The Growing Divide

[rpryor03]

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- An Excerpt from The Growing Divide by James O'Connor, Published in 2100

[rpryor03]

2014 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS
 
Senate
Alabama: Jeff Sessions wins unopposed GOP HOLD
Alaska: Mead Treadwell defeats Sen. Mark Begich GOP GAIN
Arkansas: Tom Cotton defeats Sen. Mark Pryor GOP GAIN
Colorado: Mark Udall wins re-election DEM HOLD
Deleware: Chris Coons wins unopposed DEM HOLD
Georgia: Phil Gingrey defeats Michelle Nunn GOP HOLD
Hawaii (Class III Special): Brian Schatz wins re-election DEM HOLD
Idaho: Jim Risch wins unopposed GOP HOLD
Illinois: Dick Durbin wins re-election DEM HOLD
Iowa: Bruce Baley defeats Bob Vander Plaats DEM HOLD
Kansas: Pat Roberts wins re-election GOP HOLD
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell wins re-election GOP HOLD
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy defeats Sen. Mary Landrieu GOP GAIN
Maine: Susan Collins wins re-election GOP HOLD
Massachusetts: Ed Markey wins unopposed DEM HOLD
Michigan: Terri Lynn Land defeats Gary Peters GOP GAIN
Minnesota: Al Franken wins re-election DEM HOLD
Mississippi: Thad Cochran wins re-election GOP HOLD
Montana: Steve Daines defeats John Walsh GOP GAIN
Nebraska: Shane Osborn defeats Chris Beautler GOP HOLD
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen wins re-election DEM HOLD
New Jersey: Cory Booker wins unopposed DEM HOLD
New Mexico: Tom Udall wins re-election DEM HOLD
North Carolina: Kay Hagan wins re-election DEM HOLD
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe wins re-election GOP HOLD
Oklahoma (Class III Special): James Lankford defeats Brad Henry GOP HOLD
Oregon: Jeff Merkley wins re-election DEM HOLD
Rhode Island: Jack Reed wins unopposed DEM HOLD
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham wins re-election GOP HOLD
South Carolina (Class III Special): Tim Scott wins re-election GOP HOLD
South Dakota: Mike Rounds defeats Rick Weiland GOP GAIN
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander wins re-election GOP HOLD
Texas: John Cornyn wins re-election GOP HOLD
Virginia: Mark Warner wins re-election DEM HOLD
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito defeats Natalie Tennant GOP GAIN
Wyoming: Mike Enzi wins re-election GOP HOLD
 
FINAL SENATE TALLIES
DEMOCRATIC PARTY: 46
REPUBLICAN PARTY: 52
INDEPENDENTS: 2
 
FINAL HOUSE TALLIES
DEMOCRATIC PARTY: 213
REPUBLICAN PARTY: 222

[rpryor03]

2014 Gubernatorial Elections
 
Alabama: Robert Bentley wins re-election GOP HOLD
Alaska: Sean Parnell wins re-election GOP HOLD
Arizona: Ken Bennett defeats Doug Duval GOP HOLD
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson defeats Mike Ross GOP GAIN
California: Jerry Brown wins re-election DEM HOLD
Colorado: John Hickenlooper wins re-election DEM HOLD
Connecticut: Tom Foley defeats Gov. Dan Malloy GOP GAIN
Florida: Charlie Crist defeats Gov. Rick Scott DEM GAIN
Georgia: Nathan Deal wins re-election GOP HOLD
Hawaii: Neal Abercrombie wins re-election DEM HOLD
Idaho: Butch Otter wins re-election GOP HOLD
Illinois: Dan Rutherford defeats Gov. Pat Quinn GOP GAIN
Iowa: Terry Branstad wins re-election GOP HOLD
Kansas: Sam Brownback wins re-election GOP HOLD
Maine: Eliot Cutler defeats Gov. Paul LePage IND GAIN
Maryland: Anthony Brown defeats David Craig DEM HOLD
Massachusetts: Scott Brown defeats Martha Coakley GOP GAIN
Michigan: Rick Snyder wins re-election GOP HOLD
Minnesota: Mark Dayton wins re-election DFL HOLD
Nebraska: Pete Ricketts defeats Chuck Hassbrook GOP HOLD
Nevada: Brian Sandoval wins re-election GOP HOLD
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan wins re-election DEM HOLD
New Mexico: Susana Martinez wins re-election GOP HOLD
New York: Andrew Cuomo wins re-election DEM HOLD
Ohio: John Kasich wins re-election GOP HOLD
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin wins re-election GOP HOLD
Oregon: John Kitzhaber wins re-election DEM HOLD
Pennsylvania: Ed Pawlowski defeats Gov. Tom Corbett DEM GAIN
Rhode Island: Angel Taveras defeats Allan Fung DEM HOLD
South Carolina: Nikki Haley wins re-election GOP HOLD
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard wins re-election GOP HOLD
Tennessee: Bill Haslam wins re-election GOP HOLD
Texas: Greg Abbott defeats Wendy Davis GOP HOLD
Vermont: Peter Shumlin wins re-election DEM HOLD
Wisconsin: Scott Walker wins re-election GOP HOLD
Wyoming: Matt Mead wins re-election GOP HOLD
 
TOTAL GOVERNORSHIPS HELD
REPUBLICAN PARTY: 30
DEMOCRATIC PARTY: 19
INDEPENDENTS: 1

[rpryor03]

November 2014-January 2015
In The Beginning

MCCONNELL: THIS IS MY LAST TERM

November 10, 2014 - In a Press Conference today on Capitol Hill, recently re-elected Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) announced that he was stepping down from the position of Senate GOP Leader, as well as that his next term, running through 2021, would be his last. Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) is expected to ascend to Senate GOP Leader.



BOEHNER: I WILL NOT SEEK RE-ELECTION AS SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE

November 24, 2014 - In a Press Confrence today on Capitol Hill, Speaker John Boehner (R-OH-8) announced that he was stepping down from the position of Speaker of the House. This leaves the House GOP Caucus in a Leadership Vacuum, with Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA-5) as the moderate favorite, Eric Cantor (R-VA-7) as the mainstream favorite, and Trey Gowdy (R-SC-4) as the Tea Party favorite. The House GOP Caucus will meet in the middle of December to elect a new Leader.



MCMORRIS RODGERS NEW SPEAKER

December 10, 2014 - In a surprising turn of events, Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA-5) has defeated Reps. Eric Cantor (R-VA-7) and Trey Gowdy (R-SC-4) to become the new House GOP Leader, replacing John Boehner. It was also announced that Cantor would stay as House Majority Leader and Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA-23) would stay at House Majority Whip. Rep. Greg Walden (R-OR-2) will replace McMorris Rodgers as Conference Chair.

[rpryor03]

SENATE LEADERSHIP
PRESIDENT PRO TEMPORE: Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT)
MAJORITY LEADER: Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX)
MAJORITY WHIP: Sen. John Thune (R-SD)
REPUBLICAN CONFERENCE CHAIR: Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
REPUBLICAN CONFERENCE VICE CHAIR: Sen. Roy Blunt (R-MO)
REPUBLICAN POLICY COMMITTEE CHAIR: Sen. John Barasso (R-WY)
MAJORITY DEPUTY WHIPS: Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH)
MINORITY LEADER: Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)
MINORITY WHIP: Sen. Richard Durbin (D-IL)
DEMOCRATIC CONFERENCE CHAIR: Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY)
DEMOCRATIC CONFRENCE VICE CHAIR: Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA)
DEMOCRATIC POLICY COMMITTEE CHAIR: Sen. Robert Menendez (D-NJ)
MINORITY DEPUTY WHIPS: Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT)
 
HOUSE LEADERSHIP
SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE: Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA)
MAJORITY LEADER: Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA)
MAJORITY WHIP: Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA)
REPUBLICAN CONFERENCE CHAIR: Rep. Greg Walden (R-OR)
REPUBLICAN CONFERENCE VICE CHAIR: Rep. Lynn Jenkins (R-KS)
REPUBLICAN POLICY COMMITTEE CHAIR: Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI)
MAJORITY DEPUTY WHIPS: Rep. Virginia Foxx (R-NC), Rep. Aaron Schock (R-IL), Rep. Jim Renacci (R-OH), Rep. Justin Amash (R-MI)
MINORITY LEADER: Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)
MINORITY WHIP: Rep. Steny Hoyer (D-MD)
DEMOCRATIC CONFERENCE CHAIR: Rep. Xavier Becerra (D-CA)
DEMOCRATIC CONFRENCE VICE CHAIR: Rep. Joe Crowley (D-NY)
DEMOCRATIC POLICY COMMITTEE CHAIR: Rep. James Clyburn (D-SC)
MINORITY DEPUTY WHIPS: Rep. Krysten Sinema (D-AZ), Rep. Jared Polis (D-CO), Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL), Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI)

[Brewer]

I'm too lazy to go through each Senator and count, but your Senate totals end up as 101.

[rpryor03]

CLINTON: I'M NOT RUNNING, CUOMO IS



CHRISTIE: I'M COMMITTED TO NJ



WARREN: THE NEW PROGRESSIVE ERA BEGINS NOW



PETE KING: WHY NOT?



CRUZ: COMING BACK TO OUR CONSERVATIVE ROOTS



BUSH: SURE, WHY NOT?



HICKENLOOPER: COMPROMISE CANDIDATE

[rpryor03]

FULL GOP FIELD
Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL)
Rep. Peter King (R-NY)
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)
Dr. Alan Keyes (R-IL)
Rep. Joe Scarborough (R-FL)

FULL DEM FIELD
Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-NY)
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
Gov. John Hickenlooper (D-CO)
Mr. Jeff Boss (D-NJ)

[rpryor03]

GOP Endorsements

Gov. Jeb Bush
Pres. George W. Bush
Pres. George H.W. Bush
Sen. Marco Rubio
Sen. Kelly Ayotte
Gov. Mitt Romney
Sen. John McCain
Sen. Lindsey Graham
Sen. Orrin Hatch
Sen. Jeff Sessions
Sen. John Boozman
Sen. Roger Wicker
Gov. Rick Scott
Gov. Butch Otter
Gov. Bobby Jindal
Sen. John McCain
Sen. Susan Collins
Sen. Mark Kirk

Sen. Ted Cruz
Sen. Jerry Moran
Sen. Rand Paul
Sen. David Vitter
Sen. Tom Coburn
Sen. John Cornyn
Sen. Pat Toomey
Sen. Jim DeMint
Sen. Tim Scott
Sen. Mike Lee
Gov. Mike Pence
Gov. Phil Bryant
Gov. Gary Johnson
Gov. Nikki Haley
Gov. Rick Perry
Gov. Greg Abbott

Rep. Peter King
Mr. Donald Trump

[rpryor03]

DEM Endorsements

Gov. John Hickenlooper
Sen. Max Baucus
Sen. Evan Bayh
Sen. Maria Cantwell
Sen. Tom Carper
Sen. Diane Feinstein
Sen. Mary Landrieu
Sen. Angus King
Sen. Joe Lieberman
Sen. Mark Warner
Sen. Tim Kaine
Sen. Bill Nelson
Sen. Tom Carper
Sen. Joe Manchin
Sen. Mark Udall
Sen. Martin Bennett
Sen. Bob Casey
Sen. Joe Manchin
Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin
Sen. Mark Begich

Sen. Elizabeth Warren
Sen. Bernie Sanders
Sen. Tammy Baldwin
Rep. Mark Pocan
Sen. Mazie Hirono
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand
Sen. Ed Markey
Sen. Chris Murphy
Sen. Sherrod Brown
Sen. Jack Reed
Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse
Sen. Al Franken
Sen. Richard Durbin
Sen. Barbra Boxer

Gov. Andrew Cuomo
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton
Pres. Bill Clinton
Mrs. Chelsea Clinton-Mezvinsky
Rep. Marjorie Margolies
Rep. Edward Mezvinsky
Sen. Debbie Stabenow
Sen. Tim Johnson
Gov. Kathleen Sebelius

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

This has been great so far, though the fields are a bit small. I'd expect more than four Republican candidates, to be honest.

[badgate]

Really interested to see how the end of two-party happens.

[rpryor03]

2015 Democrat Debates
Hickenlooper: 69, 66, 29, 70, 46 (Average: 56, 0 Wins)
Cuomo: 90, 92, 13, 76, 31 (Average: 60, 3 Wins)
Warren: 22, 35, 48, 12, 53 (Average: 34, 2 Wins)

December 2015 National Polls:

Andrew Cuomo: 25%
John Hickenlooper: 22%
Elizabeth Warren: 19%
Not Sure/Others: 34%

2015 GOP Debates
Bush: 56, 43, 95, 81, 75 (Average: 70, 2 Wins)
Cruz: 35, 47, 10, 77, 79 (Average: 50, 2 Wins)
King: 41, 64, 28, 84, 13 (Average: 46, 1 Win)
Keyes: 46, 34, 44, 1, 5 (Average: 26, 0 Wins)

December 2015 National Polls:
Ted Cruz: 25%
Jeb Bush: 23%
Peter King: 5%
Alan Keyes: 1%
Not Sure/Other: 46%

2015 United Kingdom General Election

LABOUR PARTY: 327 Seats
CONSERVATIVE PARTY: 250 Seats
LIBERAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY: 17 Seats
UNITED KINGDOM INDEPENDENCE PARTY: 19 Seats
OTHERS: 37 Seats
LABOUR MAJORITY OF 4
ELECTED PRIME MINISTER: ED MILIBAND

2015 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTIONS

2015 Gubernatorial Elections
Kentucky: Jack Conway defeats Cathy Bailey DEM HOLD
Louisiana: David Vitter defeats Mitch Landrieu GOP HOLD
Mississippi: Phil Bryant wins re-election GOP HOLD

Rep. Steve Scalise is appointed to replace David Vitter in the Senate.

[rpryor03]

The polls have closed, and with 1% in, we can project that Senator Elizabeth Warren wins the Democratic Caucus.

Elizabeth Warren - 23 Delegates
Andrew Cuomo - 21 Delegates
John Hickenlooper - 13 Delegates

We can now at this time project that Senator Ted Cruz wins the Winner Take All Republican Caucus.

Ted Cruz - 28 Delegates
Jeb Bush - 0 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

Elizabeth Warren - 14 Delegates
Andrew Cuomo - 12 Delegates
John Hickenlooper - 4 Delegates

Jeb Bush - 12 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 0 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

John Hickenlooper - 36 Delegates
Andrew Cuomo - 11 Delegates
Elizabeth Warren - 7 Delegates

Ted Cruz - 25 Delegates
Jeb Bush - 0  Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

DEMOCRATIC NEVADA PRIMARY

Elizabeth Warren - 14 Delegates
John Hickenlooper - 12 Delegates
Andrew Cuomo - 8 Delegates

GOP FLORIDA PRIMARY

Jeb Bush - 50 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 0 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

GOP MICHIGAN PRIMARY

Jeb Bush - 16 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 14 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

[rpryor03]

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY PRE-TUESDAYS

John Hickenlooper - 65 Delegates
Elizabeth Warren - 58 Delegates
Andrew Cuomo - 52 Delegates

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY PRE-TUESDAYS

Jeb Bush - 78 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 67 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

[rpryor03]

DEMOCRATIC SUPER TUESDAY - February 9, 2016 (MI, FL, IL)
Elizabeth Warren: 153
John Hickenlooper: 185
Andrew Cuomo: 254

TOTALS
Andrew Cuomo: 306 Delegates
John Hickenlooper: 250 Delegates
Elizabeth Warren: 211 Delegates

[rpryor03]

GOP WESTERN TUESDAY I - (NV, WY, CO, MT, AZ, NM, MO)

Jeb Bush - 240 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 122 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

DEMOCRATIC SOUTHERN TUESDAY I - (WV, KY, TN, MO, GA, AR, LA, OK)

Andrew Cuomo: 493 Delegates
John Hickenlooper: 464 Delegates
Elizabeth Warren: 345 Delegates

[rpryor03]

GOP NORTHEAST TUESDAY (ME, MA, RI, CT, VT, PA, DE)

Jeb Bush - 386 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 194 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

DEMOCRAT SUPER TUESDAY II

Andrew Cuomo: 543 Delegates
John Hickenlooper: 565 Delegates
Elizabeth Warren: 345 Delegates

[rpryor03]

GOP SOUTHERN TUESDAY I (WV, TN, NC, GA)

Jeb Bush - 548 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 252 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

DEMOCRAT NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY (ME, VT, MA, CT, RI)

Andrew Cuomo: 595 Delegates
John Hickenlooper: 591 Delegates
Elizabeth Warren: 534 Delegates

[rpryor03]

GOP POTOMAC TUESDAY (MD, VA, DC)

Jeb Bush - 653 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 252 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

DEMOCRAT POTOMAC TUESDAY (MD, VA, DC, DE)

Andrew Cuomo: 647 Delegates
John Hickenlooper: 670 Delegates
Elizabeth Warren: 665 Delegates

[rpryor03]

GOP MIDWEST TUESDAY (MN, WI, IN, KY, OH)

Jeb Bush - 807 Delegates
Ted Cruz - 337 Delegates
Peter King - 0 Delegates

[TX Conservative Dem]

Would Perry run for President in 2016?

Or will he quietly enjoy his retirement in Austin?

[rpryor03]

Would Perry run for President in 2016?

Or will he quietly enjoy his retirement in Austin?

Perry's retired, and is surrogating for Cruz.

[Consciously Unconscious]

So how far will this timeline go?

Good job, by the way.  This is interesting. 

[rpryor03]

So how far will this timeline go?

Good job, by the way.  This is interesting. 

I have basic plans for up to 2032.