Odds GOP wins 2016 Presidential Election if Clinton doesn't run

[politicallefty]

I voted 40-49, assuming a relatively balanced national environment. I don't think the Republican field is any better than a Democratic field without Hillary. I think Christie has no chance in national politics and Jeb Bush has a massive albatross with his name. With all those big names out, I don't think either party will really have significance advantage. Even with the environment as it was in 2008, McCain was still very much competitive prior to the financial collapse.

[Simfan34]

45%. Jeb would be a great candidate but I think there so many tribal demographics that ensure the Dems will win for the foreseeable future unless the GOP flagellates the nutjobs.