Which is worse Hyperinflation or Deflation? (user search)
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  Which is worse Hyperinflation or Deflation? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which is worse Hyperinflation or Deflation?  (Read 8448 times)
MurrayBannerman
murraybannerman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 756


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: -2.09

« on: April 21, 2014, 09:17:33 PM »

Hyperinflation, easily.
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MurrayBannerman
murraybannerman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 756


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: -2.09

« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2014, 03:14:37 PM »

People are actually arguing hyperinflation is worse than deflation? My God this forum is full of morons.

Huh Hyperinflation is worse than deflation. This is not actually a remotely controversial position.
The Wehrmact and the Zimbabweans agree.
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MurrayBannerman
murraybannerman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 756


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: -2.09

« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2014, 08:37:48 PM »

The US actually had deflation from 2008-2009. Zimbabwe on the other hand had hyperinflation. Which was worse?
To be fair, Zimbabwe is a third world nation that is even further in the hole because of hyper inflation.
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MurrayBannerman
murraybannerman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 756


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: -2.09

« Reply #3 on: April 24, 2014, 09:17:15 AM »

From a public policy point of view there are two types of deflation.  One I think is positive and one negative.

There could be a case where a economy is going through rapid economic growth as well structural changes where the relative prices of different sectors are being realigned.  Because of the high productivity increases these relative price adjustments sometimes could take place with falling price levels in certain sectors which in turn mean very low inflation if not outright deflation.  Examples of this are USA in the 1870s-1880s and PRC in 1999-2006 where both had a deflationary boom.  I think there is nothing wrong with this and deflation is not something that hurts the growth of the economy.

Then there is the more familiar deflation situation where there is significant deleveraging after the bust of a credit boom.  Even with attempts to boost money supply via easy credit, it could not make up for the fall of credit due to deleveraging and leads to deflation.  Here the debt overhang of the credit boom becomes a greater burden as price level decreases which in turn leads to lower economic growth.  This is what took place in Japan starting in the mid 1990s and there is a risk of this in Europe today.  USA seems to have avoided this situation although it did have some deflation in 2009.


Side note, but I'm expecting this to happen when we hit the renewable energy science right on the head.
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MurrayBannerman
murraybannerman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 756


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: -2.09

« Reply #4 on: April 24, 2014, 03:41:29 PM »

Side note, but I'm expecting this to happen when we hit the renewable energy science right on the head.

Maybe. We don't have to wait on renewable energy though. Middle class decline is caused, in part, by America's proclivity for expensive vehicles with poor EPA fuel economy (trucks). We could have energy deflation and cheaper automobiles today by changing US automobile policy.
I'm speaking of a revolutionary change.
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