Rudy vs. Hillary in 2008
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Rudy vs. Hillary in 2008
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Author Topic: Rudy vs. Hillary in 2008  (Read 1086 times)
Rockefeller GOP
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« on: May 15, 2014, 03:27:14 PM »

It seemed around 2006, most people were expecting a Giuliani vs. Clinton matchup in the 2008 Presidential election.  As we all know, Rudy ran a questionable campaign and Hillary got upset by a young up and comer in Obama.  As we also all know, 2008 was a tough climate for Republicans, but I believe Rudy would have made them competitive in some more swing states.  Anyway, what do you think a 2008 Rudy vs. Hillary map might have looked like?
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NHI
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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2014, 03:47:07 PM »
« Edited: May 16, 2014, 08:17:52 AM by NHI »

*Modified
A Republican winning in 2008 was hard, regardless of the economy, but Giuliani I think makes it competitive against Clinton.

√ Hillary Clinton: 366 (52%)
Rudy Giuliani: 172 (46%)
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2014, 03:56:31 PM »

Giuliani's advantage had all but burned out by the time of the primary, and I think he would've failed about the level of McCain, which means he was the best or second best candidate for the Republicans.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2014, 09:34:32 PM »

Giuliani's parochialism would have doomed him in a national campaign. His universe doesn't extend beyond the Tri-State Area.

Furthermore, he was a one-trick pony whose pony was being mayor on 9/11, and in November 2008, people had many things on their mind that came before "defeating the evildoers."
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2014, 09:42:36 PM »



Unless Giuliani picks Palin or someone equivalent I can't see him winning the upper South against Clinton. Colorado, Florida, and Indiana are the closest states.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2014, 07:23:24 AM »

What would be the percentage between Hilary and Giuliani?

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RR1997
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« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2014, 07:44:06 AM »
« Edited: May 18, 2014, 07:08:33 AM by RR1997 »

A Republican winning in 2008 was hard, regardless of the economy, but Giuliani I think makes it competitive against Clinton.

√ Hillary Clinton: 275
Rudy Giuliani: 263

With the 2008 Financial Crisis, I don't think it would've been this close.

I think the map would've looked something like this:



Hillary Clinton: 362 Electoral Votes, 52.5% of the Popular Vote.
Rudy Giuliani: 176 Electoral Votes, 46.3% of the Popular Vote.


I just can't imagine someone like Rudy doing well in the south, especially against a member of the Clinton family.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2014, 07:57:30 AM »

Hilary loses Colorado?

Why ?
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RR1997
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« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2014, 08:15:13 AM »
« Edited: May 16, 2014, 08:46:12 AM by RR1997 »


I think that Hillary would lose Colorado because Colorado hates the Clinton's, and Colorado is a very libertarian and anti-dynasty state. Also remember that Colorado was a lot more Republican back in 2008 than it is now, and that Obama crushed Hillary in the 2008 Colorado primaries.

Polling also showed McCain leading Hillary in Colorado, so I don't see why Giuliani couldn't beat Clinton there as well.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2014, 09:35:37 AM »

A Republican winning in 2008 was hard, regardless of the economy, but Giuliani I think makes it competitive against Clinton.

√ Hillary Clinton: 275
Rudy Giuliani: 263

With the 2008 Financial Crisis, I don't think it would've been this close.

I think the map would've looked something like this:



Hillary Clinton: 362 Electoral Votes, 52.2% of the Popular Vote.
Rudy Giuliani: 176 Electoral Votes, 46.3% of the Popular Vote.


I just can't imagine someone like Rudy doing well in the south, especially against a member of the Clinton family.
Your map looks pretty close to what I would have imagined, though I do have Hillary Clinton winning Tennessee and Georgia against Rudy Giuliani.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2014, 09:47:13 AM »

My Gut tells me Guliani would have done worse in the South but better in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic (even with the financial crisis).



Closest Clinton victories are Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, West Virginia, Georgia and Nevada.

Closest Giuliani victories are Pennsylvania, North Carolina, New Jersey, Connecticut, Vermont and Maine's 2nd Congressional District

The Final Electoral vote tally would equal;

Hillary Clinton (D) 328
Rudy Giuliani (R) 210
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #11 on: May 16, 2014, 10:19:37 AM »

How would the U.S. Senate races in 2008 been impacted on a Clinton vs Guiliani ?

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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #12 on: May 16, 2014, 11:27:14 AM »

How would the U.S. Senate races in 2008 been impacted on a Clinton vs Guiliani ?


Most races would turn out the same with the exception of a few. Some of the differences would be Bruce Lunsford and Jim Martin defeating  Mitch McConnell and Saxby Chambliss, John Sununu and Gordon Smith holding on against Jeanne Shaheen and Jeff Merkley and Bob Schaffer beating Mark Udall to succeed retiring Senator Wayne Allard. Ronnie Musgrove might have also won the Mississippi special election as well.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #13 on: May 16, 2014, 12:48:55 PM »

And the governorships ?
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #14 on: May 16, 2014, 11:32:44 PM »

Probably about the same, though Bev Perdue might have defeated Pat McCrory by a slightly larger margin.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2014, 03:12:24 PM »

I'd like to see who's gonna be in Hilary's cabinet ?

Where would Ford Jr., go ?
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