IL-Sen: Sen. Kirk re-opens campaign Facebook page

[muon2]

This article has an interesting take on 2016 IL senate race http://atr.rollcall.com/kirk-vs-duckworth-for-senate-in-2016/

She will vie for reelection in 2014 of course. But, despite the fact she won in 2012, her district votes GOP, especially in  prez yrs and she may want our in 2016. She won over a teabagger, Walsh.

IL-8 (Duckworth) is solid Dem in prez years. It is currently listed at D+8 so it is not competitive. Based on that a generic race should have given Duckworth 58% in 2012, but she only got 55%, so she underperformed against Walsh.

In off years IL-8 is about a tossup at best. It was drawn to reliably reelect a Dem even in off years like 2010.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

She might as well run for Senate anyways. It will be a promotion and it will be much better than a House seat. But , that was the only article that I could find as the only one interested as of yet.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

There's no way Kirk is favored for re-election. Calling it lean D would be very generous to Kirk.

[sg0508]

Figure the Democratic presidential nominee is going to win a at a minimum, 55% in IL, including 70% in Cook.  Kirk is going to have to receive massive split ticket support.  Again though, the collar counties will likely determine that.  That's where Republicans still win in IL statewide when they do.  It would also help if a liberal-leaning third party candidate were on the ballot that takes 2-4%.

[muon2]

Figure the Democratic presidential nominee is going to win a at a minimum, 55% in IL, including 70% in Cook.  Kirk is going to have to receive massive split ticket support.  Again though, the collar counties will likely determine that.  That's where Republicans still win in IL statewide when they do.  It would also help if a liberal-leaning third party candidate were on the ballot that takes 2-4%.

Ticket splitting is indeed quite common in suburban Chicagoland. A third party candidate is not necessary.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Should Simon, not Duck worth run for this seat, which is still possible since she trails in polls to Topinka, she can very well blunt Kirk's advantage in Suburbs, by appealing to Urban and Carbodale and Young voters. Like father, like daughter, she can run up score in the same down state areas.

[badgate]

What's up with Simon's lips? Is that a hereditary thing? Am I being offensive?