improved by a lot over the past 2 years, which might help Scott in the next months and turn this into a really close race again.
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windjammer
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« Reply #8 on: April 16, 2014, 09:02:08 AM »

Looks ok.

But the troubling thing is that Scott starts doing better among Indies lately (he already leads by 3 in this poll).

FL's economy improved by a lot over the past 2 years, which might help Scott in the next months and turn this into a really close race again.
Seriously, I believe Scott will unfortunately win.
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: April 16, 2014, 11:31:18 AM »

Looks ok.

But the troubling thing is that Scott starts doing better among Indies lately (he already leads by 3 in this poll).

FL's economy improved by a lot over the past 2 years, which might help Scott in the next months and turn this into a really close race again.
Seriously, I believe Scott will unfortunately win.

He's definitely the type of alpha male who can win despite being unpopular and perceived as radical and corrupt. That's what the FL GOP has going for it. Alpha Male candidates.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2014, 03:22:10 PM »

I still think Scott stands a decent shot here - he is going to have the financial advantage. Scott is also polling at only 71% with Republicans - once the attacks start on Crist I suspect most will come home to him. And in a "race to the bottom", I think he has a somewhat easy task at destroying Crist's favorably. I would not be surprised to see both under 40% on Election Day.
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CLARENCE 2015!
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« Reply #11 on: April 20, 2014, 07:22:37 PM »

I believe Scott will win if Democrats nominate Charlie Crist......
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Donerail
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« Reply #12 on: April 20, 2014, 07:24:41 PM »

I still think Scott stands a decent shot here - he is going to have the financial advantage. Scott is also polling at only 71% with Republicans - once the attacks start on Crist I suspect most will come home to him. And in a "race to the bottom", I think he has a somewhat easy task at destroying Crist's favorably. I would not be surprised to see both under 40% on Election Day.

Financial advantage hasn't done him much good so far. I'd suspect there's a lot of Republicans who are privately backing Charlie - people like Mike Fasano and Paula Dockery come to mind - which could explain the numbers with Republicans. And Crist's favorabilities are a lot more resistant than you give credit for. This is Charlie Crist, after all. The man's the physical embodiment of sunshine. Personable, telegenic, and (as we saw with the Lopez-Cantera interview) funny (or, in other words, the opposite of Scott).
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sg0508
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« Reply #13 on: April 21, 2014, 09:12:01 AM »
« Edited: April 21, 2014, 10:01:20 AM by sg0508 »

Having lived in FL for several years (during college), I will tell you that the statewide GOP is far stronger than the statewide democratic party and Republicans have won some races there that perhaps, they shouldn't have.  This one will be another benchmark test for the Democrats who haven't held the statehouse there since early '99.  Meanwhile, the demographical problem the GOP has on a national level hasn't really carried itself out at the state level in FL.
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #14 on: April 21, 2014, 09:40:42 AM »

The Florida Democratic Party is terribly disorganized and has been loosing easily winnable races for years.
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Person Man
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« Reply #15 on: April 21, 2014, 11:15:39 AM »

The Florida Democratic Party is terribly disorganized and has been loosing easily winnable races for years.
Is it all a problem with having few big donors?
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Donerail
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« Reply #16 on: April 22, 2014, 08:25:35 PM »

The Florida Democratic Party is terribly disorganized and has been loosing easily winnable races for years.
Is it all a problem with having few big donors?

A natural gerrymander amplified by Republican gerrymander leading to a lack of reason for big donors to donate to legislative Dems, a resulting lack of a bench (amplified by poor candidate recruitment), a resulting focus on winning big (federal) races rather than making a legislative bench, and, of course, poor management.
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