NC-SUSA/Civitas (R-Primary): Tillis nudging 40
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  NC-SUSA/Civitas (R-Primary): Tillis nudging 40
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Author Topic: NC-SUSA/Civitas (R-Primary): Tillis nudging 40  (Read 659 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: April 24, 2014, 08:20:04 AM »
« edited: April 24, 2014, 08:48:44 AM by RogueBeaver »

Tillis 39, Brannon 20, Harris 15, 19% undecided.
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: April 24, 2014, 08:46:26 AM »

(R), so probably pro Tillis
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2014, 08:48:30 AM »

Fixed the title. I meant this is a primary-only poll. Tongue
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windjammer
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« Reply #3 on: April 24, 2014, 08:53:30 AM »

Well, if it's Survey USA, I guess it is unfortunately accurate Sad
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: April 24, 2014, 10:49:39 AM »
« Edited: April 24, 2014, 10:51:31 AM by IDS Legislator Maxwell »

That's disappointing. Tillis is terrible. Only one of two people I can see losing to Kay Hagan.

Also, looks we're starting to be wrong about Mark Harris being a top 3er (now with Alexander and Grant at 1% and 2% respectively).
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: April 24, 2014, 10:54:27 AM »

That's disappointing. Tillis is terrible. Only one of two people I can see losing to Kay Hagan.

Brannon's insane, Grant's an underfunded, unknown noob and I'm very wary of RR candidates like Harris. Tillis it is. Not so much a recruiting failure than a lack of recruits.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: April 24, 2014, 10:58:51 AM »

That's disappointing. Tillis is terrible. Only one of two people I can see losing to Kay Hagan.

Brannon's insane, Grant's an underfunded, unknown noob and I'm very wary of RR candidates like Harris. Tillis it is. Not so much a recruiting failure than a lack of recruits.

Guess so. Pretty awful field. I'm a little surprised one of the bigger names didn't jump in, considering Hagan's approval ratings.
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Smash255
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« Reply #7 on: April 24, 2014, 01:05:01 PM »

That's disappointing. Tillis is terrible. Only one of two people I can see losing to Kay Hagan.

Brannon's insane, Grant's an underfunded, unknown noob and I'm very wary of RR candidates like Harris. Tillis it is. Not so much a recruiting failure than a lack of recruits.

Guess so. Pretty awful field. I'm a little surprised one of the bigger names didn't jump in, considering Hagan's approval ratings.

What bigger names?  Who could have jumped in that wouldn't be giving up a seat to run? or who isn't hated? 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: April 24, 2014, 01:15:30 PM »

That's disappointing. Tillis is terrible. Only one of two people I can see losing to Kay Hagan.

Brannon's insane, Grant's an underfunded, unknown noob and I'm very wary of RR candidates like Harris. Tillis it is. Not so much a recruiting failure than a lack of recruits.

Guess so. Pretty awful field. I'm a little surprised one of the bigger names didn't jump in, considering Hagan's approval ratings.

What bigger names?  Who could have jumped in that wouldn't be giving up a seat to run? or who isn't hated? 

The field at the moment makes second tier people like Renee Ellmers and Patrick McHenry look like grade A candidates. I feel like Dan Forest could take this seat, even with his proximity to the Governor.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #9 on: April 24, 2014, 03:08:50 PM »

I asked that question a while ago on here. I've heard names like Sue Myrick, Cherie Berry, Patrick McHenry, Tom Fetzer.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #10 on: April 24, 2014, 07:06:14 PM »

My list of top five was basically Fetzer, Pendergraff, Myrick, Troxler and Berry.

Any could have beat Hagan. A former Raleigh Mayor, a former Democratic Sheriff of Mecklenburg country, a long time Representative from Mecklenburg country, and the two longest serving Republican statewide elected officers.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: April 24, 2014, 07:26:22 PM »

If the GOP fail to take the senate, this will be the race that they lost.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #12 on: April 24, 2014, 11:08:36 PM »

Patrick McHenry likely could win. Ellmers is flaky, but she'd probably be better then Tillis or Brannon.
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Miles
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« Reply #13 on: April 25, 2014, 03:28:16 AM »

I wasn't expecting the debates to have this big an impact, but I guess coupled with the Crossroads ads, its had a bigger effect. Civitas is pro-Tillis, considering its links to the current regime in Raleigh, but there's definitely been some movement in his direction.

With 'very conservative' voters, Tillis leads Brannon 40-25. Brannon should be leading with them.
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