CNN: Bush/Paul lead tight field
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 01:14:02 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  CNN: Bush/Paul lead tight field
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CNN: Bush/Paul lead tight field  (Read 745 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 06, 2014, 10:23:53 AM »

A TOTAL OF 473 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.

I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee or Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER)

May 2-4 Mar. 7-9 Jan. 31-Feb. 2

Bush 13% 9% 10%
Paul 13% 16% 13%
Ryan 12% 15% 9%
Huckabee 10% 10% 14%
Christie 9% 8% 10%
Perry 8% 11% 8%
Cruz 7% 8% 8%
Walker 7% NA NA
Rubio 6% 5% 9%
Santorum 2% 3% 4%
Someone else (vol.) 4% 6% 8%
None/No one (vol.) 4% 4% 3%
No opinion 7% 5% 4%

A TOTAL OF 466 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.

34. Thinking about the Democratic primaries for president in 2016, please tell me whether you would be most likely to support Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, or most likely to support another Democratic candidate who is more liberal than Clinton, or most likely to support another Democratic candidate who is more conservative than Clinton.

May 2-4 Jan. 31-Feb. 2

Clinton 64% 70%
More liberal Democrat 13% 10%
More conservative Democrat 19% 15%
No opinion 5% 5%

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/05/06/rel5d.pdf
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2014, 11:42:18 AM »

A TOTAL OF 466 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.

34. Thinking about the Democratic primaries for president in 2016, please tell me whether you would be most likely to support Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, or most likely to support another Democratic candidate who is more liberal than Clinton, or most likely to support another Democratic candidate who is more conservative than Clinton.

May 2-4

Clinton 64%
More liberal Democrat 13%
More conservative Democrat 19%
No opinion 5%

But I thought liberals hated Hillary and right-wing Democrats adored her...
Logged
retromike22
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,433
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2014, 02:12:29 PM »

Why does Perry do better in CNN polls?
Logged
"'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry Indicted"
DarthNader
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2014, 02:13:55 PM »

Why does Perry do better in CNN polls?

Him and Wolf Blitzer adopted hipster glasses at the same time.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2014, 08:46:05 PM »

Who leads among....?

men: Paul
women: Ryan
whites: Paul
under 50 years old: Ryan
age 50-64: Bush
age 65+: Huckabee
under $50,000: Paul
over $50,000: Paul
no college: Paul
attended college: Ryan
Republicans: Bush
Independents: Paul
Southerners: Huckabee
suburban: Paul
rural: Paul

Weirdly, Bush gets 12% of those under $50k, and 11% of those over $50k, yet 13% of the total sample.  I can only assume that there were some Bush supporters who refused to say how much $ they make?

Who would be your second choice?

Bush 14%
Cruz 13%
Paul 11%
Christie 10%
Rubio 10%
Ryan 9%
Huckabee 8%
Perry 8%
Walker 6%
Santorum 4%

On the Democratic side, Clinton's strongest demographic among Democratic primary voters is voters aged 50-64.  Her weakest demographic is voters under 50.
Logged
Bull Moose Base
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,488


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2014, 08:57:12 PM »

Who leads among....?

men: Paul
women: Ryan
whites: Paul
under 50 years old: Ryan
age 50-64: Bush
age 65+: Huckabee
under $50,000: Paul
over $50,000: Paul
no college: Paul
attended college: Ryan
Republicans: Bush
Independents: Paul
Southerners: Huckabee
suburban: Paul
rural: Paul

Weirdly, Bush gets 12% of those under $50k, and 11% of those over $50k, yet 13% of the total sample.  I can only assume that there were some Bush supporters who refused to say how much $ they make?

Maybe a lot of people are making exactly $50k and didn't know how to answer. Presumably, Bush is dominating among them.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 07, 2014, 02:33:08 AM »

Latest trendline from pollster.com:


Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.033 seconds with 13 queries.