Which of the following incumbents in Congress will lose reelection?
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  Which of the following incumbents in Congress will lose reelection?
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Poll
Question: Which of these people will lose reelection?(choose as many as you want)
#1
Nick Rahall(D)
 
#2
Mike Coffman(R)
 
#3
Chris Gibson(R)
 
#4
Ron Barber(D)
 
#5
Ann Kirkpatrick(D)
 
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Total Voters: 30

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Author Topic: Which of the following incumbents in Congress will lose reelection?  (Read 548 times)
GaussLaw
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« on: May 05, 2014, 04:54:24 PM »

These 5 strike me as the most endangered incumbents, aside from Michael Grimm.

My predictions:
Rahall, Coffman, and Barber all lose, but Kirkpatrick and Gibson hang on.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2014, 04:57:12 PM »

The three Democrats (Let's face it 2014, is going to be a bloodbath for us... the only question is will it be worse than 2010?)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2014, 05:20:22 PM »

Rahill due to it being WVa. 2010 isn't comparable, GOP maxed out its gains. Hoping it is a wash with us still in a  narrow control, losing 3 seats at most in Senate.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
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« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2014, 07:39:47 PM »

The three Democrats (Let's face it 2014, is going to be a bloodbath for us... the only question is will it be worse than 2010?)
Jesus Christ, the negativity is unbearable. Nothing, I repeat, NOTHING indicates that this election will be anywhere near 2010 levels. Will we lose some ground? Probably. Will we lose 6 Senate seats and 63 House seats like in 2010? I highly doubt it. I could see this prediction being made in December or January, but things are starting to look up from the Democrats' perspective.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2014, 08:47:04 PM »

The three Democrats (Let's face it 2014, is going to be a bloodbath for us... the only question is will it be worse than 2010?)
Jesus Christ, the negativity is unbearable. Nothing, I repeat, NOTHING indicates that this election will be anywhere near 2010 levels. Will we lose some ground? Probably. Will we lose 6 Senate seats and 63 House seats like in 2010? I highly doubt it. I could see this prediction being made in December or January, but things are starting to look up from the Democrats' perspective.

-6 Senate seats is quite plausible, -63 House seats obviously not. It's really a matter of what seats are up - the Senate has more low-hanging fruit now than in 2010, but there is much less in the House.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2014, 09:14:59 PM »

Coffman and Barber. I'm still cautiously optimistic for Rahall, and I don't think Gibson or Kirkpatrick are in too much danger.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2014, 10:47:04 PM »

Doesn't Gibson have a terribad opponent? He'll survive easy.

Coffman, Rahall, and Barber probably go down. Kirkpatrick probably survives.
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badgate
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« Reply #7 on: May 06, 2014, 12:03:56 AM »

The thing about Barber is he won the special election, and conventional wisdom would say that Dem turnout should've been down in that just as it is in midterm general elections. So I think it's a coin flip right now.
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windjammer
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« Reply #8 on: May 06, 2014, 02:47:22 AM »

Barber, he will probavly be defeated.

Rahall, I'm not sure.
Gibson and Coffman will probably be reelected.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #9 on: May 06, 2014, 04:08:13 AM »

Coffman is toast, Barber or Rahall are complete coinflips, Gibson is as safe as can be in his district, Kirkpatrick more likely than not survives.
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windjammer
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« Reply #10 on: May 06, 2014, 04:13:24 AM »

"coin flip"? What does that mean?
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SWE
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« Reply #11 on: May 06, 2014, 05:33:18 AM »

50/50 chance
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Never
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« Reply #12 on: May 06, 2014, 09:43:26 AM »

Nick Rahall and Ron Barber will probably lose. I think Mike Coffman is a pure tossup for reelection. If Cory Gardner wins the Senate race in CO, I would expect Coffman to hold on, but if Udall wins that contest, I think that Coffman would be in grave danger.
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