Imagine a jungle primary in your state between the previous five posters...
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  Imagine a jungle primary in your state between the previous five posters...
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Author Topic: Imagine a jungle primary in your state between the previous five posters...  (Read 2415 times)
Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #25 on: May 23, 2014, 08:29:42 AM »

Michigan Senate Jungle Primary
Rep. TNF (D): 34.2%
Secy. of State Tmthforu94 (R): 31.5%

Rep. Spiral (R): 27.8%
Mr. Maxwell (L): 4.6%
State Rep. MadmanMotley (R): 1.9%


The primary turns out to be a free-for all, with three major candidates out of the five vying for a place in the runoff.  With four candidates, Republicans expect to have at least one candidate there.  One of their candidates, Secretary of State Tmth, runs as a "pragmatic conservative," gaining support from PACs such as New Republican, Main Street Advocacy, Republican Main Street Partnership PAC, and Crossroads GPS.  Meanwhile, the more conservative candidate, State Senator Spiral of Holland, is endorsed by the Tea Party Patriots, FreedomWorks, the Club for Growth, and a host of other Tea Party-affiliated organizations.  The lone Democrat in the race was Congressman TNF of Flint, a liberal populist with strong support from blacks, Hispanics, and organized labor.  He was endorsed by most of the major labor unions in the state, including the UAW, the Michigan Education Association (MEA), the Teamsters, AFSCME, and the AFL-CIO.

In what turns out to be the most expensive statewide campaign in Michigan history, the state is carpet-bombed with outside money in the form of advertising.  During the campaign, Spiral attacks Tmth as insufficiently conservative, with Tmth responding that Spiral is unelectable and extreme.  Tmth also focuses on economic issues, seeing an opening to make inroads in the state's Democratic strongholds.  TNF, meanwhile, mostly stays out of the GOP dogfight, instead working to strengthen his base.  On primary day, the conservative strongholds in western Michigan line up solidly behind Spiral, while TNF runs strong in the I-75 corridor and the UP.  Tmth carries most of the rural and suburban swing counties, and along with Libertarian candidate Maxwell splitting the more conservative vote, this allows Tmth to catapult ahead of Spiral for a spot in the runoff with TNF.

Michigan Senate Runoff
Secy. of State Tmthforu94 (R): 50.6%
Rep. TNF (D): 49.4%

The runoff becomes one of the closest and most competitive statewide contests in history, pitting TNF's union supporters against Tmth's center-right coalition.  Like in the runoff, Tmth focuses mostly on economic issues, calling the race a choice between "Michigan's tax-and-spend liberal past," and "its prosperous, thriving future."  TNF, meanwhile attacks Tmth as anti-labor, accusing him of being a stalking horse for "big oil, big drug, and corporate greed."  Tmth, however, stands his ground, speaking out on the need for labor and management to work together, stating that TNF's "rich, out-of state union boss friends," do not truly understand what is good for workers.  On Election Day, TNF's base enthusiasm fails to transfer to the rest of the electorate, and Tmth barely ekes out a victory by making inroads with moderates and high-income voters. 
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #26 on: May 23, 2014, 09:26:31 AM »

Dudes, it's no fun without maps! Sad

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Flake
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« Reply #27 on: May 25, 2014, 12:57:50 AM »

Florida Governor Jungle Primary



Representative TNF (D-Weston): 27.12%
Representative Tmth (R-Zephyrhills): 27.08%
State Senator Spiral (R-Bristol): 19.36%
State Representative Motley (R-Jacksonville): 13.96%
Port Charlotte Mayor Oldies (R-Charlotte): 12.48%




Florida Governor Runoff



Representative Tmth (R-Zephyrhills): 66.18%
Representative TNF (D-Weston): 33.82%

After a close jungle primary, the lone Democratic candidate for Governor, TNF, had won the primary by 0.04% above Tmth. Tmth painted TNF as out-of-touch with Florida and he won in a landslide, winning all but two counties.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #28 on: May 25, 2014, 04:05:17 AM »

Louisiana Gubernatorial Primary
State Senator James Florida (D) - 36.3%
Former State Rep. Matthew Motley (R) - 20.4%

Congressman Timothy Daniels (R) - 18.7%
Former MO Governor Randy Spiral (R) - 18.1%
Baton Rouge Mayor Fredrick Oldies (R) - 6.5%

State Senator James Florida does surprisingly well, due to a vicious Republican Primary between Former State Rep. Matthew Motley, Congressman Timothy Daniels, and Former Missouri Governor (yes, Missouri) Randy Spiral. Spiral originally had the backing of the establishment, but voters were too uncomfortable with his carpetbagging, and his numbers continued to slide. Congressman Timothy Daniels ran hard to take Spirals mantle, but instead ended up in a brutal ad war, and before it was too late, tea party challenger Matthew Motley, a state rep who lost his re-election bid in 2008, won. Baton Rogue Mayor, Fredrick Oldies, was never too much of a factor, especially after his comments about rape.

Lousiana Gubernatorial Run-Off
State Senator James Florida (D) - 50.4%
Former State Rep. Matthew Motley (R) - 49.6%

When Matthew Motley's views on FEMA were revealed, it became clear that he would lose a large chunk of the Republican voting block, but it was never clear how much he would lose. James Florida, whose voting record in the Lousiana State Senate was one of the most liberal, kept quiet about his record, and instead ran as a Pro-Education, Pro-Energy, Pro-Louisiana Democrat, running hard against the unpopular Jindal administration. Combine that with some weaker debate performances from Motley, and what we get is a major upset in favor of James Florida.
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Miles
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« Reply #29 on: May 28, 2014, 12:34:35 AM »

Flo easily gets a runoff spot, as he's the only Democrat. He wins a majority of the parishes thanks to the fractured Republican vote. Tmth would probably be the best fit for Acadiana. I can see Maxwell's libertarism playing well in the higher-income Florida parishes. Motley could win a few northern parishes if he emphasizes fiscal issues. Oldies, I know, hates the south, so would be shut out Wink

Primary



Flo (red)- 39%
Tmth (blue)- 29%
Maxwell (orange)- 15%
Motley (green)- 13%
Oldies- 4%

In the runoff, Tmth wins a pretty routine victory for a Republican in LA. Tmth, a mainstream Republican, builds on his performance in Acadiana and quickly moves to consolidate the parishes that Maxwell and Motley won. Flo emphasizes defense issues and wins majorities in a few counties around Shreveport (near Barksdale Air Force base and Fort Polk). Still, Flo is seen as too liberal and this race mostly morphs into a generic D vs generic R contest.



Tmth- 57.1%
Flo- 42.9%
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #30 on: May 28, 2014, 07:58:51 AM »

After a successful 9-year term in Palazzo Chigi, PM Matteo Renzi decides not to seek reelection in the 2023 parliamentary election. To replace him, Labor minister Miles wins the nomination in the subsequent PD primaries, vowing to continue Renzi's work as the economy is booming. However, his coalition is weakened by the defection of hard-left parties, critical of the government's centrist turn and its free-market attitudes. They get together to nominate SEL leader Flo as their candidate. Meanwhile, on the right, a major split occurs after Berlusconi is found guilty in the Ruby case and goes to serve a jail sentence from 2015 to 2022. After a pathetic 9% showing in the 2018 elections, Forza Italia collapses and the bulk of its troops joins Alfano's NCD. After Alfano's retirement, the party nominates popular Olbia mayor Tmth Foru, who attempts to clean up the right's image and return to its populist and christian-democratic roots. However, some northern FI leaders, unhappy about Tmth's traditionalism and his moderation on economic issues, instead form the Movement for Freedom. Forming an alliance with the Lega and other minor parties, they nominate Veneto President Maxwell as their leader, emphasizing the need for less government regulation, lower taxes, and moderate euroskepticism. Finally, M5S, in a tough shape since Beppe Grillo's defeat and resignation in 2018, elected some random dude known as Oldies Freak as its leader in an online vote.



Miles (PD-PSI-CD-UVP): 24.4%
Maxwell (MpL-LN-PR-SVP-UV): 22.1%
Tmth (NCD-UDC-MpA-GS): 21.5%
Flo (SEL-RC-PdCI-V): 17.8%
Oldies (M5S): 14.2%

Miles' weak performance, caused by voter fatigue, benefits to Flo, who reaches high level in the country's largest cities. Still, Miles' strength in the traditionally "red" central regions is enough to put him ahead of the vote. Thanks to his extremely high numbers in the North, Maxwell manages to narrowly beat Tmth, whose strength comes mostly from the South. Finally, Oldies runs M5S into the ground with an incoherent campaign focused on criticizing what PCI and DC were doing 50 years ago.

With no coalition clearing the 40% threshold, a runoff is held between Miles and Maxwell.



Miles: 58.2%
Maxwell: 41.8%

Benefitting from strong transfers from Flo and Oldies, but also from Tmth's southern electorate thanks to his moderate image, Miles crushes Maxwell in the runoff and thus is awarded an absolute majority in the lower House, allowing him to continue governing.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #31 on: May 28, 2014, 08:44:32 AM »

After a successful 9-year term in Palazzo Chigi, PM Matteo Renzi decides not to seek reelection in the 2023 parliamentary election. To replace him, Labor minister Miles wins the nomination in the subsequent PD primaries, vowing to continue Renzi's work as the economy is booming. However, his coalition is weakened by the defection of hard-left parties, critical of the government's centrist turn and its free-market attitudes. They get together to nominate SEL leader Flo as their candidate. Meanwhile, on the right, a major split occurs after Berlusconi is found guilty in the Ruby case and goes to serve a jail sentence from 2015 to 2022. After a pathetic 9% showing in the 2018 elections, Forza Italia collapses and the bulk of its troops joins Alfano's NCD. After Alfano's retirement, the party nominates popular Olbia mayor Tmth Foru, who attempts to clean up the right's image and return to its populist and christian-democratic roots. However, some northern FI leaders, unhappy about Tmth's traditionalism and his moderation on economic issues, instead form the Movement for Freedom. Forming an alliance with the Lega and other minor parties, they nominate Veneto President Maxwell as their leader, emphasizing the need for less government regulation, lower taxes, and moderate euroskepticism. Finally, M5S, in a tough shape since Beppe Grillo's defeat and resignation in 2018, elected some random dude known as Oldies Freak as its leader in an online vote.



Miles (PD-PSI-CD-UVP): 24.4%
Maxwell (MpL-LN-PR-SVP-UV): 22.1%
Tmth (NCD-UDC-MpA-GS): 21.5%
Flo (SEL-RC-PdCI-V): 17.8%
Oldies (M5S): 14.2%

Miles' weak performance, caused by voter fatigue, benefits to Flo, who reaches high level in the country's largest cities. Still, Miles' strength in the traditionally "red" central regions is enough to put him ahead of the vote. Thanks to his extremely high numbers in the North, Maxwell manages to narrowly beat Tmth, whose strength comes mostly from the South. Finally, Oldies runs M5S into the ground with an incoherent campaign focused on criticizing what PCI and DC were doing 50 years ago.

With no coalition clearing the 40% threshold, a runoff is held between Miles and Maxwell.



Miles: 58.2%
Maxwell: 41.8%

Benefitting from strong transfers from Flo and Oldies, but also from Tmth's southern electorate thanks to his moderate image, Miles crushes Maxwell in the runoff and thus is awarded an absolute majority in the lower House, allowing him to continue governing.
Where do you get the maps from?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #32 on: May 28, 2014, 09:01:18 AM »

Paint is your friend. Tongue
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #33 on: May 28, 2014, 01:16:54 PM »

It sure is, but where are you getting the original maps from?
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Miles
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« Reply #34 on: May 28, 2014, 04:21:16 PM »

^ Yeah, great job with those maps, Antonio!

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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #35 on: May 28, 2014, 04:39:23 PM »

How do you guys do it in Paint?  I can't color any of the county maps I find because the paint bucket never fills in the counties completely, so it looks cruddy and messy

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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #36 on: May 28, 2014, 04:43:54 PM »

How do you guys do it in Paint?  I can't color any of the county maps I find because the paint bucket never fills in the counties completely, so it looks cruddy and messy

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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
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« Reply #37 on: May 28, 2014, 04:55:05 PM »
« Edited: May 28, 2014, 06:06:53 PM by asexual trans victimologist »

In 2016, the Massachusetts legislature adopts a Louisiana/California-style jungle primary system for all future statewide elections. In early 2018, after Martha Coakley decides to seek federal office again rather than running for reelection as governor, the Massachusetts Democratic Party finds itself split between the social-democratic left, led by State Senator and former Springfield City Councilor Antonio, and centrist or nonideological elements of the traditional Eastern Massachusetts party machinery, who find their standard-bearer in Quincy Mayor Miles. Meanwhile the Republicans coalesce behind businessman and (in general) relatively moderate and conciliatory right-libertarian activist Maxwell of Tewksbury, but are unable to entirely shake off a quixotic campaign, half-protest and half-novelty, by Town of Dennis Selectman Oldiesfreak, who has a penchant for surreal stump speeches invoking the memory of Civil War-era Republican Governor John Albion Andrew.

In the early stages of the campaign Antonio and Miles vie for votes from traditionalist Irish and Italian Catholic Democrats in the urban areas of Massachusetts Bay and Bristol and Hampden Counties, while Maxwell and Miles compete for the outer Boston suburbs and the northern and central areas around Lowell and Worcester. Antonio looks set to run up the margins in the rural left-wing western part of the state and in Outer Cape Cod and insular Massachusetts; the only question is whether Green-Rainbow candidate Flo, a longtime environmental and health care activist living in Truro, will garner enough votes from these areas to force Antonio's statewide total below Miles's or whether tactical voting for Antonio from movement liberals, despite their discomfort with his somewhat culturally traditionalist image and rhetoric, will keep him above Miles and enable him to face Maxwell in a runoff in which the Democrat will almost certainly be strongly favored.


Primary:



Maxwell: 31.1%
Antonio: 26.3%
Miles: 25.6%
Flo: 9.8%
Oldiesfreak: 5.7%
Others: 1.4%

(Percentages do not add up to one hundred because of rounding.)

Antonio defeats Maxwell in the runoff along substantially the same lines as Elizabeth Warren's 2013 defeat of Scott Brown: 53.1% to 46.9%; exit polls show that people who had voted for Miles in the primary broke about two-to-one in Antonio's favor and people who had voted for Flo about four-to-one, while Oldiesfreak's supporters switched almost unanimously to Maxwell.
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Miles
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« Reply #38 on: May 28, 2014, 05:03:59 PM »

How do you guys do it in Paint?  I can't color any of the county maps I find because the paint bucket never fills in the counties completely, so it looks cruddy and messy

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For this kinda thing, I'd recommend Paint.Net.

When you paste a blank map with county/district lines into Paint.Net, go to "Adjustments" and make sure the contrast is at it highest. This gives you just black and white (with no other colors to get in the way to make it messy).

Would it help if I posted a tutorial thread with screenshots?

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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #39 on: May 28, 2014, 06:27:25 PM »

How do you guys do it in Paint?  I can't color any of the county maps I find because the paint bucket never fills in the counties completely, so it looks cruddy and messy

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Find one that only has black on the outlines and no gray/white on the edges.  They're pretty difficult to find outside of this site.

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Miles
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« Reply #40 on: May 28, 2014, 11:27:49 PM »

Here's the tutorial thread I made on how to take blank maps from any other site and make them into election maps.
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Flake
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« Reply #41 on: May 28, 2014, 11:54:43 PM »

Here's the tutorial thread I made on how to take blank maps from any other site and make them into election maps.

What I don't understand is why people don't go to the elections page to this website and save an election image of a state, and edit it in paint that way.



It's not that hard Tongue

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Miles
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« Reply #42 on: May 28, 2014, 11:57:01 PM »

^Well, sometimes you want a bigger/smaller map, or you need the breakdown by town/precinct. In any case, I just wanted to help give people the option otherwise.

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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #43 on: May 29, 2014, 06:29:09 AM »
« Edited: May 29, 2014, 06:31:10 AM by Antonio V »

Well, Oldiesfreak, I don't remember where I found that Italy map but you can copy mine and re-color it if you want. Wink

Just to clarify, the current "line of succession" for the sake of mapmaking in this thread, going from the most to the least recent:

Nathan
me
Miles
Maxwell
Flo
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #44 on: May 29, 2014, 08:49:06 PM »

Well, Oldiesfreak, I don't remember where I found that Italy map but you can copy mine and re-color it if you want. Wink

Just to clarify, the current "line of succession" for the sake of mapmaking in this thread, going from the most to the least recent:

Nathan
me
Miles
Maxwell
Flo
Thanks. Smiley
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« Reply #45 on: May 31, 2014, 08:23:20 PM »

A map is coming up shortly.  I've been working on an entry for the last two hours (this is taking me a lot longer than I thought it would) and I haven't even written the campaign summary yet.  I have to leave for a little while, so I'll get back to this when I get home.  Just please... don't post any other maps just yet, if you guys wouldn't mind. Tongue
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« Reply #46 on: May 31, 2014, 09:37:10 PM »

Incumbent Senator Kay Hagan (D-NC) unexpectedly announces her retirement from the Senate just short of two years after North Carolina adopts a jungle primary-system for its elections.  This immediately creates panic among the Democratic Party as they plan to defend one of their many 2008 gains as the second midterm season of President Obama's term begins.  To the shock of many, only one Republican candidate enters the race, with a handful of Democrats competing for their party's support in the inevitable runoff.

The libertarian-leaning state Senator Maxwell of the Charlotte suburbs easily takes first place in the primary.  State Auditor Miles, the only candidate of the five who happens to be a native of North Carolina, manages a healthy second-place victory ahead of Congressman Nathan (NC-12), Congressman Antonio (NC-4), and Congressman Flo (NC-1), who each perform well in their respective districts.



State Senator Maxwell (Republican) - 32.81%
State Auditor Miles Coleman (Democratic) - 28.42%

Congressman Nathan (NC-12) (Democratic) - 17.09%
Congressman Flo (NC-1) (Democratic) - 12.57%
Congressman Antonio (NC-4) (Democratic) - 9.11%

The runoff campaign begins in a dead heat, but Miles quickly mounts a lead over Maxwell that expands until the day of the election.  An unexpected surge in President Obama's approval numbers in North Carolina allow State Auditor Miles to pick up counties that were initially considered far out of reach for any of the Democratic candidates.



State Auditor Miles Coleman (Democratic) - 56.68%
State Senator Maxwell (Republican) - 41.38%



Not perfect, but not bad for someone who's been stoned since late last night, I hope. Tongue

For the next person, the order is (from most to least recent): Scott, Nathan, Antonio, Miles, Maxwell.
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Miles
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« Reply #47 on: June 01, 2014, 02:58:33 AM »

I thought this would be a good extension if Scott's. I included Oldies instead of myself.

After 6 years, though Miles was a popular Senator, he had take a series of votes that angered the left. Though Hillary Clinton was elected to the Presidency in 2016, Republicans took both chambers of Congress. Senator Miles voted with them on the Keystone XL pipeline and to expand abortion restrictions.

Casting Senator Miles as a DINO, the liberal wing of the NC Democratic party drafted Attorney General Scott. Scott was instrumental in overturning the state's voter ID law and gay marriage ban. With Scott nipping at his heels in the polls, Miles decided to vacate the Senate seat and run for the open Governor's seat.

Scott, though, did not have the Democratic side to himself. After leaving Congress in 2014, NC-04 Rep. Antonio was now President of the UNC College system. Despite working with a GOP administration, he was able to get more higher ed funding. Former NC-12 Rep. Nathan was elected Charlotte mayor in 2015; under his tenure, Charlotte was the fastest-growing city in the state. After his third term, he announced another Senate run.

The Republican side was fight between Maxwell (who was elected to NC-09 in 2016) and Oldies, who was elected to NC-03 the same year when Walter Jones retired. Both were popular in their districts. The Libertarian Maxwell, though, said that he would vote against the Senate GOP abortion restrictions that Miles voted for; this gave Oldies an opening in the socially conservative areas outside his coastal district.

On election day, Scott had the support of most African-American groups, which helped mobilize the vote for him. Despite a decent showing in the Triangle, Antonio was unable to match Scott elsewhere. Similarly, Nathan won a plurality in Mecklenburg County but was hurt by Maxwell's strong effort in Greater Charlotte. On the GOP side, Oldies upset Maxwell; in addition to the abortion issue, Oldies cast Maxwell as the 'Charlotte' candidate, which helped in the rural areas.



AG Scott (D)- 29.5%
Rep. Oldies (R)- 25.8%
Rep. Maxwell (R)- 23.2%
UNC Pres. Antonio (D)- 11.0%
Mayor Nathan (D)- 10.5%

The runoff was a very close race, as it was to determine Senate control. Though President Clinton carried NC 51-47 over Senator Marco Rubio, NC voters said they wanted 'balance' with a GOP Congress. The defining moment came during the final week. Speaking to an audience of mostly Republicans, Oldies said that NC Democrats have a "long history of supporting racist candidates." The video was leaked and the polls tilted in Scott's favor. Scott ultimately won the closest race in the country.



AG Scott (D)- 50.6%
Rep. Oldies (R)- 49.4%

Next in order: me, Scott, Oldies, Nathan, Antonio (I think; I'm including Oldies b/c he didn't say to skip him).
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« Reply #48 on: June 01, 2014, 03:19:52 AM »

Former Assisstant Health and Human Services Secretary Fredrick Oldies has decided to run for the Louisiana Senate seat. He's noted as a top recruit, and cleared the Republican field, lowering Republican turnout. The main fight in the Jungle Primary was between Conservadem and State Senator Miles Coleman, and the more liberal Lieutenant Governor Scott Michaelson. They agreed on a lot of domestic issues, but Michaelson fought Coleman on foreign policy, calling him a "hawk of insane proportions". In spite of the negativity of the race, both were friendly with one another. Two other left of center candidates ran, Democrat and Small-time attorney Nathan Fields, and Green candidate and Activist Antonio Vienna. Neither candidate made a serious impact.

Coleman upset the Lieutenant Governor, and went on to face Oldies.

Louisiana Senatorial Jungle Primary
Fmr. Assistant HHS Secretary Fredrick Oldies (R) - 38.3%
State Senator Miles Coleman (D) - 28.9%

Lieutenant Governor Scott Michaelson (D) - 25.2%
Small-time Attorney Nathan Fields (D) - 5.2%
Activist Antonio Vienna (G) - 2.4%

In spite of ideologically fitting in with the state of Lousiana, Coleman had run out of money by the time he reached the run-off. Meanwhile Oldies, well-connected with previous administrations and friendly with Governor Bobby Jindal, had raised a large amount of funds, and unleashed hell onto Senator Coleman. Polls had the race close due to Oldies penchant for gaffes and controversies, but what turned out to be the case was a run away election for the Republicans.

Louisiana Senatorial Run-Off
Fmr. Assistant HHS Secretary Fredrick Oldies (R) - 56.3%
State Senator Miles Coleman (D) - 43.7%
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #49 on: June 01, 2014, 05:08:09 AM »

The general rule in these threads should be that anyone who doesn't post an election scenario should be skipped.
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