How does a primary without Christie or Bush proceed?
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  How does a primary without Christie or Bush proceed?
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Author Topic: How does a primary without Christie or Bush proceed?  (Read 678 times)
Indy Texas
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« on: April 16, 2014, 09:16:14 PM »

Say the big money is still cool towards Christie by early 2015 and he announces in the summer that he won't run. Jeb realizes that he has never wanted to be president as much as other people have wanted him to and opts out as well.

Who runs? Who becomes the "mainstream" candidate? What do Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina end up looking like?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2014, 09:23:01 PM »

As much as the Mainstreamers probably don't want it, it probably ends up being Walker.
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Potatoe
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« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2014, 09:25:30 PM »

Maybe Billy Haslam? He has a good record, is anti-union enough, and is guaranteed re election
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2014, 09:37:12 PM »

Walker or Rubio.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: April 16, 2014, 11:06:15 PM »

The same way if Christie and/or Bush do run: Walker wins the nomination.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #5 on: April 17, 2014, 01:04:06 AM »

It's possible there will be no consensus establishment candidate with that wing splitting the same way the conservatives split. It is also quite possible that some governors not being talked about much get pushed into the race, possibly Pence and/or Kasich.
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SteveRogers
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« Reply #6 on: April 17, 2014, 01:29:47 AM »

Perry gains momentum for a time, and the establishment flirts with backing him, but inevitably another embarrassing gaffe causes him to fall flat.

The party searches for a white night late entrant (a la Fred Thompson in 2008, Perry in 2012). Huckabee et. al.  do some "reconsidering" but ultimately decide not to run. Quite possibly this results in a governor not currently receiving widespread attention being dragged into the race, but a lack of preparation or any real base means they will never live up to the expectations.

All in all, good news for Marco Rubio who probably enters into a protracted battle against Walker for the nomination. But Paul might become a legitimate contender as well.
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MurrayBannerman
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« Reply #7 on: April 17, 2014, 08:12:07 AM »

I'd go in full force for Haslam or Walker, with preference to Haslam.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #8 on: April 17, 2014, 09:07:03 AM »

Walker wins Iowa, Paul wins New Hampshire, all the money floods towards Walker and he wins South Carolina and the nomination.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #9 on: April 17, 2014, 09:23:37 AM »

The same way if Christie and/or Bush do run: Walker wins the nomination.

Does the Tea Party then claim Walker wasn't a real conservative after his subesquent loss?
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Randy Bobandy
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« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2014, 09:33:27 AM »

Walker and Paul become the frontrunners, Walker wins the nomination, Paul immediately prepares for another run in 2024.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #11 on: April 17, 2014, 09:51:08 AM »

The early race would probably be Rubio VS one of the guys from Wisconsin for the establishment votes, while Cruz and Paul duke it out for the tea party support.

It would leave more of an opening for John Kasich, or Rob Portman. And if the Mother Jones hit piece is any indication, Susanna Martinez is interested.

It's a crowded field, but I think it's possible for one candidate to run away with the nomination.

There could be a bandwagon effect. A broadly acceptable candidate who gets good buzz will then get higher name recognition which will lead to higher polling numbers which will lead to good buzz. Chris Christie and Jeb Bush might have the resources to compete under those circumstances. A Bobby Jindal stuck in the single digits would not.
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SteveRogers
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« Reply #12 on: April 17, 2014, 10:19:16 AM »

The same way if Christie and/or Bush do run: Walker wins the nomination.

Does the Tea Party then claim Walker wasn't a real conservative after his subesquent loss?

Oh most definitely.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: April 17, 2014, 06:31:50 PM »

The same way if Christie and/or Bush do run: Walker wins the nomination.

Does the Tea Party then claim Walker wasn't a real conservative after his subesquent loss?

Anyone who loses isn't a real conservative.
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SWE
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« Reply #14 on: April 17, 2014, 06:33:41 PM »

The same way if Christie and/or Bush do run: Walker wins the nomination.

Does the Tea Party then claim Walker wasn't a real conservative after his subesquent loss?

Anyone who loses isn't a real conservative.
Todd Akin was a liberal
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whanztastic
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« Reply #15 on: April 18, 2014, 12:14:15 PM »

Walker and Paul become the frontrunners, Walker wins the nomination, Paul immediately prepares for another run in 2024.

2020 after Walker loses to Clinton.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #16 on: April 18, 2014, 12:43:02 PM »

The same way if Christie and/or Bush do run: Walker wins the nomination.
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