Harper (R) releases several polls for the NRSC

[Miles]

Article.

I can't find the full report, but this is what's out:

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[windjammer]

It surprises me to see Maness so low. Bad news for Landrieu

[Miles]

Report.

AR
Pryor (D)- 39%
Cotton (R)- 39%
Unsure- 22%

CO
Udall (D)- 45%
Gardner (R)- 43%
Unsure- 12%

LA
Landrieu (D)- 43%
Cassidy (R)- 47%
Unsure- 10%

MI
Land (R)- 43%
Peters (D)- 40%
Unsure- 18%

MT
Daines (R)- 42%
Walsh (D)- 35%
Unsure- 23%

Daines (R)- 44%
Bohlinger (D)- 33%
Unsure- 23%

Some of these are better for Dems than other independent polls...

[Miles]

Tender, you can erase this or merge it with this thread.

[Lief 🗽]

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LOL why would they release this? Cotton led in Harper's last poll.

These numbers are honestly pretty pathetic from the NRSC.

[free my dawg]

Looks surprisingly reasonable for an R-leaning scenario.

[windjammer]

Wow, MT seems to be more and more a close race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Walsh can win after all. That LA looks mighty suspicious, Cassidy isn't that far ahead.

[RogueBeaver]

Part of the problem is that good polling firms are so few and poll these Senate races so rarely. Difficult to tell when numbers move and why.

[publicunofficial]

Why, out of all polls, is THIS the one that shows Daines under 50?


And yeah, this gives more credence to the "Pryor is winning" point.

[illegaloperation]

Pryor's magical last name is propping him up.

[RogueBeaver]

Pryor's magical last name is propping him up.

He had the same last name 2 months ago, last I checked.

[Potatoe]

Pryor's magical last name is propping him up.

He had the same last name 2 months ago, last I checked.

No, he must be talking about Mark's relation to the legendary black comedian Richard Pryor, a true American hero. Which comedian is Cotton sharing his genes with? Don't expect Pryor to re enact Superman 3 in the next debate, that'll only keep him up.

[bballrox4717]

I wouldn't be celebrating the Pryor numbers here. 39 percent is a terrible place to be as an incumbent.

The biggest winner of these polls is Walsh. Daines should be pulling better numbers than 42 percent and as seen with Rehberg, he has a huge problem running as a congressional Republican.

I'm starting to lose a lot of confidence in the Landrieu race. Even if Harper's wrong and she's winning, I don't think there's any way she avoids a run-off, in which case I think she's toast. I really hope Hagan and Begich can pull through and that the DSCC puts the most money into those races. Winning even one of Montana, Arkansas, Kentucky or Georgia would just be gravy at this point.

[Maxwell]

I wouldn't be celebrating the Pryor numbers here. 39 percent is a terrible place to be as an incumbent.

The biggest winner of these polls is Walsh. Daines should be pulling better numbers than 42 percent and as seen with Rehberg, he has a huge problem running as a congressional Republican.

These two statements conflict with each other. Pryor is at 39%, which is a horrifying place to be as an incumbent, but Walsh is the incumbent now, and he's at 35%. That's even worse.

Also, there are too many undecideds in this polling, plus Harper is regularly a meh pollster.

[DrScholl]

I wouldn't be celebrating the Pryor numbers here. 39 percent is a terrible place to be as an incumbent.

The biggest winner of these polls is Walsh. Daines should be pulling better numbers than 42 percent and as seen with Rehberg, he has a huge problem running as a congressional Republican.

I'm starting to lose a lot of confidence in the Landrieu race. Even if Harper's wrong and she's winning, I don't think there's any way she avoids a run-off, in which case I think she's toast. I really hope Hagan and Begich can pull through and that the DSCC puts the most money into those races. Winning even one of Montana, Arkansas, Kentucky or Georgia would just be gravy at this point.

In the last NRSC poll, Pryor was trailing. A tie is always a really poor counteraction of public polls and this is the best the NRSC could do. Pryor is over 40% in over polls, so this is just an internal being an internal.

[Lief 🗽]

All these polls actually show improvements in the Democrats' directions. Really weird that the NRSC would publish these.

[publicunofficial]

All these polls actually show improvements in the Democrats' directions. Really weird that the NRSC would publish these.

My guess? Rove's going to release some new polls 2-3 months from now that show improved numbers for R's, so he can say they have the momentum.

[Skill and Chance]

It wouldn't surprise me if there is a Dem bump relative to recent history in the Clinton-McCain states that still had democratic or split government to help Obamacare work better.  There's going to be a lot of newly insured people in AR/KY/WV this year.

[Niemeyerite]

Changes from Haper-7th of February:

AR
Pryor (D)- 39% (+3)
Cotton (R)- 39% (-3)
Unsure- 22%

CO - no poll released last time
Udall (D)- 45%
Gardner (R)- 43%
Unsure- 12%

LA
Landrieu (D)- 43% (-1)
Cassidy (R)- 47% (+2)
Unsure- 10%

MI
Land (R)- 43% (+1)
Peters (D)- 40% (+3)
Unsure- 18%

MT
Daines (R)- 42% (-1)
Walsh (D)- 35% (+6)
Unsure- 23%

Daines (R)- 44% (=)
Bohlinger (D)- 33% (+1)
Unsure- 23%

-------------

Las time they released polls for:

AK
Begich- 41%
Treadwell- 47%

Begich- 41%
Sullivan- 47%

Begich- 51%
Miller- 32%

NH
Shaheen- 40%
Brown- 35%

NC
Hagan- 44%
Tillis- 44%

Hagan- 44%
Harris- 40%

[Tender Branson]

Except for LA and MT, those are lame numbers for the Republicans.

And the progress in MT is definitely encouraging. At least it's not 15 points anymore.

[Person Man]

It think were looking cautiously optimistic if that's the best numbers the GOP can do for AR,NC,CO and MT. LA and MI look troubling but not discouraging.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Keystone pipeline is being built right through MT, La and ARK. The polls are relavant to that and it matters concerning oil and gas. That's why these numbers are an improvement.